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"ABSTRACTA multi level and multi node supply chain multi agent simulation model is established based on the two maximum inventory level replenishment strategies, which consider the superior shipments. The effect of these two replenishment strategies on the bullwhip effect of supply chain role level and enterprise node is discussed. This paper describes in detail how the supply chain enterprises deal with important issues such as, receipt from superior, subordinate delivery, and order to the higher level. What is more important is that how to carry out demand forecasting and replenishment using the maximum inventory level strategy when ordering to the superiors. Results show that the bullwhip effects on the other three kinds of scenarios are all different from those with a higher quantity of goods, which the bullwhip effect is not notable. The bullwhip effect significantly increases from downstream to upstream. In the development of replenishment strategy, compared to not considering the superior shipments, considering it will significantly reduce the layer bullwhip effect and node bullwhip effect of the agents in supply chain. Considering the superior shipments has brought beneficial impact to the order quantity stability of each layer and the order quantity stability of each node enterprise."

"ABSTRAKPenelitian ini membahas tentang bullwhip effect yang memberikan pengaruh terhadap kegiatan dari operasional perusahaan yang berfokus kepada kegiatan di dalam rantai pasokan perusahaan dan meneliti aspek-aspek dari rantai pasokan yang dapat dipengaruhi oleh bullwhip effect dan aspek apa saja yang dapat dijadikan sebagai alat penilaian untuk mengukur kinerja rantai pasokan dari jaringan rantai pasokan. Hasil penelitian menemukan bullwhip effect memberikan pengaruh yang negatif kepada rantai pasokan dimulai dari hulu sampai ke hilir atau dari pemasok sampai ke konsumen akhir, sehingga perlu dimitigasi oleh perusahaan agar pada saat berjalannya proses operasional tidak mengalami gangguan penurunan kinerja rantai pasokan, serta memberikan aspek-aspek dari kinerja rantai pasokan yang bisa dioptimalkan oleh perusahaan untuk mendapatkan keunggulan kompetitif.

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ABSTRACTThis research discusses the bullwhip effect that influences the company operational activities that focus on activities in the company supply chain and examines aspects of the supply chain that can be influenced by the bullwhip effect and what aspects can be used as assessment tools to measure supply chain performance from the supply chain network. The results of the research found that the bullwhip effect had a negative influence on the supply chain starting from upstream to downstream or from suppliers to end-customers, so that it needed to be mitigated by the company so that during the operational process the supply chain does not experience a disruption in the supply chain, and provide aspects of supply chain performance that can be optimized by the company to gain a competitive advantage."

"Kebijakan afirmasi pendidikan tinggi merupakan upaya untuk mewujudkan pendidikan yang inklusif. APK pendidikan tinggi menjadi indikator 4.3.1(a) SDGs. Undang-Undang Nomor 12 Tahun 2012 tentang Pendidikan Tinggi mengamanatkan perhatian khusus bagi kelompok afirmasi. Lebih lanjut Permendikbud No.27 Tahun 2018 tentang Afirmasi Pendidikan Tinggi semakin memperkuat implementasi dari kebijakan afirmasi pendidikan tinggi. Namun terdapat permasalahan seperti kesenjangan capaian APK Indonesia dengan negara ASEAN, capaian APK nasional yang belum sesuai target SDGs, dan kesenjangan APK antar daerah. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh dari kebijakan afirmasi terhadap akses pendidikan tinggi di Indonesia tahun 2018-2022. Penelitian ini menguji 550 observasi dari 110 kabupaten/kota yang selalu menerima beasiswa ADik selama tahun 2018-2022. Data panel diestimasi menggunakan twoways fixed effect model dengan turut mengontrol beberapa karakteristik mencakup intervensi pendidikan lainnya, perguruan tinggi, fasilitas/infrastruktur, sosial-demografi, dan ekonomi. Hasil pengujian menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan afirmasi dalam bentuk beasiswa afirmasi pendidikan tinggi (ADik) baik secara total maupun proporsional, berpengaruh signifikan positif terhadap APK. Pada pengujian subsample, ADik menunjukkan pengaruh signifikan positif pada wilayah 3T namun tidak signifikan pada wilayah Papua. Lebih lanjut ADik konsisten menunjukkan pengaruh signifikan positif pada wilayah Papua 3T.

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The affirmative policy on higher education is an effort to promote inclusive education. The gross enrollment ratio (APK) of higher education is an indicator 4.3.1(a) of SDGs. Law No. 12 of 2012 on Higher Education mandates special attention for affirmative groups. Furthermore, the Ministerial Regulation of Education and Culture No. 27 of 2018 on Affirmative Higher Education strengthens the implementation of the affirmative policy of higher education. However, challenges remain, as there is a gap between the APK of Indonesia and other ASEAN countries, the national APK has not met the SDGs target, and there is a gap in APK among regions in Indonesia. This study aims to determine the relationship between affirmative scholarship (ADik) and access to higher education in Indonesia in 2018-2022. This study applies 550 observations from 110 districts/cities that always received ADik scholarships during 2018-2022. Panel data is used with a two-way fixed effect regression model by employing several characteristics as control variables, including other policy interventions, number of universities, facilities/infrastructure, socio-demographics, and economy. The results show that the affirmative scholarships (ADik), both in total and proportionally, have a significant positive effect on the APK of higher education. Moreover, ADik has a significant positive effect in almost all the underdeveloped, frontier, and outermost regions (3T regions) but has no significant effect in Papua as a whole. ADik has a significant positive effect in the Papua regions that are categorized as the 3T regions."

"This paper describes the application of the geometrical theory of diffraction (GTD) method to predict the ground plane effect on the rectangular antenna radiation pattern. In the analysis we used a Matlab Software version 4.2c1 to develop a rectangular microstrip antenna software. The results verify that the antenna radiation pattern is affected significantly by the ground plane."

"Penyakit filariasis adalah penyakit yang menyerang saluran dan kelenjar getah bening. Penyakit ini disebabkan oleh cacing filaria dan ditularkan melalui nyamuk. Spesies cacing yang menjadi penyebab filariasis, yaitu Wuchereria bancrofti, Brugia malayi, dan Brugia timori. Sementara, genus nyamuk yang menjadi perantara penularan filariasis, yaitu Mansonia, Anopheles, Culex, Aedes, dan Armigeres. Terdapat beberapa hal yang dapat dilakukan untuk mengendalikan penyebaran penyakit fiariasis, diantaranya melakukan proses screening dan pengobatan. Pada skripsi ini digunakan model matematika untuk membahas bagaimana pengendalian penyakit filariasis dengan mempertimbangkan efek kesalahan diagnosis dalam proses screening. Model dikonstruksi dengan menggunakan pendekatan sistem persamaan diferensial nonlinier berdimensi sembilan dengan dua populasi, yaitu populasi manusia dan populasi nyamuk. Populasi manusia dibagi ke dalam tujuh kompartemen dan populasi nyamuk dibagi ke dalam dua kompartemen. Kajian analitik yang dilakukan terhadap model yang telah dikonstruksi, yaitu menentukan eksistensi dan menganalisis kestabilan titik keseimbangan, menentukan bilangan reproduksi dasar, dan menyelidiki eksistensi bifurkasi dari model yang telah dikonstruksi. Simulasi numerik terdiri dari analisis elastisitas dan sensitivitas bilangan reproduksi dasar serta simulasi autonomous. Hasil analitik didukung oleh simulasi numerik terkait elastisitas dan sensitivitas bilangan reproduksi dasar serta simulasi autonomous. 

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Filariasis is a disease that attacks the ducts and lymph nodes. This disease is caused by filarial worms and transmitted by mosquitoes. Worms that cause filariasis are from the species Wuchereria bancrofti, Brugia malayi, and Brugia timori. The genus of mosquitoes that transmit filariasis, namely Mansonia, Anopheles, Culex, Aedes, and Armigeres. Several things can be done to control the spread of filariasis, such as implementing a screening process and treatment. This study uses a mathematical model to discuss controlling filariasis by considering the effect of misdiagnosing in the screening process. The model is constructed using a system of nine-dimensional nonlinear differential equations approach with two populations, namely the human population and the mosquito population. The human population is divided into seven compartments, and the mosquito population is divided into two compartments. The analytical study was carried out to analyze the existence and stability of the equilibrium points, analyze the basic reproduction number, and investigate the existence of bifurcations of the model that has been constructed. The numerical simulation consists of the analysis of the elasticity and sensitivity of basic reproduction number and autonomous simulation. The analytical results are supported by numerical simulations related to the elasticity and sensitivity of basic reproduction number and autonomous simulation."

"This study aimed to determine the effect of septoplasty on functional outcomes and physical fitness level.Seventeen patients (mean age = 27.52 ± 7.77 years) with obvious nasal septal deviations (NSDs) were enrolled in the study. All patients underwent a detailed otorhinolaryngologic examination, and the functional movement skills and physical fitness level were evaluated before operation and 6 months after the operation. functional outcomes were assessed using the timed up and go test and timed up and down stairs test. The physical fitness level of patients was assessed using 6-min walking test (6-mWT), muscle strength tests, muscle endurance tests, flexibility tests, agility test, speed tests, and balance tests. A significant improvement was observed in functional outcomes and most of physical fitness parameters after septoplasty operation (P < 0.05). These findings suggested a positive effect of septoplasty on the physical fitness level and functional outcomes, which could be an important point for the relationship of physical fitness level and functional outcomes with NSD."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh kebijakan Dana Desa terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Indonesia menggunakan presentase penduduk miskin (P0), indeks kedalaman kemiskinan (P1) dan indeks keparahan kemiskinan (P2). Metode yang digunakan adalah gabungan metode kuantitatif dan kualitatif. Fase kuantitatif menggunakan model data panel level kabupaten/kota penerima kebijakan dana desa periode tahun 2015-2020. Fase kualitatif melakukan studi kasus pada Desa Kenebibi di Kabupaten Belu Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur sebagai desa sampel. Hasil estimasi model fixed effect menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan dana desa terbukti secara statistik menurunkan P0 namun tidak berpengaruh terhadap P1 dan P2. Hasil estimasi tersebut diperkuat melalui temuan penelitian kualitatif di lapangan bahwa program prioritas dari kebijakan dana desa berupa pembangunan dan pemberdayaan masyarakat belum sepenuhnya dirasakan manfaatnya oleh warga miskin desa khususnya kelompok miskin terbawah sehingga kedalaman kemiskinan dan keparahan kemiskinan tidak mampu diatasi dengan Dana Desa. Hasil penelitian tersebut menyarankan bahwa pemerintah perlu mengevaluasi formulasi pengalokasian dana desa dengan memperhitungkan kedalaman dan keparahan kemiskinan, mempertimbangkan keberadaan komunitas marginal sebagai karakteristik desa, termasuk melibatkan kelompok masyarakat miskin terbawah di desa.

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The aim of this study is to determine the effect of the Village Fund policy on poverty rates in Indonesia using the head count index (P0), poverty gap index (P1) and poverty severity index (P2), by applying a combination of quantitative and qualitative methods. The quantitative phase uses a panel data model at the district/city level that receives village fund policies in the span of 2015-2020, while a case study in Kenebibi Village in Belu Regency, East Nusa Tenggara Province (sample village) serves as the qualitative phase. Based on the estimation results of the fixed effect model, the village fund policy is statistically proven to reduce P0 but has no effect on P1 and P2. This results were then confirmed through the findings of qualitative research, which shows that the priority programs of the village fund policy in the form of development and community empowerment had not fully benefited the poor of the village, especially the lowest poor groups. Thus, the poverty gap and the severity of poverty could not be solved by village funds. The results of this study suggest that the government needs to evaluate the formulation of village fund allocations by taking into account the gap and severity of poverty, considering the existence of marginal communities as village characteristics, including involving the lowest poor community groups in the village."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui hubungan antara Kebijakan Bea Masuk Anti Dumping terhadap tingkat daya saing industri. Faktor Tingkat Daya Saing menggunakan metode perhitungan Revealed Comparative Advantage/ RCA. Untuk faktor independen diwakili oleh variable Pengenaan Bea Masuk Anti Dumping, Kurs, Inflasi dan Pendapatan Domestik Bruto. Data yang digunakan adalah dataPanel denganjumlah individu/ Cross section yang diamati berdasarkan HS 6-digit terhadap barang-barang yang dikenakan BMAD di Indonesia selama periode 2008-2011. Data time series yang digunakan adalah data tahunan untuk periode tahun 2007–2012. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah Uji Signifikansi dan Random Effect (RE). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan pengenaan Bea Masuk Anti Dumping tidak mempengaruhi tingkat daya saing Industri secara positif

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The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between Anti Dumping Policy on Industrial Competitiveness level. Industrial Competitiveness level factor is measured by Revealed Comparative Advantage approach, while Independen variable are represented by Anti Dumping Policy, Exchange rate (Kurs), Inflation, Gross Domestic Bruto (GDB), and the trade activities. The data used are pooled data with cross section observed based on the 6-Digit HS for goods that imposed Anti Dumping Policy during 2008-2011. Data Time series annual for the period 2007- 2012. The method used is the Significance Test and Random Effect (RE). The results showed that imposing the policy of anti-dumping duty does not affect the level of competitiveness of the industry positively.

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"Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui secara empiris apakah kenaikan kompensasi berdampak pada kinerja pegawai negeri sipil. Sepuluh hingga dua puluh persen pegawai negeri sipil mencapai kinerja luar biasa, namun pada kenyataannya hal ini berbanding terbalik. Peningkatan kompensasi merupakan salah satu langkah pemerintah untuk meningkatkan kinerja aparatur sipil negara. Inefisiensi akan dipengaruhi oleh kenaikan kompensasi tanpa peningkatan kinerja. Namun, keterbatasan penelitian kami adalah kami tidak dapat melakukan estimasi pada tangkat individu. Hal ini dikarenakan informasi kinerja pengawai negeri pada level individu bersifat rahasia dan tidak tersedia untuk umum. Kami hanya dapat melakukan pengamatan dengan merata-ratakan nilai kinerja individu pegawai negeri sipil pada tingkat institusional. Dengan menggunakan pendekatan estimasi two-way panel data estimation, kami menemukan bahwa kenaikan kompensasi rata-rata 1 (satu) juta rupiah memiliki asosiasi positif sebesar 0.758 poin terhadap nilai kinerja individu secara rata-rata. Sedangkan nilai yang sama memiliki asosiasi positif sebesar 0.434 poin terhadap nilai kinerja organisasi yang dicerminkan melalui nilai akuntabilitas kinerja instansi pemerintah, namun lemah secara signifikansi statistik. Walaupun dampaknya terhadap individu relatif besar, dampak tersebut belum dapat sepenuhnya meningkatkan kinerja organisasi.

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This study aims to determine empirically whether an increase in compensation impacts individual government servant's performance. Ten to twenty percent of employees achieve great performance, which serves as the driving force behind this study. Despite the fact that in reality, this is inversely proportional. Increasing in compensation is one of the government's measures to improve civil services performance. Inefficiency will be affected by a compensation raise without an improvement in performance. However, a limitation of our research is that we are unable to see individuals. Because personal information is private and not publicly available, we can only make observations at the institutional level. By using a two-way panel data estimation approach, we found that an increase in compensation of IDR 1 million on average has a positive association of 0.758 points on individual performance values. Meanwhile, the same value has a positive association of 0.434 points on organizational performance, but it is significantly weak. Even though the impact on individuals is relatively large, this impact has not been able to fully improve organizational performance."