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Ngantung, Olgha
Abstrak :
Konsep disaster diplomacy pertama kali digunakan untuk melihat pengaruh bencana gempa bumi 1999 terhadap proses perdamaian konflik Turki-Yunani. Kashmir sebagai wilayah sengketa, medan perang, sekaligus daerah rawan bencana di India-Pakistan telah banyak diteliti untuk melihat keterkaitan antara konflik dan bencana. Kemunculan virus SARS-CoV-2 menjadi momentum kembalinya disaster diplomacy India-Pakistan setelah bencana-bencana terdahulu. Namun, penolakan India terhadap bantuan COVID-19 dari Pakistan dan produksi vaksin COVID-19 oleh India untuk para negara tetangga, kecuali Pakistan, merupakan bukti kegagalan disaster diplomacy di antara keduanya. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis faktor-faktor yang menyebabkan gagalnya disaster diplomacy India-Pakistan pada bencana pandemi COVID-19. Melalui konsep Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) yang dikembangkan oleh Louise K. Comfort, penelitian ini menemukan bahwa penolakan India terhadap bantuan dari Pakistan salah satunya disebabkan oleh hambatan birokrasi pada tingkat pemerintah pusat dan banyaknya bantuan serupa oleh komunitas internasional yang menempatkan pertolongan dari Pakistan sebagai prioritas terakhir. Selain itu, berdasarkan konsep pengambilan keputusan, kegagalan disaster diplomacy India-Pakistan tidak dapat dipisahkan dari faktor non-kebencanaan seperti politik domestik, internasionalisasi konflik Kashmir, dan hubungan India-Pakistan yang kian terpuruk akibat konflik bersenjata dan berbagai serangan terorisme.

The concept of disaster diplomacy was first used to analyze the impact of the 1999 earthquake on the peace process of Greek-Turkey conflict. Kashmir as a disputed area, battlefield, as well as a disaster-prone area in India-Pakistan has been widely studied to see the nexus between disaster and conflict. The emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus has become a momentum for the return of India-Pakistan’s disaster diplomacy after previous disasters. However, India's refusal of Pakistan's COVID-19 aid and India's production of COVID-19 vaccines for neighboring countries, except for Pakistan, is an evidance of the failure of disaster diplomacy between the two sides. This undergraduate thesis aims to analyze the factors that led to the failure of the India-Pakistan’s disaster diplomacy during the COVID-19 pandemic. By using the concept of Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) developed by Louise K. Comfort, this thesis found that India’s refusal of Pakistan’s aid was partly caused by bureaucratic obstacles at the central government level and the large amount of similar aids by the international communities which placed the help from Pakistan at its last priority. In addition, based on the decision-making concept, the failure of disaster diplomacy between India-Pakistan cannot be separated from non-disaster factors such as domestic politics, internationalization of the Kashmir conflict, and India-Pakistan relations which are lately deterirorating due to armed conflicts and various terrorist attacks.
Depok: Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik Universitas Indonesia, 2023
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UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Abstrak :
This book emerged out of international conferences organized as part of the AAAI Fall Symposia series, and the Swarmfest 2017 conference. It brings together researchers from diverse fields studying these complex systems using CAS and agent-based modeling tools and techniques. In the past, the knowledge gained in each domain has largely remained exclusive to that domain. By bringing together scholars who study these phenomena, the book takes knowledge from one domain to provide insight into others.
Most interesting phenomena in natural and social systems include constant transitions and oscillations among their various phases – wars, companies, societies, markets, and humans rarely stay in a stable, predictable state for long. Randomness, power laws, and human behavior ensure that the future is both unknown and challenging. How do events unfold? When do they take hold? Why do some initial events cause an avalanche while others do not? What characterizes these events? What are the thresholds that differentiate a sea change from a non-event?
Complex adaptive systems (CAS) have proven to be a powerful tool for exploring these and other related phenomena. The authors characterize a general CAS model as having a large number of self-similar agents that: 1) utilize one or more levels of feedback; 2) exhibit emergent properties and self-organization; and 3) produce non-linear dynamic behavior. Advances in modeling and computing technology have led not only to a deeper understanding of complex systems in many areas, but they have also raised the possibility that similar fundamental principles may be at work across these systems, even though the underlying principles may manifest themselves differently.
Switzerland: Springer Cham, 2019
e20503226
eBooks  Universitas Indonesia Library