Investasi berkala untuk industri migas nasional diperlukan untuk memperbarui dan mengekstrak cadangan migas, sayangnya investasi terus menurun. Riset ini menganalisis risiko investasi untuk membantu pembuatan keputusan investasi serta menganalisis trilema energi Indonesia. Menggunakan program Python, risiko investasi didapatkan melalui data historikal harga saham 10 perusahaan dalam 10 tahun terakhir. Profil risiko investasi didapatkan berdasarkan parameter pengembalian, varians, standard deviasi, kovarians, korelasi, koefisien beta. Prediksi harga saham 1000 hari ke depan didapatkan dari simulasi Monte Carlo. Investasi hulu migas global berbanding lurus dengan energy security dan energy equity, dan berbanding terbalik dengan environmental sustainability serta dipengaruhi faktor eksternal.

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Periodic investments for the national oil & gas (O&G) industry is needed to continue to produce and replace O&G reserves, but investments are declining. Investment risk analysis can assist decision making for investment and analysis of energy trilemma evaluate Indonesia's energy system. Using the Python program, investment risk is obtained from historical data on stock prices of 10 companies in the last 10 years. The investment risk profile is obtained based on the parameters of return, variance, standard deviation, covariance, correlation, beta coefficient. The stock price forecast for the next 1000 days is obtained using Monte Carlo simulations. Global upstream investments in O&G is directly proportional to energy security and energy equity, and inversely proportional to environmental sustainability. It is also influenced by external factors.