UI - Tesis Membership :: Kembali

UI - Tesis Membership :: Kembali

Analisis potensi bubble pada properti hunian di Indonesia = Analysis of potential bubble in Indonesia s housing market / Hern Rizal Gobi

Hern Rizal Gobi; Lana Soelistianingsih, supervisor; Vid Adrison, examiner; Nuzul Achjar, examiner ([Publisher not identified] , 2015)

 Abstrak

[ABSTRAK
Kenaikan harga-harga properti hunian di Indonesia pada kurun waktu
2010 ? 2012 telah menimbulkan kekhawatiran akan adanya bubble. Studi ini
bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi potensi bubble di pasar properti hunian dengan
menggunakan 5 (lima) indikator: perbandingan antara harga rumah aktual dengan
harga rumah berdasarkan predicted value-nya, perbandingan harga aktual dengan
harga fundamentalnya berdasarkan ekspektasi rasional, mengukur price to income
ratio dan price to rent ratio, menganalisis pertumbuhan kredit properti serta
melibatkan control chart.
Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa properti jenis apartemen menunjukan
adanya indikasi bubble, namun untuk tipe perumahan, walaupun mengalami
kenaikan di tahun 2012, bukan merupakan indikasi bubble. Hal ini dibuktikan dari
hasil regresi yang dibuat menunjukan bahwa kenaikan harga rumah lebih
disebabkan oleh perubahan faktor fundamental seperti peningkatan pendapatan
penduduk, pertumbuhan populasi, tingkat inflasi yang stabil dan tingkat
pengangguran yang cenderung turun, secara signifikan mempengaruhi kenaikan
harga rumah.

ABSTRACT
The high increase of Indonesia?s property prices, particularly in the
residential sector, during 2010 ? 2012 has created a concern that it would lead to a
bubble. This study aims to investigate the potential housing bubble in Indonesia
using a combination of five (5) quantitative indicators, namely: a comparison
between actual and predicted housing value, a comparison between actual price
and fundamental price based on rational expectation, the price-to-income ratio and
the price-to-rent ratio, development of mortgage loans and control chart as a
statistical tool to quantify housing / apartment bubbles.
The results suggest that the apartment sector was on its way of forming
bubble in 2012, whereas the landed-house sector showed no indications of an
impending bubble. Furthermore, based on the regression analysis, the rise of
landed-house price was in line with fundamental factors such as increase in
income, population growth, inflation and lower unemployment rate, The high increase of Indonesia’s property prices, particularly in the
residential sector, during 2010 – 2012 has created a concern that it would lead to a
bubble. This study aims to investigate the potential housing bubble in Indonesia
using a combination of five (5) quantitative indicators, namely: a comparison
between actual and predicted housing value, a comparison between actual price
and fundamental price based on rational expectation, the price-to-income ratio and
the price-to-rent ratio, development of mortgage loans and control chart as a
statistical tool to quantify housing / apartment bubbles.
The results suggest that the apartment sector was on its way of forming
bubble in 2012, whereas the landed-house sector showed no indications of an
impending bubble. Furthermore, based on the regression analysis, the rise of
landed-house price was in line with fundamental factors such as increase in
income, population growth, inflation and lower unemployment rate]

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 Metadata

Jenis Koleksi : UI - Tesis Membership
No. Panggil : T-Pdf
Entri utama-Nama orang :
Entri tambahan-Nama orang :
Entri tambahan-Nama badan :
Program Studi :
Subjek :
Penerbitan : [Place of publication not identified]: [Publisher not identified], 2015
Bahasa : ind
Sumber Pengatalogan : LibUI ind rda
Tipe Konten : text
Tipe Media : computer
Tipe Carrier : online resource
Deskripsi Fisik : xii, 79 pages : illustration ; 28 cm + appendix
Naskah Ringkas :
Lembaga Pemilik : Universitas Indonesia
Lokasi : Perpustakaan UI, Lantai 3
  • Ketersediaan
  • Ulasan
  • Sampul
No. Panggil No. Barkod Ketersediaan
T-Pdf 15-17-591718527 TERSEDIA
Ulasan:
Tidak ada ulasan pada koleksi ini: 20415986
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