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"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis hubungan antara variabel makroekonomi yang digambarkan oleh indeks produksi indutri, jumlah uang beredar, dan tingkat bunga terhadap tingkat imbal hasil saham (return) pada saham sektor tersier periode 2015-2019. Sektor tersier sendiri terbagi lagi menjadi 4 sub-sektor, yaitu sektor keuangan, sektor infrastruktur, sektor properti dan real estate, serta sektor transportasi dan logistik. Penelitian ini menggunakan pengujian metode Johansen’s Cointegration. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan terdapat hubungan jangka panjang antara variabel makroekonomi dengan tingkat imbal hasil saham pada sektor tersier. Penelitian ini juga menemukan dalam jangka pendek variabel makroekonomi yaitu tingkat bunga yang memiliki hubungan dengan tingkat return saham sektor keuangan dan transportasi logistik, serta variabel jumlah uang beredar yang signifikan memiliki hubungan dengan imbal hasil saham sektor transportasi dan logistik. Variabel makroekonomi tidak memiliki hubungan dalam jangka pendek pada tingkat return saham gabungan, saham sektor infrastruktur, dan saham sektor properti dan real estate.

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This study aims to analyze the relationship between macroeconomic variables described by the industrial production index, money supply, interest rates on stock market return in the tertiary sector during the observation period 2015-2019. These sectors are classified into financial sector, infrastructure sector, property and real estate sector, and the last transportation and logistic sector. This study uses Johansen’s Cointegration methodology. The result of the study show that there is a long-term relationship between macroeconomic variables and the stock return in tertiary sector. This study also indicate that in the short term, interest rate has a relationship with the stock return in financial sector and transportation-logistic sector. Money supply has a significant relationship with the stock return in transportation-logistic sector. Macroeconomic variables do not have a short-term relationship at all with the stock return in infrastructure sector and property-real estate sector."

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