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"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengindentifikasi adanya kemampuan selectivity dan market timing dari manajer investasi reksa dana saham di Indonesia pada tiga periode penelitian yang berbeda (lima tahun terakhir, bullish, dan bearish) dan melihat korelasi diantara kedua kemampuan tersebut. Sampel penelitian menggunakan reksa dana saham yang aktif pada periode Januari 2004 sampai dengan Desember 2008. Pengukuran kemampuan selectivity dan market timing ini menggunakan parametrik model Henrikson Merton.Hasil penelitian menunjukkan belum terdapat kemampuan selectivity dan market timing yang signifikan dari manajer investasi yang dapat memberikan kontribusi positif terhadap peningkatan return, dan terdapat korelasi negatif diantara kedua kemampuan tersebut.

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This research aims to identify the ability of selectivity and market timing of equity mutual fund stock managers investment in Indonesia in three different periods of research (the last five years, bullish, and bearish) and to see the correlation between these abilities. Sample research uses equity mutual funds that were active during the period January 2004 until December 2008. Measurement of selectivity and market timing ability uses parametric Henrikson Merton model.

The results of the research shows selectivity and market timing ability of investment managers insignificantly which give positive ontribution to increase the return of equity mutual fund, and there is a negative correlation between these ability."

"Perekonomian Indonesia saat ini masih didominasi sektor perbankan sebagai motor penggerak utama. Fungai intermodiasi perbankan sangat diharapkan untuk membawa perekonomian Indonesia maju, sehingga mencari hubungan antara variabel makroekonomi, karekteristik industri terhadap return saham perbankan menarik umuk diteliti. Kesimpulan yang didapat : 1. Rata-rata return saham perbankan lebih kecil dibandingkan rata-rata return pasar, 2. Dibandingkan tingkat fisiko pasar yang diukur dan standar deviasinya, mayoritas bank memiliki tingkat risiko di atas pasar, 3. return pasar berpengaruh positif temadap return mayoritas saham perbankan. 4. Pada umumnya model yang dibentuk tidak menunjukan signifikansi pungaruh variable-variable independen secara memadai. 5. Penambaban variabel makro dan karakteristik industri sebagn.i variabel indepemien dalam model tidak dapat menunjukan signifikansi.

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Indonesia's economy is still dominated by the banking sector as the main mover. Intermediary function is expected to bring Indonesia's economy forward, so it is attractive to look for the relationship between macroeconomic variables, characteristics of the industries to banking stocks return for examination. Conclusions obtained: 1. The average returns of banking stocks is smaller than the average market return. 2. Compared to the level of market risk as measured by standard deviation, the majority of banks have a risk level above the market 3. The market return positively affects the return ofthe majority of banking shares. 4. In general, the established model showed no significance influeoce ofindependeot variables adequately. 5. The addition of macroeconomic variables and industry charncteristics as independent variables in the model cannot show significance"