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"Kondisi pipa penyalur sepanjang 21.7 km yang umumnya tidak tertanam dan pada beberapa area dekat dengan rumah warga sehingga potensi terjadi kegagalan sangat tinggi. Oleh karena itu dilakukan kajian kuantitatif risiko apabila terjadi kebakaran dan ledakan pada pipa penyalur gas dengan menggunakan software BREEZE dan ALOHA. Kajian risiko yang dikaji adalah risiko individu dan kelompok pada faktor kegagalan gangguan pihak luar (external interference) dan korosi. Dari hasil analisa risiko individu dan kelompok memiliki risiko yang masih dapat diterima atau ditolerir. Namun risiko tersebut harus tetap dijaga agar masih tetap dalam batas yang diterima dengan melakukan upaya penurunan risiko seperti memasang sistem deteksi kebocoran pada pipeline, menyiapkan rencana tanggap darurat bila terjadi kebocoran pada pipa penyalur, education public, penambahan Pipeline Marker dan Warning Sign, meningkatkan frekuensi patroli, inspeksi dan perawatan secara rutin serta memberikan perlindungan tambahan pada pipa penyalur yang melintasi pemukiman agar tidak mudah dijangkau oleh masyarakat.

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Pipeline condition for 21.7 km long which mostly unburied and at some area located near residential area makes it potential of failure very high. Therefore a quantitative risk a assessment conducted in case of fire and explosion on gas pipeline using BREEZE and ALOHA software. Risk assessment that were examined is individual and societal risk with the failure factor is external interference and corrosion.

From the result of individual and societal risk analysis, it shows an acceptable or tolerable risk. However these risk should be maintained in order to remain within acceptable limits by conducting an effort to reduce risk such as installing leakage detection system on pipeline, prepare an emergency response plans in case of pipeline leaking, public education, added the number of Pipeline marker and warning sign, increasing the frequency of patrol, perform continuous inspection and maintenance and provide additional protection to the pipeline that pass residential area so that it’s not easily access by the public."

"Penelitian ini melihat pengaruh kebijakan Quantitative Easing yang diberlakukan oleh negara maju melalui bank sentralnya yaitu FED dan Non FED (yang merupakan penjumlahan BOE dan BOJ) terhadap variabel-variabel makroekonomi Indonesia yaitu cadangan devisa, IHSG, inflasi, M2, dan nilai tukar nominal melalui jalur aliran modal masuk. Penelitian ini mengggunakan data bulanan dengan periode Januari 2009 hingga Maret 2014. Metode estimasi yang digunakan adalah VARX.Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa hanya kebijakan yang diberlakukan oleh FED dan non- FED mempengaruhi aliran modal masuk Indonesia. Selanjutnya aliran modal masuk tersebut memberikan pengaruh terhadap terbesar terhadap inflasi, M2, nilai tukar nominal. Implikasi kebijakan yang dapat dilakukan yaitu koordinasi kebijakan sebagai antisipasi kebijakan QE negara maju. Selain itu pemerintah perlu menerapkan kebijakan yang tepat sehingga dapat menjaga stabilitas makroekonomi dalam negeri dan menunjang iklim investasi yang baik. Kepemilikan cadangan devisa juga penting untuk menjaga stabilitas ekonomi.

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This study aims to see the impact of quantitative easing (QE) policy which implemented by some of developed countries through their central bank, which are FED and non-FED (the sum of QE policy from BOE and BOJ) on Indonesian macroeconomics whicch are foreign reserves, IHSG, inflation, M2, and nominal exchange rate. The study is using monthly data since January 2009 until March 2014 with VARX estimation method.

The estimation shows that QE policy which implemented by FED an non-FED have significant impact on capital inflow to Indonesia. The capital inflow also have the biggest impact on inflation, M2, and nominal exchange rate. The results of this paper could be relevant to the ongoing policy discussion regarding to anticipation of QE policy. Besides, government also need to implement the correct policy to stabilizes Indonesian macroeconomics and support good investment climate. An adequate foreign reserves also important to stabilizes the economy."

"Penelitian ini menganalisis spillover kebijakan QE Amerika Serikat terhadap aliran modal asing di Indonesia. Transmisi spillover QE melalui jalur likuiditas dan signaling masing-masing diukur menggunakan variabel 3-month T-bill rate AS serta VIX. Transmisi melalui jalur portfolio balance dikukur menggunakan variabel perbedaan suku bunga Indonesia dan AS, perbedaan tingkat pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia dan AS, serta spread credit default swap CDS Indonesia juga. Metode estimasi menggunakan teknik VECM. Ditemukan bahwa transmisi spillover QE terutama melalui jalur likuiditas dan signalling. Selain itu spread CDS juga signifikan mempengaruhi aliran modal asing. Jalur portfolio balance maupun perbedaan tingkat pertumbuhan PDB mempengaruhi investasi asing langsung.

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This study analyses the spillover of USA rsquo s QE policy towards capital flows in Indonesia. The spillover is estimated through the liquidity and signaling channels, respectively observed using the variables 3 month T bill rate and VIX. The spillover through the portfolio balance is observed using the variables of interest rate and growth rate differentials, as well as Indonesia rsquo s CDS spread. Estimation method used is VECM. The study finds that QE rsquo s spillover transmission to Indonesia goes through the liquidity and signaling channels. CDS spread also affects capital flow. The portfolio balance channel as well as the growth rate differential affect FDI."

"Quantitative Methods in the Humanities and Social Sciences is a book series designed to foster research-based conversation with all parts of the university campus from buildings of ivy-covered stone to technologically savvy walls of glass. Scholarship from international researchers and the esteemed editorial board represents the far-reaching applications of computational analysis, statis- tical models, computer-based programs, and other quantitative methods. Methods are integrated in a dialogue that is sensitive to the broader context of humanistic study and social science research. Scholars, including among others historians, archaeologists, classicists and linguists, promote this interdisciplinary approach. These texts teach new methodological approaches for contemporary research. Each volume exposes readers to a particular research method. Researchers and students then benefit from exposure to subtleties of the larger project or corpus of work in which the quan- titative methods come to fruition."