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Abstrak :
[This book studies unemployment and inflation in economic crises, first considering the scenario of a demand shock in Europe. In that case, monetary and fiscal interaction would cause widespread oscillations in European unemployment and European inflation. And what is more, there would be equally far-reaching fluctuations in the European money supply and European government purchases. These monetary and fiscal interactions would have no effects on the American economy. Second, it examines the scenario of a supply shock in Europe, in which monetary and fiscal interactions would have no effects on European unemployment or European inflation, there would also be an explosion of European government purchases and an implosion of the European money supply. Monetary and fiscal interactions would produce uniform oscillations in American unemployment and American inflation. Lastly, also see an implosion of both the American money supply and American government purchases., This book studies unemployment and inflation in economic crises, first considering the scenario of a demand shock in Europe. In that case, monetary and fiscal interaction would cause widespread oscillations in European unemployment and European inflation. And what is more, there would be equally far-reaching fluctuations in the European money supply and European government purchases. These monetary and fiscal interactions would have no effects on the American economy. Second, it examines the scenario of a supply shock in Europe, in which monetary and fiscal interactions would have no effects on European unemployment or European inflation, there would also be an explosion of European government purchases and an implosion of the European money supply. Monetary and fiscal interactions would produce uniform oscillations in American unemployment and American inflation. Lastly, also see an implosion of both the American money supply and American government purchases.]

Abstrak :
Penelitian ini bertujuan melihat respon kebijakan moneter dalam penerapan dual monetary policy terhadap dua indikator penting dalam makro ekonomi, yaitu inflasi dan pengangguran. Selain itu, penelitian ini juga mengungkapkan relevansi kurva Phillips di Indonesia. Metode yang digunakan adalah Vector Autoregressive VAR dengan data bulanan pada periode Februari 2005 hingga Oktober 2016 untuk model pertama, dan data semesteran pada periode Februari 2005 hingga Agustus 2017 untuk model kedua. Hasilnya menunjukkan kebijakan moneter telah tepat merespon masalah inflasi dan pengangguran. Inflasi mendapatkan respon yang lebih besar dibandingkan pengangguran, hal ini mengkonfirmasi kerangka kebijakan yang digunakan oleh Bank Indonesia adalah Inflation Targeting. Namun, kondisi ini tidak ideal dalam pandangan ekonomi Islam karena belum seimbang dalam mengatasi permasalahan inflasi dan pengangguran secara bersamaan. Kemudian, Bank Indonesia mempertimbangkan aspek ekspektasi inflasi dari acuan konvensional maupun Islam. Terakhir, konsep kurva Phillips terbukti tidak relevan di Indonesia. ......This study aims to see monetary policy response in the implementation of the dual monetary policy to two important indicators in the macroeconomy, namely inflation and unemployment. In addition, this study also reveals the relevance of the Phillips curve in Indonesia. The method used is Vector Autoregressive VAR with monthly data from February 2005 to October 2016 for the first model, and semi annual data from February 2005 to August 2017 for the second model. The result shows that monetary policy has responded appropriately to the problem of inflation and unemployment. Inflation gets a bigger response than unemployment, confirming the policy framework used by Bank Indonesia is Inflation Targeting. However, this condition is not ideal in view of Islamic economics because it has not balanced in overcoming the problems of inflation and unemployment simultaneously. Then, Bank Indonesia considers the inflation expectations aspect of both conventional and Islamic references. Finally, the concept of the Phillips curve proved irrelevant in Indonesia.