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Abstrak :
Tesis ini membahas pelibatan Rusia dalam kerangka kerjasama keamanan di kawasan Asia Timur. Penelitian ini adalah penelitian kualitatif dengan menggunakan metode studi kepustakaan. Hasil penelitian ini meyimpulkan bahwa pelibatan Rusia dalam kerangka kerjasama keamanan di kawasan Asia Timur dapat dijelaskan dengan menggunakan faktor kekuatan militer, ekonomi, politik, dan penerimaan Rusia sebagai kekuatan baru di kawasan. Pelibatan Rusia di kawasan Asia Timur sejak tahun 1994 membuktikan kekeliruan teoretis salah satu premis dalam paradigma neorealisme yang menyatakan bahwa struktur multipolar realtif tidak stabil dibanding biopolar. Kawasan Asia Timur relatif stabil dengan struktur multipolar sejak berakhirnya Perang Dingin. Mekanisme balance of power di kawasan Asia Timur dilakukan dalam kerangka dialog keamanan multilateral yang konstruktif.

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The focus of this study is the Russia`s engagement into East Asian security cooperation. The purpose of this study is to understand why Russia has been engaged into East Asian security cooperation. This study summarizes that Russia`s engagement into East Asian security cooperation can be explained by military, economic, and political power, and the acceptance of Russia as a new great power in the region. Russia`s engagement in East Asia since 1994 has proved theoretical fallacy of the stability of multipolar structure thesis of neorealism instead of bipolar. Multipolar structure of East Asia since the end of the Cold War has been relatively stable. Balance of power mechanism in East Asia achieved by constructively multilateral security dialog.

Abstrak :
Why does North Korea behave erratically in pursuing its nuclear weapons program? Why did the United States prefer bilateral alliances to multilateral ones in Asia after World War II? Why did China become "nice"--no more military coercion--in dealing with the pro-independence Taiwan President Chen Shuibian after 2000? Why did China compromise in the negotiation of the Chunxiao gas exploration in 2008 while Japan became provocative later in the Sino-Japanese disputes in the East China Sea? North Korea's nuclear behavior, U.S. alliance strategy, China's Taiwan policy, and Sino-Japanese territorial disputes are all important examples of seemingly irrational foreign policy decisions that have determined regional stability and Asian security. By examining major events in Asian security, this book investigates why and how leaders make risky and seemingly irrational decisions in international politics. The authors take the innovative step of integrating the neoclassical realist framework in political science and prospect theory in psychology. Their analysis suggests that political leaders are more likely to take risky actions when their vital interests and political legitimacy are seriously threatened. For each case, the authors first discuss the weaknesses of some of the prevailing arguments, mainly from rationalist and constructivist theorizing, and then offer an alternative explanation based on their political legitimacy-prospect theory model. This pioneering book tests and expands prospect theory to the study of Asian security and challenges traditional, expected-utility-based, rationalist theories of foreign policy behavio