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"ABSTRAKThis paper evaluates monetary policy transmission in both tranquil and turbulent periods for Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey. Using a structural vector autoregressive model, we find that the effect of structural shocks from supply, demand,and financial sources tend to fizzle out faster for Nigeria and Mexico compared toIndonesia and Turkey. Another important finding is that while monetary authorities in Indonesia and Turkey are more responsive to inflation those in Mexico and Nigeria are more influenced by the exchange rate. We also observe differences in the conduct of monetary policy between the tranquil and turbulent periods."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menginvestigasi peran perbankan Islam dalam mentransmisikan kebijakan moneter terhadap perekonomian riil di Indonesia dan Malaysia. Sejalan dengan pesatnya perkembangan perbankan Islam, maka pertanyaan mengenai bagaimana sektor ini berkontribusi dalam transmisi kebijakan moneter semakin menarik untuk diteliti. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode VAR dengan data bulanan dari Januari 2007 sampai Desember 2016. Hasilnya menunjukkan bahwa perbankan Islam dikedua negara memainkan peran yang positif sesuai dengan teori bank lending channel dalam proses transmisi moneter. Meskipun begitu, hubungan yang dihasilkan tidak begitu signifikan, terutama terkait dampaknya terhadap perekonomian. Ini mengindikasikan bahwa perbankan Islam perlu kembali kebentuk idealnya yang terkoneksi terhadap sektor riil. Selain itu, otoritas moneter perlu merancang instrumen kebijakan moneter yang lebih tepat dalam mengakomodasi keberadaan perbankan Islam yang terus berkembang.

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This study aims to analyze the role of Islamic banks in transmitting monetary policy to the real economy of Indonesia and Malaysia. Due to the fact that Islamic finance has a vast growing nowadays, it makes the question about how Islamic bank contributes in monetary policy transmission is more interesting to be discussed. The study relies on VAR methodology with monthly data covering the period from January 2007 to December 2016. The result show that Islamic banks play positive role in transmitting monetary policy in line with the theory. However, the magnitude is not quite strong especially the effect to economy. This indicates that Islamic banks should back to their nature which linked their activity to the real sector of economy. Beside of that, policy maker should find suitable monetary instrument to accommodate Islamic banks."

"State-owned banks could help stabilize the business cycle if their lending is less procyclical. Such behavior might be driven by stronger reaction to monetary policy, which is likely influenced by government pressure or jawboning. This study investigates the effect of state ownership on lending cyclicality and monetary policy transmission using quarterly bank-level data covering virtually all conventional banks in Indonesia, where centrally state-owned banks are dominant and frequently subject to jawboning. State ownership is found to be associated with lower procyclicality in lending, even countercylicality by some measures, with the effect more pronounced during downcycles compared to upcycles. This might be explained by countercyclicality on their deposit side, which implies that state-owned banks are perceived to be more secure. Finally, there is some evidence that state-owned banks respond more to policy rate, which offers a novel explanation behind their lower procyclicality. These results affirm that some degree of state ownership in the banking system is beneficial for macroeconomic stability.

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Bank BUMN dapat membantu menstabilkan siklus bisnis jika penyaluran kredit mereka tidak begitu prosiklikal. Perilaku tersebut dapat disebabkan oleh reaksi yang lebih kuat terhadap kebijakan moneter, di mana kemungkinan terdapat tekanan politik. Studi ini meneliti dampak dari kepemilikan negara terhadap siklisitas kredit dan transmisi kebijakan moneter menggunakan data triwulanan tingkat bank yang mencakup hampir semua bank umum di Indonesia, di mana bank BUMN sangat dominan dan dipengaruhi oleh agenda pemerintah. Hasilnya mengindikasi bahwa kepemilikan negara berhubungan dengan prosiklisitas yang lebih rendah, bahkan sampai kontrasiklikal, dengan efeknya lebih kuat saat siklus ekonomi sedang turun. Hal ini mungkin disebabkan oleh sisi deposito yang juga kontrasiklikal, misalnya karena bank BUMN dipercaya lebih aman. Terakhir, terdapat indikasi bahwa bank BUMN merespons lebih terhadap suku bunga kebijakan, yang memberikan penjelasan baru di balik prosiklisitas kredit bank BUMN yang lebih rendah. Temuan studi ini menunjukkan bahwa kepemilikan negara di sektor perbankan dapat bermanfaat bagi stabilitas makroekonomi."

"ABSTRAKThis paper evaluates monetary policy transmission in both tranquil and turbulent periods for Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey. Using a structural vector autoregressive model, we find that the effect of structural shocks from supply, demand, and financial sources tend to fizzle out faster for Nigeria and Mexico compared to Indonesia and Turkey. Another important finding is that while monetary authorities in Indonesia and Turkey are more responsive to inflation those in Mexico and Nigeria are more influenced by the exchange rate. We also observe differences in the conduct of monetary policy between the tranquil and turbulent periods."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisa pengaruh market power terhadap efektivitas transmisi kebijakan moneter melalui bank lending channel. Selain itu, pengujian terhadap sesitifitas deposito terhadap penyaluran kredit juga dilakukan untuk mengidentifikasi keberadaan bank lending channel sebagai saluran transmisi kebijakan moneter. Dengan menggunakan data panel terhadap 103 bank umum di Indoensia selama periode semester I-2005 sampai dengan semester II-2012, model penelitian diestimasi menggunakan metode regresi data panel. Hasil dari penelitian ini adalah market power dapat melemahkan efektivitas transmisi kebijakan moneter. Selain itu dalam penelitian ini ditemukan pula bahwa kebijakan moneter pada periode t-1 berpengaruh negatif terhadap pertumbuhan kredit, sedangkan kebijakan moneter pada periode t dan t-2 tidak berpengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan kredit pada periode t.

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This study examines how banks respomd to the monetary policy according to their characteristics, as in particular, market power. Using panel dataset from 103 banks from Indonesia over semester I-2005 to semester II-2012, the result suggest that bank with market power, which is proxied by Lerner Index, have a credit supply that is less sensitive to monetary policy shock. Therefore bank?s market power weaken the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission through bank lending channel. This research also find that banks needs some kind of time lagged to respons the monetary policy shock, and the effect of monetary policy on t-1 has significant and negative impact to bank lending, while monteray policy on t period and t-2 periode doesnt show any significant impact."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi pengaruh kebijakan moneter Islam terhadap pembiayaan perbankan Islam di Indonesia, pada periodei Maret 2008 hingga Maret 2017. Penelitian ini Penelitian ini menggunakan model VECM, di mana variabel kebijakan moneter Islam yang digunakan adalah SBIS Sertifikat Bank Indonesia Syariah dan PUAS Pasar Uang Antarbank Syariah, sementara variabel lainnya mencakup total pembiayaan perbankan Islam, imbal hasil akad mudaraba, marjin akad murabaha, tingkat inflasi, indeks produksi industri, dan nilai tukar.Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan moneter Islam berpengaruh dan telah dapat ditransmisikan melalui saluran bank-lending channel. Penurunan return SBIS sebesar satu persen akan meningkatkan total pembiayaan perbankan Islam sebanyak 1.34 persen, sementara peningkatan return PUAS sebesar satu persen akan meningkatkan total pembiayaan perbankan Islam sebesar 0.64 persen.Selain itu, dengan menggunakan what-if analysis, penelitian juga memprediksi bahwa potensi industri perbankan Islam hingga 2022 akan terus menunjukkan tren positif dalam berbagai iklim perekonomian. Secara keseluruhan, hasil penelitian ini diharapkan dapat memperkaya literatur terkait pengaruh kebijakan moneter Islam dan membantu investor untuk menilai kelayakan investasi khususnya dalam industri perbankan Islam di Indonesia.

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This research aims to identify the influence of Islamic monetary policy on Islamic banking financing in Indonesia from March 2008 to March 2017. This research uses VECM model, where Islamic monetary policy variable used is SBIS Bank Indonesia Sharia Certificate and PUAS Shariah Interbank Money Market, while other variables include total Islamic banking financing, mudaraba contract yield, the margin of murabaha, inflation rate, industrial production index, and exchange rate.

The results of this study indicate that Islamic monetary policy is influential and can be transmitted through bank lending channel channels. A one percent decline in SBIS return will increase Islamic banking financing by 1.34 percent while increasing PUAS return by one percent will increase Islamic banking financing by 0.64 percent.

In addition, using what if analysis, the study also predicts that the potential of the Islamic banking industry until 2022 will continue to show positive trends in various economic climates. Overall, the results of this study are expected to enrich the literature on the influence of Islamic monetary policy and help investors to assess the feasibility of investment, especially in the Islamic banking industry in Indonesia."