Hasil Pencarian  ::  Simpan CSV :: Kembali

Abstrak :
Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pola hubungan antara suku bunga SBI-1 bulan, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap US$, inflasi dan money supply dalam arti luas (M2) dengan dana pihak ketiga dan pembiayaan dalam perbankan syariah. Dengan menggunakan Granger Causality Test, diketahui bahwa ada hubungan antara suku bunga SBI - 1 bulan dengan dana pihak ketiga. Kemudian, hasil uji tersebut diperkuat dengan hasil regresi model distribusi lag, di mana output-nya menunjukkan pengaruh yang sangat rendah di antara obyek penelitian ini. Persamaan tersebut memiliki koefisien determinasi yang sangat rendah dan tidak signifikannya variabel independen baik secara individu maupun secara bersama-sama. Meskipun hasil ini tidak diharapkan tetapi dalam kenyatannya nasabah masih mempertimbangkan suku bunga SBI-1 bulan untuk menabung di perbankan syariah. Sehingga, kesimpulan penelitian ini perlu ditanggapi secara hati-hati. Meskipun demikian, variabel ekonomi makro dengan perkembangan perbankan syariah tidak dapat diperbandingkan sebagaimana yang berkembang di masyarakat.

Abstrak :
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis hubungan kointegrasi dan kausalitas indeks saham negara-negara di dunia dan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Indonesia. Indeks saham yang digunakan didapatkan berdasarkan hubungan perdagangan Indonesia dengan negara lain dalam sektor non-migas.  Variabel pada penelitian ini adalah Dow Jones Industries Average, Bombay Stock Exchange Sensex, Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange, Nikkei, Korea Stock Exchange, Stock Exchange of Thailand, Shanghai Composite, Straits Times Index, dan Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG). Data pada penelitian ini merupakan data time series dengan menggunakan data bulanan dari Januari 2005 hingga Desember 2017. Teknik analisis data penelitian ini menggunakan pengujian Augmented Dickey Fuller Test, Lag Optimum, Johansen Cointegration Test, Granger Causality Test, Vector Error Correction Mode (VECM), Variance Decomposition, dan Impulse Response Function. Hasil pada penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa terdapat hubungan kointegrasi pada indeks saham negara-negara di dunia dan IHSG Indonesia, dan terdapat hubungan kausalitas indeks saham negara-negara di dunia dan IHSG Indonesia. ......This research aims to analyse the cointegration and causality relationship among selected stock market indexes in the world and Indonesia Stock Exchange Composite Index (IHSG). The stock market indexes are selected based on the trading relationship among Indonesia and other countries in non oil and gas sectors. The selected stock market indexes are Dow Jones Industries Average, Bombay Stock Exchange Sensex, Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange, Nikkei, Korea Stock Exchange, Stock Exchange of Thailand, Shanghai Composite, Straits Times Index, and Indonesia Stock Exchange Composite Index (IHSG). This research is a time series research which uses monthly data from January 2005 until December 2017 and Augmented Dickey Fuller Test, Lag Optimum, Johansen Cointegration Test, Granger Causality Test, Vector Error Correction Mode (VECM), Variance Decomposition, and Impulse Response Function. The results of the research show that there is cointegration among selected stock market indexes and Indonesia Stock Exchange Composite Index and there is  causality among selected stock market indexes and Indonesia Stock Exchange Composite Index.

Abstrak :
There are two purposes that want to be assessed in this study The _first purpose is to indicate whether the moral hazard problems are occurred in the Indonesian Sharia Bank (The moral hazard in this paper is the indirect Moral hazard which is the negligence of bank in the financing process influencing the moral hazard problems of the debtor in the other side. The second purpose is to assess whether the _financing policies in the Sharia Banking are influenced by profit sharing system, The data for assessing this paper are acquired from the monthly financial reports published by Sharia Banks such as BSM? and BMI from January 2001 to December 2004. The research based on the Ever Correction Model in the long term shows that the increasing of allocation ratio of Murabahah to Musyarakah and Mudharabah results the increasing of non performing financing ratio. It indicates that the moral hazard problems are occurred in BML The moral hazard indication demonstrates that bank is both less careful in financing and less incentive in monitoring process. It also demonstrates the weakness of the Sharia bank's operational system in countering the debtor's moral hazard The Granger Causality Test proves that profit sharing ratio (nisbah) between bank and debtor influences return ratio, however it does not influence financing allocation). On the other hand _financing allocation ratio influences nisbah ratio, furthermore in BSM case, return ratio influences nisbah ratio. This description shows that nisbah ratio is not only an instrument for calculating revenue/return distribution but also an instrument for Sharia bank in synchronizing profit sharing level with the interest Vale in conventional bank.

Abstrak :
ABSTRACT
This study aims to determine the structure of Regional Original Revenue (PAD) in its effect on economic growth. The data used are panel data from 35 regencies and cities in Central Java for the period 2005 to 2015. Data are taken from the Regencies and Cities Financial Audit Results Reports in Central Java. Data analysis technique uses Panel Vector Error Correction Model (PVECM) and Panel Granger Causality Test to determine the relationship between economic growth and PAD components, namely regional tax revenue, regional retribution revenue, regional wealth revenue and other legitimate revenue. The results of this study found a one way causality relationship from tax revenue to economic growth. There is a two way relationship occurs between retribution revenue and economic growth. There is a one way relationship from the regional wealth revenue to economic growth. There is a one way relationship from the total regional original revenue (PAD) to economic growth. There is no relationship between other legitimate revenue and economic growth. In the short run, the economic growth over a given period was positively and significantly affected by the tax revenue, retribution revenue and regional original revenue (PAD) of the previous year, while regional wealth revenue has a negative and significant affect on economic growth. In the long run, tax revenue, retribution revenue and regional original revenue (PAD) affect by positively and significantly to economic growth, while regional wealth revenue has a negative and significant affect on economic growth.

Abstrak :
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat pengaruh aktivitas perdagangan berjangka terhadap volatilitas pasar spot komoditas kakao yang diukur menggunakan GARCH. Sesuai dengan Kumar (2009), sebelumnya volume dan open interest dibedakan menjadi komponen expected dan unexpected menggunakan ARIMA dan volatilitas spot, yang dimodelkan dengan GARCH (1,1), ditambahkan dengan expected/unexpected volume dan open interest perdagangan berjangka sebagai variabel eksogen. Granger Causality Test digunakan untuk memahami hubungan dinamis setiap variabel. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa (1) conditional spot volatility dipengaruhi oleh volume/open interest baik komponen expected maupun unexpected; (2) hubungan dinamis yang terjadi adalah hubungan signifikan 1 (satu) arah antara lain : open interest (expected) menyebabkan spot volatility, open interest (unexpected) menyebabkan spot volatility, volume (expected) menyebabkan spot volatility.

---

This study aimed to examine the effect of futures trading activity on cocoa spot market volatility measured using GARCH. According to Kumar (2009), first the trading volumes and open interest are divided into expected and unexpected components using ARIMA and then spot volatility equation, which is modeled as GARCH (1,1) process, is augmented with expected and unexpected futures trading volume and open interest as exogenous variabel. Granger Causality Test is used to understand the dynamic relationship between these variables. The results showed that (1) the conditional spot volatility is influenced by the volume / open interest with both expected and unexpected components; (2) the dynamic relationship that occurs is a significant in 1 (one) way include: open interest (expected) causes spot volatility, open interest (unexpected) causes the spot volatility, volume (expected) causes the spot volatility.

Abstrak :
Ada dua tujuan yang ingin dilihat dalam penulisan tesis ini. Pertama, untuk melihat apakah terdapat indikasi moral hazard di bank umum syariah (batasan moral hazard adalah moral hazard tidak langsung, yaitu suatu kondisi dimana bank kurang berhati-hati dalam memberikan pembiayaan sehingga menimbulkan moral hazard di sisi debitur) dan untuk melihat apakah kebijakan pembiayaan di perbankan syariah dipengaruhi oleh sistem profit sharing. Data yang digunakan bersumber dari laporan keuangan publikasi bulanan bank umum syariah yaitu BSM dan BMI, pada periode Januari 2001 s.d Desember 2004. Hasil penelitian dengan metode Error Correction Model (ECM), dalam keseimbangan jangka panjang, peningkatan rasio alokasi pembiayaan murabahah terhadap pembiayaan musyarakah dan mudharabah meningkatkan rasio non performing financing, yang jika dikaitkan dengan hipotesis berarti terdapat indikasi moral hazard di sisi bank BMI. Indikasi moral hazard menunjukkan bank kurang berhati-hati dalam menyalurkan pembiayaan atau bank kurang melakukan monitoring. Hal ini sekaligus menunjukkan kelemahan dalam sistem operasional di bank syariah karena belum dapat meng-counter terjadinya moral hazard di sisi debitur. Dari basil pengujian dengan Uji Kausalitas Granger ditemukan bahwa rasio nisbah bagi basil antara bank dengan debitur menyebabkan rasio return namun tidak menyebabkan alokasi pembiayaan. Sebaliknya rasio alokasi pembiayaan menyebabkan rasio nisbah, bahkan untuk kasus BSM, rasio return juga mempengaruhi rasio nisbah. Gambaran ini menunjukkan bahwa rasio nisbah selain sebagai instrumen dalam perhitungan distribusi pendapatan jugs menjadi alat bagi bank syariah dalam menyesuaikan tingkat imbal hasil bank syariah dengan tingkat bunga di bank konvensional.

---

There are two purposes that want to be assessed in this thesis. The first purpose is to indicate whether the moral hazard problems are occurred in the Indonesian Sharia Bank (The moral hazard in this thesis is the Indirect Moral Hazard which is the negligence of bank in the financing process influencing the moral hazard problems of the debtor in the other side. The second purpose is to asses whether the financing policies in the Sharia Banking are influenced by profit sharing system. The data for assessing this thesis are acquired from the monthly financial reports published by Sharia Banks such as BSM and BMI from January 2001 to December 2004. The research based on the Error Correction Model in the long term shows that the increasing of allocation ratio of Murabahah to Musyarakah and Mudharabah results the increasing of non performing financing ratio. It indicates that the moral hazard problems are occurred in BMI. The moral hazard indication demonstrates that bank is both less careful in financing and less incentive in monitoring process. It also demonstrates the weakness of the Sharia bank's operational system in countering the debtor's moral hazard. The Granger Causality Test proves that profit sharing ratio (nisbah) between bank and debtor influences return ratio, however it does not influence financing allocation). On the other hand, financing allocation ratio influences nisbah ratio, furthermore in BSM case, return ratio influences nisbah ratio. This description shows that nisbah ratio is not only an instrument for calculating revenue/return distribution but also an instrument for Sharia bank in synchronizing profit sharing level with the interest rate in conventional bank.

Abstrak :
Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pola hubungan antara tingkat imbal hasil tabungan dan deposito mudharabah 1 bulan. 3 bulan, 6 bulan, dan 12 bulan di Bank Muamlat Indonesia (BMI) dan Bank Syariah Mandiri (BSM) dengan suku bunga tabungan dan deposito perbankan konvensional. Penelitian ini merujuk pada penelitian yang dilakukan oleh Kaleem dan Isa (2003) di Malaysia. Dengan menggunakan Granger Causality Test. diketahui bahwa tidak ada hubungan antara produk /iending di kedua bank umum syariah tersebut dengan produk simpanan perbankan konvensional. lni artinya bahwa suku bunga tidak memberikan dampak terhadap tingkat imbal hasil BMI dan BSM. Kemudian, hasil uji tersebut diperkuat dengan hasil regresi model distribusi lag, dimana outputnya menunjukkan pengaruh yang sangat rendah di antara obyek penelitian ini. Persamaan-persarnaan tersebut memiliki koefisien determinasi yang sangat rendah dan tidak signifikannya variabel independen baik secara individu maupun secara bersama-sama. Meskipun hasil ini diharapkan tetapi dalam kenyataannya manajemen bank syariah masih mempertimbangkan suku bunga simpanan bank konvensional. Sehingga, kesimpulan penelitian ini perlu ditanggapi secara hail-hati. Meskipun demikian. tingkat imbal hasil simpanan pada bank syariah dan suku bunga simpanan pada bank konvensional tidak dapat diperbandingkan sebagaimana yang berkembang di masvarakal. Ketika manajemen bank syariah menetapkan tingkat imbal hasil tersebut, ia tengah bertindak rasional karena pihak manajemen tidak hanya mempertimbangkan unsur dunia tetapi juga akhirat.

---

The purpose of this research is to analyze the causal relationship between rate of return of mudharabah saving deposit and mudharabah term deposit under four different categories i.e. I month. 3 months_ 6 months, and 12 months in Bank Muamalat Indonesia (BMI) and Bank Syariah Mandiri (BSM) and interest rate of saving accounts and time deposit in conventional banking. The approach used in this study is similar to the econometric procedure used on Kaleem and lsa (2003) study in Malaysia. According to the Granger causality test, this research indicates that there is no causal relationship between rate of return (pricing) and interest rate of both savings and deposit. It means that interest rate doesn't have impact in all cases on the Islamic rate of return (BMI and BSNi). Afterward, the outputs of distributed-lag models strengthen the Granger test result. Each models has low coefficient of determination and repressors whether individually or jointly semi to be statistically insignificant. Nevertheless this is the expected result; in fact Islamic banking management still considers interest rate of funding at conventional banking. That is why the conclusion of this research should be responded cautiously. However, both rate of return and interest rate have different pricing mechanism. Islamic banking management acts in a rational way when determining its rate of return because it not only considers the immediate financial returns but also the return in the hereafter.

Abstrak :
Skripsi ini membahas mengenai uji kausalitas VAR Toda-Yamamoto antara variabel makro ekonomi dengan pasar keuangan Islam, yang bertujuan untuk mengetahui konten informasi terkait variabel makro ekonomi yang terdapat dalam pasar modah syariah (JII) dan pasar uang syariah (SBIS) untuk kemudian variabel keuangan Islam yang memiliki konten informasi yang lebih banyak dapat dijadikan sebagai kandidat indikator kebijakan. Kesimpulan dalam penelitian ini adalah dengan tingkat signifikansi 5% melalui uji Bi-Variate dua arah, pasar modal syariah (JII) memiliki dua konten informasi terkait makro ekonomi yaitu LnER dan rSBI, sedangkan SBIS tidak sama sekali. Dengan tingkat signifikansi yang sama melalui uji Multi-Variate dua arah, pasar uang syariah (SBIS) memiliki tiga konten informasi terkait makro ekonomi yaitu rSBI, IPI, dan Inflasi, sedangkan JII hanya memiliki satu konten informasi yaitu LnER. Dengan demikian, pasar uang syariah (SBIS) lebih dapat menggambarkan pergerakan makro ekonomi dan dapat dijadikan indikator kebijakan.

---

This study investigate VAR Toda-Yamamoto causality test between macro economic variabel and Islamic financial market. The purpose of this study is to analyze the information content of Islamic capital market (JII) and Islamic money market (SBIS) return with respect to several macro economic indicators. The empirical findings based on Bi-Varite method with level of significant 5%, Islamic capital market (JII) has high content information of macro economic variabel (LnER and rSBI). Contrarily, based on Multi-Variate method with same level of significant, Islamic money market (SBIS) has high content information of macro economic variabel (rSBI, IPI, and Inflation). This implies that Islamic money market (SBIS) can be a reliable variable for monetary policy implementation in the Indonesia case.