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Pengukuran Risiko Kredit Menggunakan Metode Credit Risk+ dengan Mempertimbangkan Variabel Makro Ekonomi: Studi Kasus di Bank X

Ira Widayanti; Mochamad Muslich, supervisor; Rofikoh Rokhim, examiner; Dewi Hanggraeni, examiner (Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2010)

 Abstract

Metode Credit Risk+ telah banyak digunakan untuk mengukur risiko kredit portofolio dengan karakteristik small balances dengan high volumes, seperti pada portofolio kartu kredit, dimana probability of default (PD) masing-masing account tidak saling mempengaruhi satu sama lainnya. Seperti yang telah disadari sebelumnya bahwa metode Credit Risk+ ini memiliki beberapa kelemahan yaitu salah satunya adalah mengabaikan pengaruh faktor eksternal seperti risiko pasar dan suku bunga.
Dalam penelitian ini penulis mencoba menarik hubungan antara beberapa faktor makro ekonomi terhadap probability of default eksposur kartu kredit setiap band. Nilai Expected Loss, Value at Risk (Unexpected Loss), dan Economic Capital dihitung dengan menggunakan unexpected number of default yang berasal dari hasil regresi linier PD terhadap variabel makro ekonomi.

Credit Risk+ method has been applied to measure credit risk of portfolios with small balances and high volumes such as credit cards porfolio, in which the probability of default (PD) of each account is mutually exclusive. As known before, there are some limitations of this method, like disregarding the influence of external factors such as market risk and interest rate risk.
In this research, the author is trying to find any correlations between macroeconomics variables and probability of default of credit cards exposures in each band. The values of Expected Loss, Value at Risk and Economic Capital will be measured by using unexpected numbers of default which are originated from single linear regression of PD to macroeconomics variables.

 Metadata

Collection Type : UI - Tesis Open
Call Number : T28121
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Publishing : Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2010
Cataloguing Source LibUI ind rda
Content Type text
Media Type unmediated ; computer
Carrier Type volume ; online resource
Physical Description xiii, 108 pages : illustration ; 28 cm
Holding Institution Universitas Indonesia
Location Perpustakaan UI, Lantai 3
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Call Number Barcode Number Availability
T28121 15-19-805983697 TERSEDIA
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No review available for this collection: 136217
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