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"Dinamika pasar modal bukanlah kegiatan yang terisolasi dari aktivitas ekonomi yang berada di luar pasar modal, kondisi makroekonomi yang seringkali mempengaruhi dan menyebabkan gejolak pada pasar modal. Hal tersebut menunjukkan eratnya pengaruh makroekonomi terhadap indeks harga saham gabungan di pasar modal. Oleh karena itu tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah meneliti pengaruh kondisi makroekonomi yang diwakili oleh variabel Nilai kurs, BI rate, Inflasi, dan PDB, serta bagaimana pengaruhnya terhadap indeks harga saham gabungan di Bursa Efek Indonesia selama periode tahun 2005 ? 2014.Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah menggunakan regresi linier berganda. Data diperoleh dari Monthly Statictic, Indonesia Stock Exchange, Indikator ekonomi dari Badan Pusat Statistik, dan Laporan bulanan Bank Indonesia. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel PDB memiliki pengaruh positif signifikan terhadap indeks harga saham gabungan, sedangkan ketiga variabel nilai kurs, inflasi, dan BI rate terbukti memiliki pengaruh negatif terhadap indeks harga saham gabungan. Hasil penelitian juga menyimpulkan bahwa keempat variabel makroekonomi tersebut secara simultan berpengaruh terhadap indeks harga saham gabungan.

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The activity of capital market oftentimes affected by the economy conditions of its country, as well as macroeconomic variables that influence capital market?s activity, it means that there is a relation between macroeconomic variables and capital market?s activity movements. Therefore, this research aims to analyze the impact between four macroeconomic variables such as Inflation, GDP, BI rate, and the exchange rate to Stock Price Index (IHSG) in Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) during the period of July 2005 to December 2014.

This research using multiple regression method to analyze the relationship between Inflation, GDP, BI rate, the exchange rate and Stock Price Index (IHSG), all of data used was obtained from official websites of Indonesia Stock Exchange, Central Bureau of Statistics, and Bank of Indonesia. The result of this research showed that GDP, and exchange rate has a positive influence towards IHSG while the other variables like BI rate is shown to have a negative influence towards IHSG. Inflation surprisingly has no significant effect on the IHSG. This research also concludes that the four macroeconomic variables are simultaneously affect the IHSG."

"Faktor makroekonomi memiliki peran penting dalam pertumbuhan perkonomian sebuah negara. Hal ini secara tidak langsung juga menentukan kondisi dan aktivitas pasar modal negara tersebut. Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh antara kebijakan moneter terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan IHSG pada Bursa Efek Indonesia BEI dengan menggunakan metode time series VAR Vector Autoregressive Representation dan data bulanan setiap variabel sebagai sampel selama periode 2009 ndash; 2016. Variabel dependen yang digunakan adalah Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan IHSG, sementara variabel independen yang digunakan merupakan variabel makroekonomi berupa variabel makroekonomi dengan 5 proksi, yaitu tingkat suku bunga SBI, jumlah uang beredar M2, inflasi, GDP riil, dan nilai tukar kurs. Hasil penelitian yang menemukan adanya kointegrasi kesetimbangan jangka panjang antara variabel makroekonomi dengan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan IHSG menunjukkan terdapat pengaruh signifikan antarvariabel yang menjadi indikator dari kestabilan suatu negara dan mempengaruhi tingkat return yang didapatkan pada pasar modal.

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Macroeconomic variable plays an important role in the economic growth of country. This indirectly also determines the condition and activities of the capital market. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the effect of monetary policy on Jakarta Composite Index JCI on Indonesian Stock Exchange BEI using time series VAR Vector Auto regression Representative method and monthly data of each variable as sample during period 2009 2016. Dependent variable used is Jakarta Composite Index JCI, while independent variable used is macroeconomic variable in the form of monetary policy with 5 proxies, i.e. interest rate SBI, money supply M2, inflation, real GDP, and exchange rates. The result found an existence of co integration long term equilibrium between monetary policies with Jakarta Composite Index JCI, in term of significant effects among these variables which consistent with the statement of Arbitrage Pricing Theory that macroeconomic factors become one affecting indicator of the stability rate of return earned on the capital market. "

"Kondisi pasar modal sendiri tidak terlepas dari pengaruh-pengaruh internal maupun eksternal, dimana perubahan pada tingkatan aktifitas ekonomi khususnya perubahan pada faktor makroekonomi. Oleh sebab itu, penelitian ini akan menggunakan variabel-variabel yang dapat menggambarkan kondisi tersebut, yaitu Indeks Produksi Industri IPI , Indeks Harga Perdagangan Besar IHPB, Suku Bunga Bank Indonesia interest rate, jumlah uang beredar secara luas M2, serta nilai tukar kurs. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji bagaimanakah hubungan antara variabel makroekonomi dengan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan IHSG dengan menggunakan metode time series Vector Autoregresive Model dan Granger Causality untuk melihat arah hubungan tersebut. Data yang digunakan adalah data bulanan setiap variabel selama periode 2007-2016. Hasil penelitian ini menemukan bahwa terdapat kointegrasi hubungan jangka panjang antara variabel makroekonomi dengan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan IHSG dan menunjukan hubungan signifikansi jangka panjangnya. Variabel IPI ditemukan tidak signifikan, sementara IHPB serta KURS ditemukan positif signifikan, dan variabel IR dan M2 ditemukan negatif signifikan. Hasil pengujian arah hubungan menggunakan Granger Causality menunjukan bahwa terdapat hubungan unidirectional antara IHSG terhadap M2, IHSG terhadap Kurs, Kurs terhadap M2, IR terhadap KURS dan hubungan bidirectional antara IHSG dengan IR.

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Condition of the capital market is inseperable from internal and external influences, where capital market are sensitive to changes in the economic activity, especially changes in macroeconomic factors. Therefore, this study will use variables that can describe the condition, namely Industrial Production Index IPI, Wholesale Price Index WPI or IHPB, Interest Rate IR, Broad Money Supply M2 and exchange rate KURS. This study aims to test how the relationship between macroeconomic variables with Jakarta Composite Index JKSE or IHSG using time series Vector Autoregresive Model VAR and Granger Causality to see the direction of the relationship. The data used in this study are monthly data of each variable during the period of 2007 2016.

The result of this study is there is a cointegration long term relationship between macroeconomic variables with Jakarta Composite Index JKSE or IHSG and shows the long term relationship significance. IPI were found unsignificant, IHPB or WPI, and KURS were found to be significantly positive, while IR and M2 were found to be significantly negative. The result of Granger Causality shows that there is unidirectional relationship between JKSE or IHSG to M2, JKSE or IHSG to KURS, KURS to M2, and IR to Kurs and bidirectional relationship between JKSE or IHSG and IR. "

"Penelitian ini secara umum menganalisa pengaruh variabel-variabel ekonomi makro terhadap index harga saham gabungan (IHSG). Dengan menggunakan data variabel makro BI rate, jumlah uang beredar, kurs dollar, inflasi dan PDB, juga IHSG di BEI periode 2005-2014 sebagai variabel dependen. Teknik analisis yang dilakukan pada penelitian ini menggunankan metode regresi linier berganda dengan menggunakan variabel independen BI rate, jumlah uang beredar, kurs dollar, inflasi dan PDB terhadap variabel dependen IHSG.Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa hanya variabel PDB saja yang tidak berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap index harga saham gabungan. Dari empat variabel yang memiliki hubungan yang signifikan dengan IHSG, tiga diantaranya yaitu KURS, BI rate dan INF memiliki hubungan yang negatif, yang artinya jika KURS, BI rate dan INF meningkat maka akan menurunkan nilai IHSG, sedangkan jumlah uang beredar memiliki hubungan yang positif yang artinya jika jumlah uang beredar meningkat maka akan meningkat juga nilai dari IHSG.

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In generally, this research is analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables on Jakarta Composite Index (JCI). By using the macro variable data BI rate, money supply, exchange rate of the dollar, inflation and GDP, also JCI in BEI period 2005-2014 as the dependent variable. Technical analyzes conducted in this study using multiple regression method using independent variables BI rate, money supply, exchange rate of the dollar, inflation and the GDP on the dependent variable JCI.

The results showed that the only variable that GDP alone does not significantly on JCI. Of the four variables have a significant relationship with JCI, three of them namely EXCHANGE ($), BI rate and INF have a negative relationship, which means that if EXCHANGE ($), BI rate and INF increase will decrease the value of JCI, while money supply has a positive relationship which means that if the money supply increase it will too increase value of the JCI."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh bulan Ramadhan sebagai salah satu momentum keagamaan terhadap risiko, tingkat pengembalian, likuiditas, dan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan IHSG di Bursa Efek Indonesia periode 2013-2017. Likuiditas dalam penelitian ini diukur dengan menggunakan Roll rsquo;s Measure, risiko dan tingkat pengembalian diukur menggunakan Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity GARCH , dan IHSG diukur menggunakan angka indeks sederhana atau simple agregative method berdasarkan perubahan harga setiap harinya. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa Ramadhan tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap variabel-variabel penelitian di Bursa Efek Indonesia yang berarti bahwa bulan Ramadhan tidak berpengaruh terhadap pasar saham di Indonesia.

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This research aims to analyze the influence of Ramadan as one of religious momentum in terms of risk, rate of return, liquidity, and composite stock price index CSPI in Indonesia stock exchange in the period of 2013 2017. The liquidity in this study is measured with Roll rsquo s Measure, while the risk and rate of return are measured using Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity GARCH , and the CSPI is measured using simple index number or simple aggregative method based on the daily price change. The result of this research designates that Ramadan does not have any significant influence on the research variables in Indonesia Stock Exchange which indicates that Ramadan does not affect the stock market in Indonesia."

"Skripsi ini membahas mengenai pengaruh variabel makroekonomi terhadap pergerakan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan, yang bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh variabel makroekonomi berupa inflasi, suku bunga SBI, jumlah uang beredar (M2), dan nilai tukar Rupiah (Rp) terhadap Dolar Amerika (USD). Penelitian ini menggunakan metode regresi dengan OLS yang dilanjutkan dengan ARCH/GARCH karena ditemukannya masalah heteroskedastisitas pada data yang diolah. Kesimpulan dari penelitian ini adalah variabel nilai tukar Rupiah (Rp) terhadap Dolar Amerika (USD), jumlah uang beredar dan suku bunga SBI berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan di Bursa Efek Indonesia selama periode 2001-2012 sedangkan variabel inflasi tidak berpengaruh secara signifikan.

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This study investigate the influence of macroeconomic variables on Jakarta Composite Index in the 2001-2012 period. The purpose of this study is to analyze the influence of macroeconomic variables to Jakarta Composite Index such as inflation rate, SBI interest rate, money supply, Rupiah exchange rate to USD. The finding of this study based on regression model with OLS method and ARCH/GARCH method is that exchange rate variables, money supply and SBI rate significantly influence the Jakarta Composite Index and the inflation rate variables is not influence the Jakarta Composite Index significantly. This implies that beside the exchange rate, money supply and SBI rate variables there should be another macroeconomic variables that significantly influence the Jakarta Composite Index."

"Skripsi ini menganalisis pengaruh historical market-to-book terhadap leverage. Dengan variabel independen dalam penelitian ini adalah historical market-to-book yang diukur menggunakan rasio market-to-book sedangkan variabel dependen dari penelitian ini ialah leverage yang diukur menggunakan factor-faktor yang mempengaruhi leverage, diantaranya penerbitan saham, penerbitan hutang, dan laba ditahan baru. Penelitian menggunakan metode OLS. Selain, rasio market-to-book terdapat juga beberapa variable kontrol yang digunakan untuk mengukur perubahan leverage. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan adanya hubungan negative antara rasio market-to-book dengan perubahan leverage, penerbitan saham dan laba ditahan baru. Dimana, hasil penelitian ini konstisten dengan teori market timing

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This research examines the analysis of the relationship between historical market-to-book to leverage. With the independent variable in this research is historical market-to-book which is scaled with market-to-book ratio and the dependent variable is the leverage change which is scaled with net equity issue, net debt Issue, and retained earnings. The in-depth research uses OLS method. This research findings show a significant negative correlation between market-to-book ratio and leverage changes, net equity issues and retained earnings. Which, this result of the test is consistent with the market timing theory."

"Stock Split is one of popular corporate action in capital market. Stock Split is the split of a company's existing stock into more shares. Each stockholder would receive an additional share for each share formerly held depend on the ratio of the split. The implication of the stock split is the pace of the stock becomes cheaper than before, this is something worth for the investors. Furthermore, the demand for the stock will be higher, and the price of the stock will up to certain level which means profitable for the investors. Liquidity is the most mainly listed companies's motivation within stock split, since liquidity is the central theme in the secondary market.This research will examines some problems within stock split are :1. Does stock split influences the stock price changes?2. Does composite stock price indices influences the stock price changes?3. Does earning per share influences the stock price changes?Regarding those problems mentioned above, the objective of this research are :1. Analyzing the influence of stock split to the stock price changes.2. Analyzing the influence of composite stock split indices to the stock price changes.3. Analyzing the influence of earning per share to the stock price changes.The period of the stock split study started from January 1 until December 31 on the year 2000. The samples which is used in the study are the stock listed in the Jakarta Stock Exchange minimum 7.5 months before the effective date of the stock split. The study period in this research from July 1 1999 until April 30, 2001. The study period started 7.5 months before the first listed company announce the stock split in the year 2000 and 4.5 months after the last listed company announce the stock split in the year 2000.The Signaling Hypothesis Theory is the foundation of the research, which indicate the stock split announcement intended to rise a positive signal to the investors. A good prospect of the company is something managements objective of the announcement of stock split. In this scheme, stock split will increase the value of the company.Based on the test and analysis of the statistical result, founded some conclusions which are :1. Stock split during the year 2000 has no positive response from investors. It indicates investors judge the stock split has no influence to company's growth profitability signal for the future.2. During study period, earning per share and earning per share changes significantly correlate to the changes of stock price. This result support the previous research such as Benston (1966), Ball & Brown (1988), and Beaver (1968), where earning per share (EPS) as an accounting profit measurement has a significant influence to the changes of stock price.3. Composite stock price indices (IHSG) variable has no significant influence to the relative stock price changes, nevertheless the changes of composite stock price indices's variable has a significant influence to the relative stock price changes.4. All of the independent variables those are earning per share, composite stock price indices, and stock split together have a significant influence to the relative stock price changes.Based on the conclusion above, researcher gives any suggestions or recommendations to the party related the stock split concern to the investment activity at Jakarta Stock Exchange, those are :1. Timing is a determinant factor for the successful of stock split. Successful timing will determined the liquidity of the stock after stock split. For certain level, bearish market will not support the liquidity of the stock after stock split. That's why maintaining the market psychology for the company is relevant.2. Since investing in the common stock related to the prospect of the company, management must consider and managing the fundamental of the company before making a planning of stock split. Prospective fundamental will support the effectiveness and successfull of the stock split.3. Regarding the decrease of the volume of stock trading, management must aware the the decreasing the value of the stock price, which means management must maintain the appropriate level due to the company's performance. Periodic evaluation of the stock price changes must be scheduled.4. During the study period, researcher find an anomaly due to Signaling Hypothesis Theory. For that reason, based on the theory of Efficient Capital Market, stock split should be implemented for the atmosphere of efficient market On that, stock price reflected the real market reaction under stock split.5. Stock split still remain a puzzling phenomenon to financial analyst and also researchers. That's why, next researchers which cover wider data and period including bullish and bearish market are highly importment to discover the phenomenon of stock split."

"Di pasar modal Indonesia, IHSG sangat penting karena bisa menjadi tolak ukur kesehatan ekonomi di Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui hubungan antara variabel makroekonomi terhadap indeks harga saham digabungkan di Bursa Efek Indonesia untuk periode 2009-2018. Variabel makroekonomi yang diuji dalam penelitian ini adalah suku bunga Bank Indonesia, tingkat inflasi, jumlah uang beredar dan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap Dolar AS. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder kuantitatif dan diuji menggunakan analisis kointegrasi dan pendekatan kausalitas. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data periode bulanan 2009-2018. Hasil penelitian yang diperoleh menyatakan antara semua variabel makroekonomi memiliki hubungan jangka panjang dengan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan periode 2009-2018.

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In the Indonesian capital market, the JCI is very important because it can be a measure of economic health in Indonesia. This study aims to determine the relationship between macroeconomic variables on the stock price index combined in the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2009-2018. The macroeconomic variables tested in this study are the Bank Indonesia interest rate, the inflation rate, the money supply and the rupiah exchange rate against the US Dollar. This study used quantitative secondary data and was tested using cointegration analysis and a causality approach. The data used in this study are the 2009-2018 monthly data. The results obtained indicate that all macroeconomic variables have a long-term relationship with the Composite Stock Price Index for the 2009-2018 period."

"Penelitian ini mengkaji pengaruh hari raya keagamaan khususnya Idul Fitri, Waisak, dan Natal di pasar modal Indonesia, Malaysia dan Thailand. Untuk uji ketahanan, libur tahun baru juga diuji. Jangka waktu dalam penelitian ini dimulai dari tahun 2008 setelah terjadinya krisis keuangan global hingga tahun 2018. Objek penelitian ini dibagi menjadi tujuh hari sebelum hari libur dan tujuh hari setelah hari libur. Metode analisis yang digunakan meliputi statistik deskriptif, model ARMA, model ARCH, dan model GARCH. Hasil dari penelitian ini adalah terdapat pengaruh yang signifikan antara holiday terhadap return indeks harga saham di Indonesia dan Thailand selama periode penelitian, berbeda dengan indeks harga saham di Malaysia dimana tidak terdapat pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap holiday effect.

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This study examines the influence of religious holidays, especially Eid al-Fitr, Vesak, and Christmas on the Indonesian, Malaysian and Thai capital markets. For endurance tests, New Year's holidays were also tested. The time period in this study starts from 2008 after the global financial crisis until 2018. The object of this research is divided into seven days before holidays and seven days after holidays. The analytical methods used include descriptive statistics, ARMA models, ARCH models, and GARCH models. The result of this research is that there is a significant effect between holiday on stock price index returns in Indonesia and Thailand during the study period, in contrast to the stock price index in Malaysia where there is no significant effect on the holiday effect."