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ABSTRAKEnergi migas masih menjadi andalan utama perekonomian Indonesia, baik sebagai
penghasil devisa maupun pemasok kebutuhan energi dalam negeri. Dengan
penurunan Produksi MIGAS 6% per tahun dan diiringi dengan kenaikan
pertumbuhan konsumsi energi rata-rata mencapai 7% dalam 10 tahun terakhir,
mengakibatkan Indonesia dalam kondisi Krisis MIGAS dalam 20 Tahun kedepan.
Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisa ancaman operasional survai
dan pemboran dalam rangka peningkatan produksi MIGAS karena adanya faktor
otonomi daerah. Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian kualitatif study kasus dengan
menggunakan analisa eksternal PEST dan Force Field Analisis sedangkan
Analisis Anticipatory digunakan sebagai analisa Internal. Dari analisa Eksternal
dan Internal tersebut dijadikan sebagai penggerak untuk tinjauan masa depan
skenario 2035. Perizinan yang merupakan salah satu yang menghambat dalam
peningkatan produksi MIGAS nasional, sehingga diperlukan penyederhanaan
perizinan dan peningkatan teknologi untuk dapat meningkatkan produksi MIGAS
nasional di Tahun 2035.
ABSTRACTHydrocarbon energy is the major player of Indonesia economy, in term of foreign
exchange earner and also for domestic supply of energy demand. With the
reduction of hydrocarbon production as 6% per year and follow with the growth
of energy consumption by 7% in last 10 year, Indonesia is facing a hydrocarbon
energy crisis for the next 20 years. The aim of this study is to analyze the threat in
survey and drilling operation in order to increase the hydrocarbon production due
to regional autonomy factor existences. This study is qualitative case study that
use external analysis of PEST and Force Field, while the Anticipatory analysis use
as internal one. This external and internal analysis treat as a driving force for
foresight the 2035 scenario. The licensing is one of the obstacle in increasing the
national hydrocarbon production, therefore the simplification in licensing and
enhancement in technology are necessary in order to increase the national
hydrocarbon production for year 2035, Hydrocarbon energy is the major player of Indonesia economy, in term of foreign
exchange earner and also for domestic supply of energy demand. With the
reduction of hydrocarbon production as 6% per year and follow with the growth
of energy consumption by 7% in last 10 year, Indonesia is facing a hydrocarbon
energy crisis for the next 20 years. The aim of this study is to analyze the threat in
survey and drilling operation in order to increase the hydrocarbon production due
to regional autonomy factor existences. This study is qualitative case study that
use external analysis of PEST and Force Field, while the Anticipatory analysis use
as internal one. This external and internal analysis treat as a driving force for
foresight the 2035 scenario. The licensing is one of the obstacle in increasing the
national hydrocarbon production, therefore the simplification in licensing and
enhancement in technology are necessary in order to increase the national
hydrocarbon production for year 2035]