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Effectiveness of early warning models: A critical review and new agenda for future directions

Rakesh Padhan, K.P. Prabheesh (Bank Indonesia Institute, 2019)

 Abstract

This paper suggests a new agenda for constructing early warning models (EWMs) to enhance their effectiveness in predicting financial crises. The central argument of the new agenda aims to eradicate the weaknesses of existing EWMs, since their failure to predict the global financial crisis of 2007–2008 demonstrates the need to improve their efficiency. We document the history of EWMs and propose a new agenda as follows: 1) the accurate measurement of a financial crisis, 2) implementation of a fourthgeneration crisis model to capture the dynamic nature of the financial crisis, and 3) the inclusion of interconnectedness/contagion variables as explanatory variables for the financial crisis.

 Metadata

Collection Type : Artikel Jurnal
Call Number : 332 BEMP 22:4 (2019)
Main entry-Personal name :
Additional entry-Personal name :
Subject :
Publishing : Jakarta: Bank Indonesia Institute, 2019
Cataloguing Source : LibUI eng rda
ISSN : 14108046
Magazine/Journal : Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking
Volume : Vol. 22, No. 4, December 2019: Hal. 457-484
Content Type : text
Media Type : unmediated
Carrier Type : volume
Electronic Access :
Holding Company : Universitas Indonesia
Location : Perpustakaan UI, Lantai 4, R. Koleksi Jurnal
  • Availability
  • Review
  • Cover
Call Number Barcode Number Availability
332 BEMP 22:4 (2019) 08-21-474353741 TERSEDIA
Review:
No review available for this collection: 20512319
Cover