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"Krisis nilai tukar yang melanda suatu negara dapat dilihat dari pergerakan indikator ekonomi negara tersebut. Oleh karena itu, dibutuhkan sebuah sistem peringatan dini untuk mencegah terjadinya krisis nilai tukar tersebut. Analisis pergerakan indikator ekonomi tersebut berguna agar pengambilan kebijakan dapat efektif dan efisien mengurangi peluang terjadinya krisis nilai tukar. Analisis terhadap beberapa kombinasi indikator ekonomi di Indonesia pada periode tahun 1990 hingga 2008 dimana pada periode tersebut terjadi krisis nilai tukar 1997 dan krisis keuangan global, menghasilkan sebuah sistem peringatan dini yang baik sehingga dapat dijadikan prediktor untuk terjadinya krisis nilai tukar di Indonesia.

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Currency crisis can be seen from the movement of economic indicators of the country. Therefore, it is necessary to have an early warning system to prevent the occurrence of the currency crisis. Movement analysis of economic indicators is useful so that the policy can be effective and efficient to reduce the occurrence of the exchange rate crisis. Analysis of some combination of economic indicators in Indonesia within the period 1990 to 2008 in which occurred 1997 currency crisis and the global financial crisis, resulting a good early warning system which also can be used as a good predictor for the occurrence of the currency crisis in Indonesia."

"Sistem informasi memainkan peran penting dalam bisnis manufaktur saat ini terutama dalam bidang Supply Chain Management (SCM) yang memerlukan dukungan sistem Information, Communication, And Technology (ICT) yang handal. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memperbaiki jalannya proses dalam supply chain planning dalam memberikan umpan balik yang cepat terhadap sales forecast yang diberikan oleh tim sales. Lamanya umpan balik yang diterima oleh tim sales menyebabkan angka forecast accuracy menurun dan juga tingkat inventory menjadi tinggi sehingga dapat menghambat proses rantai pasok secara keseluruhan. Pada penelitian ini berhasil di rancang suatu sistem peringatan dini yang dapat menghindari kegagalan peramalan sehingga dapat meningkatkan performa perencanaan rantai pasok menggunakan metode rekayasa proses bisnis untuk mendeteksi kegagalan peramalan sistem ERP. Penggabungan terhadap 5 (lima) usulan perbaikan menghasilkan 3 (tiga) skenario gabungan perbaikan dan dilakukan simulasi terhadap skenario tersebut. Skenario terbaik didapatkan melalui skenario ke-3 yang menghasilkan waktu siklus pemberian umpan balik kepada tim sales menjadi 14 hari dari waktu semula 52 hari yang berarti terjadi pengurangan waktu sebesar 73% dengan menghilangkan 7 proses dalam aliran informasi perencanaan rantai pasok.

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Information systems play a vital role in today's manufacturing business, especially in the field of Supply Chain Management (SCM), which requires reliable support system of Information, Communication, and Technology (ICT).

This study aims to improve the way in supply chain planning processes in providing rapid feedback to the sales forecast provided by the sales team. The length of feedback received by the sales team's lead figure decreased of forecast accuracy and inventory levels become too high that can hamper overall supply chain process.

This research succeeded in designing an early warning system to avoid the forecast failure during this study so it can improve the performance of supply chain planning using business process engineering methods to detect failure of forecasting ERP system. Merging the five (5) of the proposed improvements resulted in 3 (three) joint scenarios and simulation improvements to the scenario.

The best scenario is obtained through 3rd scenario that produces the cycle time providing feedback to the sales team to 14 days from the time of the original 52-day time which means a reduction by 73% by eliminating the 7 processes in the flow of information supply chain planning."

"As a country that prone to disasters especially tsunami, Indonesia did not have good tsunami early warning instrument that functioned. Last tsunami that happened in Sunda Strait shows that the urgency for the existency of  a tsunami early warning instrument and can not be relied only to BMKG prediction. Thus, LIPI introduced a tsunami warning systems that claimed to be better than any other tsunami warning systems Indonesia ever had called LTS. But, to install and build the device may cost a lot of money. So this study aims to find out whether it is possible for Banten Governement to fund themselves by increasing the beach retribution. Thus, this study wants to find out the WTP of the local beach tourist for the increasing beach entry ticket using single-bound dichotomous question and open-ended question and compare one with another. Mean WTP with single bound dichotomous question is Rp 26,296 with CS amounting Rp 56/person and TWTP totaling Rp 118 billion/year. Meanwhile mean WTP with open-ended question is Rp 29,388 with CS amounting Rp 64/person and TWTP totaling Rp 150 billion/year. All of the estimation resulting higher estimates for open-ended question, which may be caused by anchoring bias but both of them showing similar pattern that the bigger bids offered to the tourist then the less likely they accept the bids offered. With TWTP is calculated, we get the estimation of benefits for installing LTS amounting Rp 339 billion in 3 years. These numbers considered to be very high and can be lead to government failure. Based on the findings in the study, it is recommended that Banten government build and estabilish LTS for reducing tsunami hazard in Sunda Strait. To cover the cost the government can charge entrance fee by Rp 2,000 per person, this amount is sufficient to cover and sustain the installation of LTS.

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Sebagai negara yang rawan bencana terutama tsunami, Indonesia tidak memiliki alat pendeteksi dini tsunami yang berfungsi dengan baik. Tsunami terakhir yang terjadi di Selat Sunda menunjukkan bahwa adanya urgensi keberadaan alat pendekteksi dini tsunami dan tidak bisa hanya mengandalkan prediksi BMKG. Karena itu, LIPI memperkenalkan sistem peringatan tsunami yang diklaim lebih baik daripada sistem peringatan tsunami lainnya yang pernah dimiliki Indonesia bernama LTS. Tetapi, menginstal dan membangun LTS membutuhkan banyak uang. Jadi penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah mungkin bagi Pemerintah Banten untuk membiayai diri mereka sendiri dengan meningkatkan retribusi pantai. Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini ingin mengetahui WTP wisatawan pantai untuk kenaikan tiket masuk pantai dengan menggunakan pertanyaan dikotomis terikat tunggal dan pertanyaan terbuka serta membandingkan hasil keduanya. Rata-rata WTP dengan pertanyaan dikotomi terikat tunggal adalah Rp 26.296 dengan CS sebesar Rp 56/orang dan TWTP sebesar Rp 118 miliar/tahun. Sementara itu WTP rata-rata dengan pertanyaan terbuka adalah Rp 29.388 dengan CS sebesar Rp 64/orang dan TWTP total Rp 150 miliar/tahun. Semua estimasi menghasilkan estimasi yang lebih tinggi untuk pertanyaan terbuka, yang mungkin disebabkan oleh anchoring bias tetapi keduanya menunjukkan pola yang sama bahwa semakin besar bids yang ditawarkan kepada wisatawan maka semakin kecil kemungkinan mereka menerima penawaran bids. Dengan menghitung TWTP, kami mendapatkan estimasi manfaat untuk menginstal LTS sebesar Rp 339 miliar dalam 3 tahun. Angka-angka ini dianggap sangat tinggi dan dapat menyebabkan kegagalan pemerintah. Berdasarkan temuan dalam penelitian ini, direkomendasikan bahwa pemerintah Banten membangun dan membangun LTS untuk mengurangi bahaya tsunami di Selat Sunda. Untuk menutup biaya, pemerintah dapat mengenakan biaya masuk sebesar Rp 2.000 per orang, jumlah ini cukup untuk menutup dan mempertahankan pemasangan LTS."

"This book features chapters based on selected presentations from the International Congress on Advanced Earthquake Resistance of Structures, AERS2016, held in Samsun, Turkey, from 24 to 28 October 2016.It covers the latest advances in three widely popular research areas in Earthquake Engineering: Performance-Based Seismic Design, Seismic Isolation Systems, and Structural Health Monitoring.The book shows the vulnerability of high-rise and seismically isolated buildings to long periods of strong ground motions, and proposes new passive and semi-active structural seismic isolation systems to protect against such effects. These systems are validated through real-time hybrid tests on shaking tables.Structural health monitoring systems provide rapid assessment of structural safety after an earthquake and allow preventive measures to be taken, such as shutting down the elevators and gas lines, before damage occurs. Using the vibration data from instrumented tall buildings, the book demonstrates that large, distant earthquakes and surface waves, which are not accounted for in most attenuation equations, can cause long-duration shaking and damage in tall buildings.The overview of the current performance-based design methodologies includes discussions on the design of tall buildings and the reasons common prescriptive code provisions are not sufficient to address the requirements of tall-building design. In addition, the book explains the modelling and acceptance criteria associated with various performance-based design guidelines, and discusses issues such as selection and scaling of ground motion records, soil-foundation-structure interaction, and seismic instrumentation and peer review needs.The book is of interest to a wide range of professionals in earthquake engineering, including designers, researchers, and graduate students."