ABSTRAK
Tesis ini menganalisis determinan emisi karbon dioksida (CO2) di Indonesia dihubungkan dengan hipotesis Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC). Permodelan empiris dilakukan dengan Simultaneous Equation Model (SEM) antara produk domestik bruto (PDB) per kapita dengan emisi CO2 dengan menggunakan data runtut waktu dari 1974 hingga 2011. Uji Hausman melihat hubungan simultan dan endogenitas dari PDB per kapita dan emisi CO2. Dengan metode Two-stage Least Squares (2SLS) diperoleh hasil hipotesis EKC berlangsung di Indonesia. PDB per kapita, peranan industri terhadap perekonomian, dan kepadatan penduduk berpengaruh signifikan meningkatkan emisi CO2. Namun demikian, konsumsi energi terbarukan tidak secara signifikan berpengaruh menurunkan emisi CO2.

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ABSTRACT

This thesis analyzes determinants of carbon dioxide (CO2) emission in Indonesia associated with Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. Empirical modelling with Simultaneous Equation Model (SEM) between per capita gross domestic product (GDP) and CO2 emission by using time series data from 1974 to 2011. Hausman tests investigate simultaneous relationship and endogeneity between per capita GDP and CO2 emission. By Two-stage Least Squares (2SLS) method, results support Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. GDP per capita, share of industry, and population density significantly affect the increasing of CO2 emission. However, renewable energy consumption did not significantly affect the reducing of CO2 emission.