[ABSTRAK
Tujuan dari tesis ini adalah untuk mengetahui sejauh mana pengaruh faktor-faktor identitasdan identifikasi politik masyarakat terhadap rendahnya perolehan suara parpol Islam. Selainitu juga untuk mengidentifikasi faktor-faktor perilaku apa saja dan interaksi politik parpolIslam seperti apa yang berpengaruh terhadap menurunnya elektabilitas, serta apakahperubahan landscape politik nasional dalam sejarah politik Indonesia berpengaruh terhadapstrategi parpol Islam untuk mengantisipasi penurunan elektabilitas tersebut.Pemilu 2014 menjadi potret terbaru bagaimana partai Islam kembali mengulangi sejarah yangsama, yakni tidak mampu mendobrak dominasi partai-partai nasionalis dalam perolehan suarapemilu di Indonesia. Kekalahan ini menghidupkan lagi wacana sekaligus perdebatanmengenai berakhirnya politik aliran di Indonesia. Dalam penelitian ini, ditemukan bahwapolitik aliran itu tidak betul-betul berakhir. Meskipun pengaruhnya terhadap pemilih tidaksekuat Pemilu 1955, namun politik aliran tetap bereksistensi. Tentu saja saat ini trikotomiGeertz, yang membagi umat Islam atas santri, priyayi, dan abangan, tidak terlalu relevan.Sebab, umat Islam sudah semakin rasional dalam memilih, tak terkecuali kaum santri. Di sisilain, partai politik sendiri cenderung bergeser ke tengah. Partai-partai nasionalis saat ini tidak“anti” Islam. Bahkan partai seperti PDIP, Gerindra, dan Golkar sudah punya sayap organisasiIslam. Sebaliknya, partai Islam seperti PPP dan PKS sudah sering menyatakan diri sebagaipartai terbuka, sebagai respon dari asumsi bahwa politik aliran sudah mencair dan bahkanberakhir. Selain persoalan tersebut, dalam tesis ini juga dikemukakan mengenai prospekpartai Islam, yang di antaranya dengan mengacu pada hasil suara partai Islam dalam Pemilu2014 dan posisinya ketika dikonfrontir dengan berbagai hasil survei yang menyebutkanbahwa partai Islam pasca Pemilu 2014 akan suram.Tesis ini menggunakan teori partai politik dan teori ideologi, bagaimana teori tersebutmelihat partai Islam di Indonesia. Konsep-konsep, baik dari Geertz yang membagi umatIslam di Jawa yang terdiri dari santri, abangan, dan priyayi, maupun dari Herbert Faith jugamenjadi salah satu pembanding, apakah konsep-konsep tersebut masih relevan dalam melihatpolitik aliran dalam Pemilu 2014.

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ABSTRACT
The purpose of this thesis is to determine the extent of the influence of factors of identity andpolitical identification of society to the low number of votes of Islamic political parties. Inaddition, to identify the factors and interaction behavior any Islamic political parties as towhat effect on decreasing elektabilitas, and whether changes in the national politicallandscape in Indonesia's political history affect the strategy of Islamic political parties toanticipate the decline elektabilitas.Election of 2014 became the latest portrait how Islamic parties reiterated the same history,which is not able to break the dominance of nationalist parties in the history of vote electionsin Indonesia. This defeat at the same discourse revive debate about the end of the flow inIndonesian politics. In this study, it was found that the flow politics not really ended.Although its influence on voters is not as strong as the 1955 election, but the political streamremains to exist. Of course, this time the trichotomy of Geertz, which divides the muslimstudents, gentry, and abangan, not too relevant. Therefore, the muslim students areincreasingly rational in choosing, not to mention the students. On the other hand, the politicalparties themselves are likely to shift to the center. Nationalist parties today are not "anti"Islam. Even parties like PDIP, Gerindra, and Golkar already have Islamic organization‟swings. In contrast, Islamist parties like PPP and PKS have often refers to himself as an openparty, with the assumption that the political stream has ended. In this thesis also expressedabout the prospects for Islamic parties, some of which with reference to the Islamic party‟svote in the 2014 election and its position when confronted with various results of manysurvey say that the Islamist party after the 2014 election will be bleak.This thesis uses the theory of political parties and the theory of ideology, how these theoriessee Islamic parties in Indonesia. Concepts, both of Geertz that divides Muslims in Java,which consists of students, abangan, and gentry, and of Herbert She also became one of thecomparison, whether these concepts are still relevant in view of the political streams in the2014 election, The purpose of this thesis is to determine the extent of the influence of factors of identity andpolitical identification of society to the low number of votes of Islamic political parties. Inaddition, to identify the factors and interaction behavior any Islamic political parties as towhat effect on decreasing elektabilitas, and whether changes in the national politicallandscape in Indonesia's political history affect the strategy of Islamic political parties toanticipate the decline elektabilitas.Election of 2014 became the latest portrait how Islamic parties reiterated the same history,which is not able to break the dominance of nationalist parties in the history of vote electionsin Indonesia. This defeat at the same discourse revive debate about the end of the flow inIndonesian politics. In this study, it was found that the flow politics not really ended.Although its influence on voters is not as strong as the 1955 election, but the political streamremains to exist. Of course, this time the trichotomy of Geertz, which divides the muslimstudents, gentry, and abangan, not too relevant. Therefore, the muslim students areincreasingly rational in choosing, not to mention the students. On the other hand, the politicalparties themselves are likely to shift to the center. Nationalist parties today are not "anti"Islam. Even parties like PDIP, Gerindra, and Golkar already have Islamic organization‟swings. In contrast, Islamist parties like PPP and PKS have often refers to himself as an openparty, with the assumption that the political stream has ended. In this thesis also expressedabout the prospects for Islamic parties, some of which with reference to the Islamic party‟svote in the 2014 election and its position when confronted with various results of manysurvey say that the Islamist party after the 2014 election will be bleak.This thesis uses the theory of political parties and the theory of ideology, how these theoriessee Islamic parties in Indonesia. Concepts, both of Geertz that divides Muslims in Java,which consists of students, abangan, and gentry, and of Herbert She also became one of thecomparison, whether these concepts are still relevant in view of the political streams in the2014 election]