[ABSTRAK
Ketahanan pangan berkaitan dengan produktivitas tanaman padi. Permasalahan utamayang dihadapi pada saat ini adalah masih rendahnya produktivitas padi. Tesis ini bertujuanuntuk mengkaji peranan subsidi benih padi dan subsidi pupuk dalam meningkatkan produksidan produktivitas tanaman padi dan mengkaji faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi luas panenpadi, produktivitas padi, harga beras, dan konsumsi beras dan impor beras di Indonesia tahun1985 - 2012. Analisis data dilakukan dengan menggunakan persamaan simultan. Hasilnyamenunjukkan bahwa luas panen padi secara signifikan dipengaruhi oleh curah hujan (+) dankredit usaha tani (+), produktivitas padi secara signifikan dipengaruhi oleh harga beras (+),subsidi pupuk urea (+), dan produktivitas padi tahun sebelumnya (+), konsumsi beras secarasignifikan dipengaruhi oleh konsumsi beras tahun sebelumnya (+), harga beras secarasignifikan dipengaruhi oleh produksi padi (+) dan harga beras tahun sebelumnya (+), danimpor beras secara signifikan dipengaruhi oleh harga beras (+).

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ABSTRACT
Food Security is a condition related to paddy productivity. Recently, one of major issuesfaced by Indonesian Farmers is low paddy productivity. Hence, the main objective of thisthesis is to examine the impact of seed and fertilizer subsidies to paddy productivity.Moreover, this thesis also try to analyze some factors that affect harvest area, paddyproductivity, the price of rice, and rice consumption as well as imported rice in Indonesiaduring 1985-2012. Data analyzed by using simultaneous equations. The results showed thatthe rice harvested area is significantly influenced by precipitation (+ and farm credit (+),paddy productivity is significantly influenced by the rice price (+) , fertilizer subsidy (urea),and the paddy productivity in previous year (+), rice consumption is significantly influencedby the rice consumption in previous year (+), the price of riceis significantly influenced bythe production of paddy (+) and rice prices in previous year (+), and rice imports aresignificantly influenced by the price of rice (+).;Food Security is a condition related to paddy productivity. Recently, one of major issuesfaced by Indonesian Farmers is low paddy productivity. Hence, the main objective of thisthesis is to examine the impact of seed and fertilizer subsidies to paddy productivity.Moreover, this thesis also try to analyze some factors that affect harvest area, paddyproductivity, the price of rice, and rice consumption as well as imported rice in Indonesiaduring 1985-2012. Data analyzed by using simultaneous equations. The results showed thatthe rice harvested area is significantly influenced by precipitation (+ and farm credit (+),paddy productivity is significantly influenced by the rice price (+) , fertilizer subsidy (urea),and the paddy productivity in previous year (+), rice consumption is significantly influencedby the rice consumption in previous year (+), the price of riceis significantly influenced bythe production of paddy (+) and rice prices in previous year (+), and rice imports aresignificantly influenced by the price of rice (+).;Food Security is a condition related to paddy productivity. Recently, one of major issuesfaced by Indonesian Farmers is low paddy productivity. Hence, the main objective of thisthesis is to examine the impact of seed and fertilizer subsidies to paddy productivity.Moreover, this thesis also try to analyze some factors that affect harvest area, paddyproductivity, the price of rice, and rice consumption as well as imported rice in Indonesiaduring 1985-2012. Data analyzed by using simultaneous equations. The results showed thatthe rice harvested area is significantly influenced by precipitation (+ and farm credit (+),paddy productivity is significantly influenced by the rice price (+) , fertilizer subsidy (urea),and the paddy productivity in previous year (+), rice consumption is significantly influencedby the rice consumption in previous year (+), the price of riceis significantly influenced bythe production of paddy (+) and rice prices in previous year (+), and rice imports aresignificantly influenced by the price of rice (+)., Food Security is a condition related to paddy productivity. Recently, one of major issuesfaced by Indonesian Farmers is low paddy productivity. Hence, the main objective of thisthesis is to examine the impact of seed and fertilizer subsidies to paddy productivity.Moreover, this thesis also try to analyze some factors that affect harvest area, paddyproductivity, the price of rice, and rice consumption as well as imported rice in Indonesiaduring 1985-2012. Data analyzed by using simultaneous equations. The results showed thatthe rice harvested area is significantly influenced by precipitation (+ and farm credit (+),paddy productivity is significantly influenced by the rice price (+) , fertilizer subsidy (urea),and the paddy productivity in previous year (+), rice consumption is significantly influencedby the rice consumption in previous year (+), the price of riceis significantly influenced bythe production of paddy (+) and rice prices in previous year (+), and rice imports aresignificantly influenced by the price of rice (+).]