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ABSTRAKPenelitian ini mengukur keterkaitan antara perbankan di Indonesia dengan
perbankan di Asia Tenggara, Asia, Emerging Market, dan Dunia. Dengan
menggunkan pendekatan marginal expected shortfall (MES), yang diperkenalkan
Brownless dan Engle (2012), analisis dilakukan terhadap saham 9 bank di Indonesia
dan indeks saham perbankan setiap kawasan yang diambil dari Datastream selama
periode 2004-2014. Hasil menunjukan perbankan di Indonesia bersifat independen
terhadap shock dari sistem perbankan di kawasan lain. Estimasi MES menunjukan
krisis yang terjadi pada perbankan di Indonesia memiliki dampak yang jauh lebih
besar terhadap bank-bank di Indonesia, dibaningankan apabila terjadi krisis pada
perbankan di Asia Tenggara, Asia, Emerging Market, dan Dunia yang dampaknya
relatif kecil.
ABSTRACTThis study analyze the interconnectedness among Indonesia banking industry and
banking industry in South East Asia, Asia, Emerging market, and World. Using
marginal expected shortfall (MES) approach, which introduced by Brownless and
Engle 2012, analysis conducted on stock of 9 banks and banking stock index in
each region that taken from Datastream during 2004-2014. The result show that
Indonesia banking system is relatively independent to shock in other region banking
systems. The MES estimation results indicate crisis in Indonesian banking system
has large impact to banks in Indonesia, compared if crisis experienced in South
East Asian, Emerging Market, Asian, and World banking system that have
relatively small impact, This study analyze the interconnectedness among Indonesia banking industry and
banking industry in South East Asia, Asia, Emerging market, and World. Using
marginal expected shortfall (MES) approach, which introduced by Brownless and
Engle 2012, analysis conducted on stock of 9 banks and banking stock index in
each region that taken from Datastream during 2004-2014. The result show that
Indonesia banking system is relatively independent to shock in other region banking
systems. The MES estimation results indicate crisis in Indonesian banking system
has large impact to banks in Indonesia, compared if crisis experienced in South
East Asian, Emerging Market, Asian, and World banking system that have
relatively small impact]