ABSTRAKBanyak pandangan yang mengatakan bahwa perdagangan intra industri hanya
terjadi antar sesama Negara maju. Walaupun demikian, tesis ini menunjukkan
bahwa perdagangan intra industri juga terjadi antara Negara maju dan Negara
berkembang, pun antar sesama Negara berkembang. Selain itu, tesis ini juga
menunjukkan faktor yang berpengaruh dalam perdagangan intra industri, terutama
faktor foreign direct investment (FDI). Data yang digunakan oleh penulis dalam
penelitian ini adalah data perdagangan dua digit dalam nomenklatur ISIC untuk
periode 1991-2012 antara Indonesia-kelompok Negara OECD dan Indonesiakelompok
Negara non OECD.
Data perdagangan tersebut kemudian dikalkulasi sehingga diperoleh nilai
share dari perdagangan intra industri antara dua pihak tersebut diatas yang
dinyatakan dalam indeks Grubel-Lloyd. Selanjutnya, dengan menggunakan tehnik
regresi data panel, diketahui bahwa FDI dan trade openness mempengaruhi
perdagangan intra industri antar Negara tersebut diatas. Namun, perbedaan nilai
PDB dan trade balance memiliki pengaruh yang berbeda dalam perdagangan intra
industri antara Indonesia-kelompok Negara OECD dan Indonesia-kelompok
Negara Non-OECD.
ABSTRACTAlthough there is a view that saying intra industry trade only occurs among
the developed countries, this research paper has showed that intra industry trade
pattern also arises between developed and developing countries, also between
developing and developing countries. By using the trade data in two digit level of
ISIC nomenclature at six manufacture sectors during 1991-2012, the share of intra
industry pattern can be calculated and presented in GL index.
Overall, the GL index of Indonesia-OECD countries’ trade indicated a higher
level compared with the GL index of Indonesia-non OECD countries’ trade. To be
more specific, the GL index of Indonesia-OECD countries was increasing overtime
at capital-intensive sectors whereas the GL index of Indonesia-non OECD countries
was rising at labor-intensive sectors. The driving factors that influencing the shares
of intra industry trade within these countries were varied. Among the FDI, GDP
differences, trade balance and openness variables, the significant variables that
were affecting the GL index either in the trade with OECD or non OECD countries
were FDI at time t-1 and openness. The other two variables were having different
significances in affecting the GL Index.