[
ABSTRAKRisiko dan ketidakpastian pasti ada dalam setiap pengambilan keputusan. Oleh
karena itu, perlu dilakukan analisis keputusan untuk mengatasi hal tersebut.
Banyak sekali metode analisis keputusan, seperti Metode Expected Monetary
Value (EMV), Teori Pilihan, Teori Portfolio, dan lain-lain. Namun, tidak semua
dapat diaplikasikan dalam kondisi kehidupan nyata. Dalam hal risiko, industri
minyak dan gas bumi (migas) adalah industri yang memiliki tingkat risiko yang
tinggi, terutama dalam hal investasi. Oleh karena itu, perusahaan migas
memerlukan suatu metode analisis keputusan untuk menghadapi risiko tersebut.
Hanya saja, teknik analisis keputusan yang digunakan tiap perusahaan belum
tentu sama. Penelitian ini akan mencari teknik analisis keputusan yang cocok
untuk digunakan di perusahaan migas yang beroperasi di Indonesia. Teknik
analisis keputusan tersebut akan dikaji performanya dengan cara menganalisis
nilai ekonomis sebuah proyek dan nanti hasilnya akan dibandingkan dengan nilai
ekonomis proyek yang menggunakan teknik analisis keputusan konvensional.
Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa teknik analisis keputusan XYZ-PDEP
yang digunakan oleh K3S XYZ terbukti menghasilkan nilai keekonomian proyek
yang lebih baik daripada teknik analisis keputusan konvensional. Nilai
keekonomian tinggi yang dicapai dengan penggunaan teknik analisis keputusan
XYZ-PDEP dibandingkan dengan menggunakan teknik analisis keputusan
konvensional menyimpulkan bahwa terdapat hubungan antara penggunaan teknik
pengambilan keputusan yang berbeda dengan performa yang dihasilkan.
ABSTRACTRisk and uncertainty will always exist in every decision making. Therefore,
decision analysis is needed in order to overcome those problems. There are
numerous decision analysis methods, such as Expected Monetary Value (EMV),
Option Theory, Portfolio Theory, etc. Unfortunately, not all of them are
applicable in real life conditions. Concerning risks, the oil and gas industry is the
one industry that has high risks, especially in investment. Therefore, oil and gas
companies need a decision analysis method to face those risks. Nonetheless,
decision analysis techniques differ from one company to others. This research will
find which decision analysis technique is the most suitable one for oil and gas
companies in Indonesia. The decision analysis technique?s performance will be
evaluated through one of its project?s economic value and the results are then
compared with the same project being evaluated by conventional decision
analysis technique. The results of this research shows that XYZ-PDEP decision
analysis technique that is used by K3S XYZ proved to produce a better project
economic value rather than conventional decision analysis technique. The high
economic value that was produced by XYZ-PDEP decision analysis technique
compared to conventional decision analysis technique concludes that there is a
relation between the utilization of different decision analysis technique with each
of its performance outcome.;Risk and uncertainty will always exist in every decision making. Therefore,
decision analysis is needed in order to overcome those problems. There are
numerous decision analysis methods, such as Expected Monetary Value (EMV),
Option Theory, Portfolio Theory, etc. Unfortunately, not all of them are
applicable in real life conditions. Concerning risks, the oil and gas industry is the
one industry that has high risks, especially in investment. Therefore, oil and gas
companies need a decision analysis method to face those risks. Nonetheless,
decision analysis techniques differ from one company to others. This research will
find which decision analysis technique is the most suitable one for oil and gas
companies in Indonesia. The decision analysis technique?s performance will be
evaluated through one of its project?s economic value and the results are then
compared with the same project being evaluated by conventional decision
analysis technique. The results of this research shows that XYZ-PDEP decision
analysis technique that is used by K3S XYZ proved to produce a better project
economic value rather than conventional decision analysis technique. The high
economic value that was produced by XYZ-PDEP decision analysis technique
compared to conventional decision analysis technique concludes that there is a
relation between the utilization of different decision analysis technique with each
of its performance outcome.;Risk and uncertainty will always exist in every decision making. Therefore,
decision analysis is needed in order to overcome those problems. There are
numerous decision analysis methods, such as Expected Monetary Value (EMV),
Option Theory, Portfolio Theory, etc. Unfortunately, not all of them are
applicable in real life conditions. Concerning risks, the oil and gas industry is the
one industry that has high risks, especially in investment. Therefore, oil and gas
companies need a decision analysis method to face those risks. Nonetheless,
decision analysis techniques differ from one company to others. This research will
find which decision analysis technique is the most suitable one for oil and gas
companies in Indonesia. The decision analysis technique?s performance will be
evaluated through one of its project?s economic value and the results are then
compared with the same project being evaluated by conventional decision
analysis technique. The results of this research shows that XYZ-PDEP decision
analysis technique that is used by K3S XYZ proved to produce a better project
economic value rather than conventional decision analysis technique. The high
economic value that was produced by XYZ-PDEP decision analysis technique
compared to conventional decision analysis technique concludes that there is a
relation between the utilization of different decision analysis technique with each
of its performance outcome.;Risk and uncertainty will always exist in every decision making. Therefore,
decision analysis is needed in order to overcome those problems. There are
numerous decision analysis methods, such as Expected Monetary Value (EMV),
Option Theory, Portfolio Theory, etc. Unfortunately, not all of them are
applicable in real life conditions. Concerning risks, the oil and gas industry is the
one industry that has high risks, especially in investment. Therefore, oil and gas
companies need a decision analysis method to face those risks. Nonetheless,
decision analysis techniques differ from one company to others. This research will
find which decision analysis technique is the most suitable one for oil and gas
companies in Indonesia. The decision analysis technique?s performance will be
evaluated through one of its project?s economic value and the results are then
compared with the same project being evaluated by conventional decision
analysis technique. The results of this research shows that XYZ-PDEP decision
analysis technique that is used by K3S XYZ proved to produce a better project
economic value rather than conventional decision analysis technique. The high
economic value that was produced by XYZ-PDEP decision analysis technique
compared to conventional decision analysis technique concludes that there is a
relation between the utilization of different decision analysis technique with each
of its performance outcome., Risk and uncertainty will always exist in every decision making. Therefore,
decision analysis is needed in order to overcome those problems. There are
numerous decision analysis methods, such as Expected Monetary Value (EMV),
Option Theory, Portfolio Theory, etc. Unfortunately, not all of them are
applicable in real life conditions. Concerning risks, the oil and gas industry is the
one industry that has high risks, especially in investment. Therefore, oil and gas
companies need a decision analysis method to face those risks. Nonetheless,
decision analysis techniques differ from one company to others. This research will
find which decision analysis technique is the most suitable one for oil and gas
companies in Indonesia. The decision analysis technique’s performance will be
evaluated through one of its project’s economic value and the results are then
compared with the same project being evaluated by conventional decision
analysis technique. The results of this research shows that XYZ-PDEP decision
analysis technique that is used by K3S XYZ proved to produce a better project
economic value rather than conventional decision analysis technique. The high
economic value that was produced by XYZ-PDEP decision analysis technique
compared to conventional decision analysis technique concludes that there is a
relation between the utilization of different decision analysis technique with each
of its performance outcome.]
T42861-Bramantyo.pdf :: Unduh