The process of economic development and industrialization has
historically involved fundamental changes in the social and economic
organization of populations. These changes are taking place today in
Indonesia, and tire effects are dramatic-infectiuts disease rates are declining,
population size is increasing. and the population is growing older. Additionally,
the many lifestyle changes we associate with development will also mean the
rates of chronic disease will likely increase. Changing consumption patterns are
the primary culprits for this transition. increased tobacco see will cause
significant increases in heart disease rates, lung cancer and many Other
cancers. The dietary transition towards a high fat, low fiber, high animal-food
based diet that typically accompanies development will also matte a significant
contribution to the increased of chronic disease. The costs of tire epidemologic
transition ore many. The epidemologic transition will mean a great loss of life
and many of the deaths will be premature (i.e during the otherwise productive
years of life). Tire direct cost of treatment for the sick will be very large.
Additionally. it is not clear that tire agriculture sector 's response to increased
demand for livestock based foods will be an environmentally or economically
sustainable proposition for indonesia.