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"In this study, we analyze contrarian and momentum strategies in periods associated with optimism or pessimism, and we compare them to the normal market sentiment condition. We evaluate the sentiment using the Arms adjusted index. Then, using the vector autoregressive test, we analyze the relationships among sentiment, stock returns, excess returns, and volatility. The results show that the formation of a short-term portfolio in one- and three-month periods of optimism and pessimism do not create additional returns and results in losses. In addition, the outcomes indicate that combining normal market sentiment with behavioral finance strategies increases performances, with more significant results seen using contrarian strategies compared to momentum strategies."

"ABSTRAKSaya meneliti profitabilitas strategi momentum harga dan strategi momentum gayapada pasar modal di Indonesia dalam rentang waktu 2000 hingga 2015. Saya menemukanbahwa strategy momentum gaya mampu menghasilkan keuntungan secarakonsisten, sedangkan strategi momentum harga tidak menghasilkan keuntunganyang konsiten dan cenderung memberikan imbal hasil yang negatif. Keuntunganmomentum gaya tetap muncul setelah mengendalikan faktor pasar menggunakanIHSG. Temuan ini mengindikasikan bahwa pasar modal Indonesia berada padatingkatan pasar efisien bentuk-lemah namun tidak mencapai pasar efisien bentuksemi-kuat karena saya menemukan bahwa strategi momentum gaya yang memeringkatsaham berdasarkan informasi publik mampu untuk memberikan imbal hasilyang signifikan.

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ABSTRACTI investigate the profitability of style and price momentum strategy in Indonesianstock market between 2000 and 2015. I find that the style momentum strategyconsistently generates profit while the price momentum strategy does not give consistentprofit and tend to yield negative return. The profitability of style momentumstrategy is persistent after controlling for market factor using JSX index. My findingssuggest that the weak-form efficient market exists in Indonesian stock marketwhile the semi-strong form does not hold since I find that style momentum strategywhich ranks stocks using publicly available information is able to give significantreturn."