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Hasil Pencarian

Ditemukan 147520 dokumen yang sesuai dengan query
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Purba, Ezra Valentino
"Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan tujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh cross-sectional risk, yang merupakan risiko spesifik bisnis dan volatilitas pasar saham, sebagai variabel untuk mengestimasi risiko makroekonomi di Indonesia. Penelitian ini mengobservasi perusahaan- perusahaan publik di Indonesia dan data-data makroekonomi Indonesia pada periode 2004-2020. Dalam penelitian ini, penulis menggunakan term spread sebagai variabel dependen yang merefleksikan risiko makroekonomi, dan financial friction, arus kas, debt-service-ratio, dan volatilitas pasar saham sebagai variabel independen. Dengan menggunakan metode Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model, penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa risiko perusahaan secara spesifik dan risiko pasar saham mampu mengestimasi risiko makroekonomi, sehingga menjadi sinyal awal shock ekonomi, seperti resesi atau inflasi tinggi di masa depan. Model dalam penelitian ini juga meneliti hubungan cross-sectional risk terhadap indikator makroekonomi lainnya, seperti consumer confidence index, money supply, dan neraca dagang Indonesia. Setiap variabel merepresentasikan makna masing-masing dalam menjelaskan risiko makroekonomi Indonesia. Hasil penelitian ini diharapkan dapat memberikan wawasan kepada peneliti selanjutnya, investor, pelaku bisnis, perbankan, dan regulator.

This study was conducted with the aim of knowing the effect of cross-sectional risk, which comprises business-specific risk and stock market volatility, as a variable for estimating macroeconomic risk in Indonesia. This study observes public companies in Indonesia and Indonesian macroeconomic data in the period 2004-2020. In this study, the authors use term spread as the dependent variable that reflects macroeconomic risk, and the cross-sectional risk comprises financial friction, cash flow, debt-service-ratio, and stock market volatility as independent variables. By using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model method, this study shows that business-specific risk and stock market risk are able to estimate macroeconomic risk, so that it becomes an early signal of economic shock, such as recession or high inflation in the future. The model in this study also examines the cross-sectional risk relationship with other macroeconomic indicators, such as the consumer confidence index, money supply, and Indonesia's trade balance. Each variable represents its own meaning in explaining Indonesia's macroeconomic risk. The results of this study are expected to provide insight to further researchers, investors, entrepreneurs, banks, and regulators."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2021
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UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Rian Arfiansah
"Penelitian ini membahas tentang pengaruh variabel makroekonomi terhadap tingkat pengembalian pasar saham negara-negara maju dan berkembang. Variabel makroekonomi yang digunakan adalah produksi industri dan tingkat suku bunga. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh dari dua variabel makroekonomi tersebut terhadap tingkat pengembalian pasar saham. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa tingkat produksi industri berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap tingkat pengembalian pasar saham baik pada negara-negara maju maupun berkembang. Sementara tingkat suku bunga berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap tingkat pengembalian pasar saham baik pada negara-negara maju maupun berkembang.

This study discusses the impacts of macroeconomic variables on the stock market returns in developed and emerging countries. The macroeconomic variables used are industrial production and interest rates. The purpose of this study is to determine the impacts of the two macroeconomic variables on stock market returns. The results of this study indicate that industrial production has a significant positive effect on stock market returns in both developed and developing countries. While interest rates have a significant negative effect on stock market returns in developed and developing countries."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2019
S-pdf
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Muhamad Putra Adimanggala
"Penelitian ini berutujuan untuk menganalisa efek dari pandemic COVID-19 yang terjadi di Indonesia terhadap volatilitas pasar saham di Indonesia, dengan menggunakan beberapa variabel yaitu, exchange rate USD/IDR, harga emas, dan harga minyak. Metode yang digunakan untuk pengolahan data yaitu Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) dengan alat yang digunakan adalah EVIEWS.

This research aims to analyze the effect of COVID-19 pandemic that happens globally towards stock market volatility in Indonesia. Several variabels that are used in this research are, USD/IDR exchange rate, price of gold, and price of oil. The method that this research use is Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) which processed by EVIEWS. "
Jakarta: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2023
T-pdf
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Fachrial Banyu Asmoro
"[Dalam pasar keuangan, mendapatkan suatu abnormal return merupakan suatu hal
yang diinginkan oleh semua investor baik itu investor skala besar, skala kecil, trader,
maupun oleh perusahaan efek dalam hal ini broker. Berbagai macam teknik dalam
melakukan suatu transaksi dilakukan oleh para investor, untuk mendapatkan
abnormal return, mulai dengan melakukan suatu riset untuk mendapatkan intrinsic
value dari sebuah perusahaan sampai dengan melakukan suatu tindak kejahatan
dalam pasar keuangan. Tindak kejahatan yang terjadi dalam pasar keuangan dapat
bermacam-macam bentuknya mulai dari penipuan dalam bertransaksi sampai dengan
manipulasi pasar. Dalam hal menanggulangi kerugian yang mungkin didapatkan oleh
masing-masing pelaku keuangan, para otoritas dalam negeri membuat bermacammacam
regulasi. Namun dalam hal ini, tindakan manipulasi pasar merupakan
tindakan kejahatan yang sangat sulit untuk dibuktikan, seperti yang telah
diungkapkan oleh Jarrow (1992). Tesis ini mengukur tingkat volatilitas dan likuiditas
sebagai proksi untuk indikasi manipulasi pasar dalam bursa saham Indonesia. Dalam
meneliti manipulasi pasar, volatilitas dan likuiditas dijadikan sebuah acuan yang
dapat menggambarkan perilaku dari investor untuk menipu investor lainnya dalam
mendapatkan abnormal return. Metode pengukuran yang digunakan adalah dengan
mengukur order cancellation dari masing-masing jenis saham seperti yang telah
dilakukan oleh Chan dan Ma (2014). Dengan demikian dapat dianalisis pengaruh
order cancellation ini dalam tindakan kejahatan manipulasi pasar yang berupa orderbased
manipulation;In financial markets, getting an abnormal return is something that is desired by all
investors both large-scale investors, small-scale traders, as well as by the company in
this case securities broker. Various techniques in performing a transaction carried out
by the investor, to obtain abnormal return, started by doing some research to get the
intrinsic value of a company until committing a crime in the financial markets.
Crimes that occurred in the financial markets vary from fraud in transactions through
market manipulation. In terms of handling the losses that is gained by each of the
financial actors, the authorities in the country make the various regulations. But in
this case, the action of market manipulation is very difficult to prove, as has been
revealed by Jarrow (1992). This thesis measures the volatility and liquidity levels as a
proxy for an indication of market manipulation in the Indonesian stock market. In
researching market manipulation, volatility and liquidity can be used as a reference
for describing the behavior of other investors to defraud investors in obtaining
abnormal returns. Measurement method used is to measure the cancellation order of
each type of shares as has been done by Chan and Ma (2014). Thus it can be analyzed
the effect of this cancellation order in the criminal market manipulation in the form of
an order-based manipulation;In financial markets, getting an abnormal return is something that is desired by all
investors both large-scale investors, small-scale traders, as well as by the company in
this case securities broker. Various techniques in performing a transaction carried out
by the investor, to obtain abnormal return, started by doing some research to get the
intrinsic value of a company until committing a crime in the financial markets.
Crimes that occurred in the financial markets vary from fraud in transactions through
market manipulation. In terms of handling the losses that is gained by each of the
financial actors, the authorities in the country make the various regulations. But in
this case, the action of market manipulation is very difficult to prove, as has been
revealed by Jarrow (1992). This thesis measures the volatility and liquidity levels as a
proxy for an indication of market manipulation in the Indonesian stock market. In
researching market manipulation, volatility and liquidity can be used as a reference
for describing the behavior of other investors to defraud investors in obtaining
abnormal returns. Measurement method used is to measure the cancellation order of
each type of shares as has been done by Chan and Ma (2014). Thus it can be analyzed
the effect of this cancellation order in the criminal market manipulation in the form of
an order-based manipulation;In financial markets, getting an abnormal return is something that is desired by all
investors both large-scale investors, small-scale traders, as well as by the company in
this case securities broker. Various techniques in performing a transaction carried out
by the investor, to obtain abnormal return, started by doing some research to get the
intrinsic value of a company until committing a crime in the financial markets.
Crimes that occurred in the financial markets vary from fraud in transactions through
market manipulation. In terms of handling the losses that is gained by each of the
financial actors, the authorities in the country make the various regulations. But in
this case, the action of market manipulation is very difficult to prove, as has been
revealed by Jarrow (1992). This thesis measures the volatility and liquidity levels as a
proxy for an indication of market manipulation in the Indonesian stock market. In
researching market manipulation, volatility and liquidity can be used as a reference
for describing the behavior of other investors to defraud investors in obtaining
abnormal returns. Measurement method used is to measure the cancellation order of
each type of shares as has been done by Chan and Ma (2014). Thus it can be analyzed
the effect of this cancellation order in the criminal market manipulation in the form of
an order-based manipulation, In financial markets, getting an abnormal return is something that is desired by all
investors both large-scale investors, small-scale traders, as well as by the company in
this case securities broker. Various techniques in performing a transaction carried out
by the investor, to obtain abnormal return, started by doing some research to get the
intrinsic value of a company until committing a crime in the financial markets.
Crimes that occurred in the financial markets vary from fraud in transactions through
market manipulation. In terms of handling the losses that is gained by each of the
financial actors, the authorities in the country make the various regulations. But in
this case, the action of market manipulation is very difficult to prove, as has been
revealed by Jarrow (1992). This thesis measures the volatility and liquidity levels as a
proxy for an indication of market manipulation in the Indonesian stock market. In
researching market manipulation, volatility and liquidity can be used as a reference
for describing the behavior of other investors to defraud investors in obtaining
abnormal returns. Measurement method used is to measure the cancellation order of
each type of shares as has been done by Chan and Ma (2014). Thus it can be analyzed
the effect of this cancellation order in the criminal market manipulation in the form of
an order-based manipulation]"
2015
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UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Yulia Safrina
"Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh konsensus rekomendasi dan jumlah analis terhadap abnormal return perusahaan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Studi ini menganalisis imbal hasil saham 168 perusahaan dari periode Januari 2007 hingga Desember 2012 yang mendapatkan rekomendasi, yang dikumpulkan dari pusat data Institutional Brokers Estimate System (I/B/E/S). Imbal hasil dihitung menggunakan Buy and Hold Abnormal Return (BHAR) selama 5 hari dan 20 hari.
Hasil analisis menunjukkan terdapat pengaruh signifikan positif konsensus rekomendasi dan signifikan negatif jumlah analis terhadap abnormal return. Nilai negatif dari jumlah analis dapat menjadi indikasi adanya dispersi rekomendasi yang tinggi antar analis dalam konsensus rekomendasi analis. Di saat krisis, konsensus rekomendasi menghasilkan abnormal return yang lebih rendah dibandingkan pada saat stabil. Sementara itu tidak ada perbedaan pengaruh jumlah analis dalam periode krisis dan normal.

The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of recommendation consensus and number of analyst in abnormal returns of listed firms in Indonesia Stock Exchange. This study analyzes 168 covered firm?s data from the period December 2006 to December 2012, collected from Institutional Brokers Estimate System (I/B/E/S). Abnormal return is calculated with Buy and Hold Abnormal Return (BHAR) for 5 days and 20 days.
Findings shows that there is a significant positive impact from recommendation consensus and significant negative impact from number of analyst to abnormal return. Negative value from number of analyst could indicate a high dispersion of recommendations in analyst recommendation consensus. On crisis period, recommendation consensus has lower abnormal return than on normal period. In addition, there is no difference of number of analyst effect between crisis and normal period.
"
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2013
T38631
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Teddy Santoso
"ABSTRAK
Tesis ini bertujuan untuk menganalisa keberadaan perilaku herding di Bursa Efek Indonesia dan pengaruhnya terhadap imbal hasil IHSG tahun 2015 ndash;2016. Analisis dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode Cross Sectional Standard Deviation CSSD dan Cross Sectional Absolute Deviation CSAD . Kedua metode tersebut mengukur penyebaran imbal hasil antara saham individu dengan IHSG. Hasil penelitian membuktikan bahwa perilaku herding tidak terjadi di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada tahun 2015-2016 dengan menggunakan kedua metode tersebut. Selain itu, penelitian ini membuktikan bahwa volume transaksi hanya berpengaruh signifikan terhadap imbal hasil IHSG tahun 2016.

ABSTRACT
This thesis is aimed to analyze existence of herding behavior ini Indonesia Stock Exchange and its impact on IHSG return volatility for 2015 2016 period. Cross Sectional Standard Deviation CSSD and Cross Sectional Absolute Deviation CSAD method are used in this research. Both method measure return dispersion between individual stock and IHSG. Empirical results show that there are no evidence of herding behavior in Indonesia Stock Exchange for 2015 2016 period. Beside of that, this research shows that transaction volume has significant impact on IHSG return volatility only on 2016 period."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2017
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UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Araz Felayagi
"Penelitian ini meneliti hubungan dinamis pada volatilitas antar sektor industri di pasar saham Indonesia dengan melihat tren dan pola kausalitas pada industri tersebut. Observasi dilakukan pada 10 klasifikasi sektor industri dengan kurun waktu Mei 2003 - April 2014. Data yang digunakan merupakan data time series yang bersumber dari EIKON Thomson Reuters. Dengan menggunakan model estimasi Ordinary Least Square, didapatkan hasil bahwa terdapat tren negatif pada volatilitas di 7 sektor industri. Dengan menggunakan metode granger - causality ditemukan pula bahwa jika dilihat dari pola kausalitasnya, volatilitas sektor keuangan (JKFINA) merupakan sektor yang memiliki pengaruh paling luas terhadap volatilitas sektor industri lainnya.

This research examines the dynamic linkage between industry - specific volatility in Indonesia’s capital market by observing the trend and causality pattern of each industry. 10 industry classification are observed within period of May 2003 - April 2014. By using time series data provided by EIKON Thomson Reuters and by using Ordinary Least Square estimation model, research finds that there is a negative trend in 7 out of 10 industry volatilities. By using granger - causality method, research also finds that volatility in financial sector (JKFINA) has the most influence to volatility in another sector.
"
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2014
S56593
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Fikka Nurizka
"Skripsi ini membahas tentang analisis pengaruh sebelum dan sesudah pengumuman right issue terhadap volatilitas harga saham dan volume perdagangan yang meliputi volatility persistence dengan menggunakan pendekatan time varying volatility. Sampel yang digunakan adalah perusahaan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia 2006-2015 yang melakukan right issue. Model Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity ARCH dan Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity GARCH digunakan untuk menjelaskan volatilitas dalam penelitian ini. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa volatilitas harga saham dan volume perdagangan yang meningkat sebelum pengumuman dan menurun setelah pengumuman right issue.

The Focus of this study is to analyze the significance of stock price and trading volume volatility around right issue announcement date, covering volatility persistence by using time varying volatility approach. The sample used is listed company in Indonesia Stock Exchange for the periode 2006 2015 which have done right issue. Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity ARCH and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity GARCH model is used to examine the volatility. The results indicate that stock price and trading volume volatility have increased before the announcements and decreased after the rights issue announcements.
"
Depok: Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik Universitas Indonesia, 2017
S66732
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Isnaeni Fitrahadi
"Penelitian terbaru dalam behavioral finance telah menyangkal teori pasar efisien. Bias psikologi yang dapat memengaruhi perilaku investor dan harga saham telah menyebabkan perdebatan di antara pendukung behavioral finance dan keuangan neoklasik. Penelitian menggunakan pooled ordinary least square dengan menggunakan fixed effect model untuk menganalisis hubungan antara sentimen investor terhadap harga saham selama periode penelitian. Sampel penelitian adalah perusahaan yang membagikan dividen setiap tahun. Penelitian dilakukan pada 51 perusahaan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia selama periode tahun 2006-2010. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa sentimen investor memiliki pengaruh yang signifkan terhadap harga saham.

Recent literature in behavioral finance has contradicted efficient market theory. Psychological biases which are influencing both the behavior of investors and asset prices has led to a strong debate among proponents of behavioral finance and neoclassical finance. This study conduct pooled ordinary least squares estimator by using a fixed effect model to analyze the relationship between investor sentiments on stock prices during the research period. Study sample is a company that distribute dividends every year. The study was conducted on 51 companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the period 2006-2010. The results suggest that investor sentiment has significant influence on stock prices."
Depok: Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik Universitas Indonesia, 2012
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UI - Skripsi Open  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Rakhmat Luthfiansyah Mosii
"ABSTRAK
Saya meneliti profitabilitas strategi momentum harga dan strategi momentum gaya
pada pasar modal di Indonesia dalam rentang waktu 2000 hingga 2015. Saya menemukan
bahwa strategy momentum gaya mampu menghasilkan keuntungan secara
konsisten, sedangkan strategi momentum harga tidak menghasilkan keuntungan
yang konsiten dan cenderung memberikan imbal hasil yang negatif. Keuntungan
momentum gaya tetap muncul setelah mengendalikan faktor pasar menggunakan
IHSG. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa pasar modal Indonesia berada pada
tingkatan pasar efisien bentuk-lemah namun tidak mencapai pasar efisien bentuk
semi-kuat karena saya menemukan bahwa strategi momentum gaya yang memeringkat
saham berdasarkan informasi publik mampu untuk memberikan imbal hasil
yang signifikan.

ABSTRACT
I investigate the profitability of style and price momentum strategy in Indonesian
stock market between 2000 and 2015. I find that the style momentum strategy
consistently generates profit while the price momentum strategy does not give consistent
profit and tend to yield negative return. The profitability of style momentum
strategy is persistent after controlling for market factor using JSX index. My findings
suggest that the weak-form efficient market exists in Indonesian stock market
while the semi-strong form does not hold since I find that style momentum strategy
which ranks stocks using publicly available information is able to give significant
return."
2017
T48910
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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