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Abstrak :
Jumlah penduduk Indonesia yang terus meningkat mengakibatkan semakin tingginya permintaan pasokan barang dalam memenuhi kebutuhan masyarakat. Sebagai negara kepulauan, moda transportasi laut menjadi sangat penting dan harus dikembangkan dengan baik untuk mengakomodasi kebutuhan masyarakat di daerah kepulauan yang minim akan akses pasokan barang. Hal ini tentunya akan berdampak pada peningkatan bangkitan perjalanan. Kepulauan Seribu merupakan salah satu contoh daerah kepulauan yang terletak di dekat area perkotaan Jakarta dimana terdapat kesenjangan kualitas transportasi, khususnya pada transportasi barang. Dengan demikian, diperlukan proses demand forecasting sebagai dasar peningkatan kualitas transportasi di wilayah Kepulauan Seribu sebagai representasi wilayah kepulauan di Indonesia melalui penelitian tentang bangkitan perjalanan. Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menganalisis faktor yang memengaruhi bangkitan perjalanan dan mengembangkan model bangkitan perjalanan barang di Kepulauan Seribu yang mencakup seluruh jenis barang dengan istilah general cargo. Model yang digunakan adalah freight generation yang akan mengestimasi volume (ton/hari) bangkitan perjalanan di masa mendatang. Digunakan data sekunder berupa manifes kapal atau pencatatan barang pada pelabuhan sebagai sumber data perjalanan barang dari dan menuju Kepulauan Seribu. Pemodelan dibuat menggunakan metode regresi linear dengan melakuan tahapan uji statistik untuk mendapatkan model terbaik. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa jumlah penduduk merupakan faktor atau variabel yang paling berpengaruh terhadap bangkitan perjalanan barang. Penelitian ini dapat digunakan sebagai dasar pertimbangan dalam mengembangkan dan meningkatkain kualitas transportasi logistik khususnya di wilayah kepulauan. ......The continuously increasing population of Indonesia leads to higher demand for the supply of goods to meet societal needs. As an archipelagic country, maritime transportation modes become crucial and must be well-developed to accommodate the needs of communities in island regions that lack access to goods supply. This inevitably impacts the rise in trip generation. Kepulauan Seribu is an example of an island region located near the urban area of Jakarta where there is a disparity in transportation quality, particularly in goods transportation. Thus, demand forecasting is needed to improve transportation quality in Kepulauan Seribu as a representative of island regions in Indonesia through freight generation research. This study aims to identify the factors influencing freight generation and predict the freight generation model in Kepulauan Seribu, including all types of goods referred to as general cargo. The model used to predict is the freight generation model, which estimates the volume (tons/day) of freight generation in the future. Secondary data, such as ship manifests or goods records at ports, were used as sources of freight travel data to and from Kepulauan Seribu. The modeling was conducted using the linear regression method with statistical tests to obtain the best model. The results indicate that the population is the most influential factor or variable on freight generation. This study can be used as a fundamental consideration in developing and enhancing the quality of logistics transportation, particularly in archipelagic regions.

Abstrak :
Inter-island freight transport costs in eastern compared to western Indonesia are relatively high, caused by operator charges for roundtrip fees. In order to make the distribution of freight efficient, the network of freight transport needs to be rationalized on a regional basis. The output from the regional model counts are few and far between in relation to intercity traffic volume data, and the disaggregate model at a regional level requires more effort in conducting travel route surveys. Therefore, aggregated analysis is preferable initially, based on the traffic volume and the commodity flow for inter-island freight transport. The accessibility and connectivity of the land use can be obtained from the freight distribution model as a measurement to evaluate different land use scenarios and also to provide feedback for land use modeling, as a parameter for freight location choice. With a freight distribution model to identify freight commodity supply and demand in a particular region, potential freight transport generation uses such variables, which consider generalized transport costs. Using the Furness and Maximum Entropy models, the results indicate that Furness model finishes in the 4th iteration and Maximum Entropy in 6th, while the negative exponential function offers the best calibrated estimation, using sea freight movement data. It was also found that the positive value of ? means that any increment of travel time decreased the rate of freight flow, which mirrored the conditions in reality: the higher travel costs, the fewer the number of flows between zones. The data is analyzed in the context of modeling intra-city freight flow in the archipelagic region of northern Maluku.

Abstrak :
The study is aimed at proposing a solution for preventing ship accidents, ship collisions in particular, in Indonesia's busiest ferry crossing lane between Merak on Java Island and Bakauheni on Sumatera Island on the Sunda Strait, which intersects with the Indonesian Archipelagic Sea Lane. The Indonesian Archipelagic Sea Lane is provided by the Government of Indonesia, an archipelagic country, as an international passageway for ships sailing through Indonesian waters from the Indian Ocean to the South China Sea and the Pacific Ocean, by implementing a traffic separation scheme that regulates traffic proceeding in opposite or nearly opposite directions by means of a separation zone or line, traffic lane, etc. The study is motivated by records of fatal accidents that have taken place in the strait, and a portrait of the congested crossing lane is provided. The concept of a traffic separation scheme and its implementation in the Sunda Strait is simulated, with the conclusion that the scheme could minimize potential collisions between ships sailing through the strait. Therefore, it is urgent for the government to implement the scheme.