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Hasil Pencarian

Ditemukan 43356 dokumen yang sesuai dengan query
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Puti Adani
"Penelitian ini memanfaatkan informasi yang terdapat di surat kabar sebagai proksi untuk mengukur ketidakpastian ekonomi dengan membentuk Indeks Ketidakpastian Kebijakan Ekonomi Indonesia selama periode 2014-2021. Indeks dibangun dengan menganalisis kumpulan data artikel surat kabar yang mengandung istilah “ekonomi” dan “ketidakpastian”, untuk kemudian untuk mencari topik terkait “kebijakan” di dalam artikel tersebut menggunakan metode text-mining. Berdasarkan frekuensi terbit artikel terpilih kemudian dibentuk indeks dengan mean 100 dan standar deviasi 1 untuk indeks utama dan indeks per topik kebijakan. Atas pergerakan dan variasi indeks diberi pemaknaan sesuai dengan kondisi pada waktu tersebut.Indeks IEPU yang terbentuk kemudian terdiri dari 10 topik kebijakan yang dibagi dalam 8 kategori kebijakan utama; moneter, fiskal, perdagangan, regulasi domestik, regulasi internasional, geopolitik, energi/sumber daya, dan politik yang kemudian dipergunakan untuk membahas variasi pergerakan indeks yang terjadi. Hasil atas perbandingan dengan indeks VIX dan GEPU yang bersifat global menunjukkan korelasi negatif, sedangkan jika dibandingkan dengan indeks WUI untuk Indonesia menghasilkan korelasi positif.'

This research uses information in printed newspapers to create a proxy for measuring uncertainty by forming Indonesia Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for 2014-2021. The index was built by analyzing an extensive data set of articles containing the terms ‘economics’ and ‘uncertainty’ in Bahasa. The text-mining topic modeling method of the Latent Dirichlet was applied to look for terms in the articles that referenced ‘policy.’ Based on the frequency of article publication, an index with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 1 was created. The IEPU index topics consist of eight main policy categories; monetary, fiscal, trade, domestic regulation, international regulation, geopolitics, energy/resources, and politics. In addition, its movement can be described based on economic uncertainty events that happened on the timeline. This research also compares the formed index with pre-existing uncertainty indices, namely the VIX index, the GEPU index, and the WUI index for Indonesia.
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Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2022
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UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Simarmata, Djamester
"This article discusses the indirect roles of urban economy to the national economy through its property and land market. Some national economic instruments have inevitable effects on the local variables, making the concept of regional autonomy limited. The level of interest rates is determined by the central bank, which has a strong nationwide effects, influencing the valuation of property and land, namely in the urbanized areas. One of the main concerns of many people and both local and national governments in the urbanized area is on housing. How should the national policies and local policies be harmonized so that the lower households could afford decent shelters for their families? And how should the policies on the property sectors with its interrelation to the banking system be remedied in order to avoid its negative impacts to the national economy. As is well known, the land and property sector largely depend on local policies."
2003
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Ibrahim Kholilul Rohman Havid Rozaq
"In the economic literature, the relationship between the growth and inflation has been discussed in different ways with respect to the development stages of the world economy. According to the current view, there is a negative relationship between growth and inflation. This seems to be compatible with the fact that the investments and the economic growth have been negatively affected by the high and chronic inflation rates. Thus, improvement of the long-run growth potential depends on the elimination of the uncertainties that stems from high inflation rates. Developments in commodity, service and financial markets necessitate the countries to perceive the world as a global market. The countries (or provinces in our study now) that appraise this process of decentralizations could improve their living standards economically and socially if and only if they manage inflation well hence the economic cost and social cost both are minimize for sustainable growth in each province."
2003
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Dewi Setiawati
"This research develops Industrial Performance Index and shows annual performance index among industries through all and each indicator from 2004 to 2007. There are three criteria and 19 indicators, (1) output (value added, wage, firm), (2) production factor (labor, capital, and technological progress), (3) production cost (labor and capital productivity, material and energy efficiency). The result shows the best performance industry, (1) in 2007 is transportation industry excluded four or more wheel vehicle, (2) in 2006 is recycling industry, (3) in 2005 is machinery and office equipment industry, (4) in 2004 is food and beverage industry.

Studi ini membangun indeks kinerja industri relatif subsektor industri per-indikator dan subsektor industri unggulan pada periode tertentu. Ada tiga ukuran dan sembilan belas indikator yang dipilih yaitu, output (nilai tambah, upah, jumlah perusahaan), faktor produksi (tenaga kerja, barang modal, dan kemajuan teknologi), dan biaya produksi (produktivitas tenaga kerja dan barang modal, efisiensi penggunaan material dan energi). Hasil perhitungan memperlihatkan subsektor industri unggulan pada tahun: (i) 2007 adalah industri alat angkutan, selain kendaraan bermotor roda empat atau lebih, (ii) 2006 adalah industri daur ulang, (iii) 2005 adalah industri mesin dan peralatan kantor, akuntansi dan pengolahan data, dan (iv) 2004 adalah industri makanan dan minuman."
2012
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Joko Waluyo
"The main purpose of this study is to find the effect of budget deficit with foreign loans as source of funding on inflation and economic growth. This study focuses on transmission mechanism of budget deficit funding effects on inflation and economic growth. We use a specific simultaneous macroeconomic model which includes 17 behavioral equations and 18 identity equations with 6 blocks in this study, Two Stage Least Square (TSLS) method is employed to estimate the behavioral equations in the model. This study use Indonesia secondary economic data from 1970 to 2003. Econometric tests are performed to produce BLUE estimator. This study also use stochastic simulation with 10000 replications to simulate policy.The results show that using foreign loan to fund budget deficit increases both economic growth and inflation. This result is also supported by the simulation results which show that increase in the proceeds of new foreign loan increases reserves which in turn increase primary money/money supply/monetary base. Interaction of monetary base with money multiplier then increases price level. increase in capital in flow from increase in foreign loan increases government spending which also increases government spending increases in the government spending then add to government capital stock so that economic growth also increases."
2006
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Hidayat Amir
"Penelitian ini memiliki dua tujuan. Pertama, menganalisis berbagai sektor unggulan (key sector) dalam perekonomian propinsi Jawa Timur antara tahun 1994 dan 2000. Kedua, mengidentifikasi perubahan struktur perekonomian Jawa Timur pada periode yang sama. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis input-output yang telah banyak digunakan untuk menganalisis tingkat keterkaitan antar sektor perekonomian, sektor unggulan, dan angka pengganda sektor ekonomi. Lebih lanjut, perubahan struktur akan dianalisis dengan menggunakan metode yang disebut multiplier product matrix (MPM) yang dapat menggambarkan landscape suatu perekonomian. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa telah terjadi pergeseran dalam beberapa sektor unggulan dan angka pengganda sektoral peranan sektor industri lainnya dan sektor industri makanan, minuman dan tembakau sangat dominan dari sisi besaran outputnya, juga memiliki angka penggandaan yang cukup tinggi. Selain itu, berdasarkan analisis MPM terlihat pula perubahan struktur ekonomi Jawa Timur selama periode 1994 sampai 2000 walaupun tidak drastis. "
2005
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Nuning Trihadmini
"There are several factors influencing the financial system stability, namely the internal and the external factors. The occurrence of stock price volatility internationally, the contagion effects and the spillover effects are some external factors that have effect on the financial system stability. This research aims to know the dynamic relationship of regional and global stocks market in international financial system, and then do the analysis of the occurrence of contagion effects and spillover effects on stock price, and see their influence on domestic economics, monetary policy and financial system stability, by GARCH-VAR model.The results of this research indicate that there are some domination of the mature financial market to regional and domestic market. Moreover, the nearby regional stock price index also have a big contribution to the movement of other regional stock price market. The impact of stock price volatility to the IDR exchange rates volatility is relatively small, but not to the price level which is significantly large. Data analysis shows that there is contagion effects in stock market, but the spillover effect from stock price volatility to exchange rates volatility does not occur."
2011
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Noer Azam Achsani
"The impacts of exchange rate to an economy both domestically and internationally are an interesting discussion. One of the examples for discussion is exchange rate pass-through (ERPT). ERPT is defined as the rate of change of prices (domestic, imported or exported) as a result of change in exchange rate. Consumer price index (CPI) is one of the most frequent indicators used for measuring domestic price. This paper analyzes the impacts of exchange rate change (ERPT) to seven group of CPI in Indonesia. The Cholesky Decomposition is employed to identify structural shock of Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) which then combined with Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for 48 time series units. The result shows that for the entire period there is an incomplete pass-through for the seven group of CPI. The largest effect occurs in the transportation and communication sector and food and beverages sector in which 35 percent of their changes in CPI are affected by change in exchange rate.
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2008
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Artikel Jurnal  Universitas Indonesia Library
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