"The traffic accident rate in Indonesia is still considerably high,
as reported by the national police with around 60 accident casualties daily
of these casualties, 24 of them are dead. This figure is relatively high at the
ASEAN level where there are about 112 people died everyday because of
traffic accidents. The objective of the study is to provide an initial
estimation of the traffic accident loss and to use that estimation to assess
the economic impacts of that event. Since the data used in the estimation
are nationwide, then the final output of the study will be in the form of the
accident loss in term of GDP proportion. Using the some calculation
method, _,forecast of the total national accident cost for the next five years
was made. The method to calculate the road accident cost covers four
components: property damage, administrative cost, medical cost, and lost
output. There are two important data needed in this method: aggregate
accident data, and unit cost data for each component. Using these two
types of data, the aggregate cost can be estimated, and at the same time, the
total of certain types of cost. Using the 2002 Indonesia nominal GDP of
1.42 trillion rupiahs, the total accident costs in Indonesia was estimated
around 0.47% of GDP for Police Department reported data and l .46% for
the Health Department data. These figure is relatively high compared with,
for example, Singapore that has figure of 0,46% of its GDP.. For the next
five years, the total amount accident cost which is saved by the action plan
approximately about Rp 10 trillion. This estimation still has under reporting
problems for number of casualities and property damage, and under valued
problem for the estimation of accidents unit cost.
"
