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Abstrak :
This thesis examines whether implemented AEC 2015 measures have a significant effect on ASEAN industrialization, by comparing the trend of industrialization before and after ASEAN has AEC Blueprint which was implemented since 2008. We find that implementation of AEC blueprint during 2008-2016 did not give any effect to of manufacturing employment (mnfemp) relative to total employment and nominal manufacturing value added (mnva) relative to total GDP. Even, share of the real manufacturing value added (rmva) in the period of AEC blueprint implementation is less than the prior period in 2000-2007. The gap between on paper and actual implementations, unutilized trade agreement by private sectors due to documentation complexities, and the rising of non-tariff barriers become possible explanation why AEC 2015 measures did not give effect to ASEAN manufacturing sector.

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Tesis ini menganalisa apakah implementasi kebijakan AEC 2015 memiliki akibat yang signifikan terhadap industrialisasi di ASEAN, dengan membandingkan perkembangan industrialisasi sebelum dan sesudah ASEAN memiliki cetak biru AEC, dimana cetak biru tersebut sudah dipraktikkan sejak tahun 2008. Kami menemukan bahwa pelaksanaan cetak biru AEC selama 2008-2016 tidak memberikan efek ke pekerjaan industri (mnfemp) relatif terhadap total pekerja dan nominal nilai tambah industry (mnva) relatif terhadap total PDB. Bahkan, nila tambah real industri pada periode implementasi cetak biru AEC lebih rendah dari periode sebelum cetak biru. Perbedaan antara rencana dan implementasi, kesepakatan dagang yang tidak dimanfaatkan sektor swasta karena keruwetan dokumen, dan naiknya hambatan non-tarif adalah penjelasan rasional mengapa kebijakan AEC 2015 tidak memberi efek terhadap sektor industri di ASEAN.

Abstrak :
ABSTRAK
The development of the manufacturing industry is one of the standards for Indonesia's development as a developing country. Domestic investment (DI) and foreign direct investment (FDI) can meet investment needs in this industry. This paper focuses on the nexus of the two types of investment in meeting investment needs in the manufacturing industry and the influence of those investments in relatively capital-intensive and relatively labor-intensive industrial groups. The aim is to evaluate the role of both types of investments and their benefits to the economy not only to the value-added but also in transferring technology and knowledge spillover from FDI to DI. The panel data regression was first to do to observe the differences between groups of relatively capital-intensive industrial samples and relatively labor-intensive industrial samples. The comparison results show that there are significant differences between the two industry groups so that it can be regressed on these two sample types, apart from the regression of the overall sample. The overall sample found that both FDI and DI influence the value-added of the manufacturing industry.