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"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat pengaruh transfer tidak bersyarat, pendapatan asli daerah, produk domestik regional bruto dan jumlah penduduk terhadap pengeluaran pemerintah kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jambi selama implementasi desentralisasi fiskal. Berdasarkan spesifikasi model pengeluaran pemerintah daerah, keberadaan flypaper effect dideteksi dengan membandingkan koefisien regresi transfer tidak bersyarat dan pendapatan asli daerah menggunakan pendekatan ekonometrika model data panel untuk 10 kabupaten/kota di Provinsi Jambi selama 2001-2008. Hasil estimasi model fixed effect menunjukkan transfer tidak bersyarat, PAD, PDRB berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pengeluaran pemerintah kabupaten/kota, sedangkan variabel jumlah penduduk memberikan hasil yang sebaliknya. Selanjutnya hasil perbandingan koefesien regresi transfer tidak bersyarat dengan pendapatan asli daerah memberikan kesimpulan adanya flypaper effect pada pengeluaran pemerintah daerah di Provinsi Jambi.

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This research is intended to know the influence of unconditional grants, local revenue, local GDP and the size of population on local government’s expenditure in Jambi Province for the implementation of fiscal decentralization. Based on the local government’s expenditure model specification, the existence of flypaper effect was detected by comparing the regression coefficients of unconditional grants and local revenue using econometric approach of panel data model from 10 districts/municipality in Jambi Province during 2001 to 2008.

The result of fixed effect model estimation show that unconditional grants, local revenue, local GDP significantly affect on expenditure of government’s districts/municipality government’s expenditure, while the variable of population has not significant affecting on local government’s expenditure. In addition, the comparison of the regression coefficients of unconditional grants and local revenue indicates the existence of flypaper effect on the districts/municipality government’s expenditure in the Province of Jambi during the period."