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"Jatuhnya harga saham karena krisis global merupakan indikasi harga saham sangat murah dan merupakan saat yang tepat untuk membeli saham-saham di pasar modal. Meskipun demikian valuasi yang tepat terhadap nilai perusahaan yang akan dibeli adalah hal utama yang mesti dilakukan sehingga investor dapat melakukan prediksi dan perhitungan terhadap harga saham dengan benar. PT Bank Central Asia Tbk dipilih karena memiliki peningkatan asset yang pesat juga fundamental yang kuat. Pada tesis ini digunakan 2 skenario dan 2 metode berbeda dalam menentukan nilai intrinsik PT Bank Central Asia Tbk, yaitu dengan menggunakan free cash flow to Equity dan abnormal earning. Hasil yang diperoleh dari perhitungan tersebut kemudian dibandingkan dengan kondisi harga saham BCA saat ini apakah overvalued atau undervalued.

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Stock drops due to the global crisis is an indication that the stocks are very cheap and isan appropriate time to buy stocks in the stock market. Even though, precise valuationtoward the value of the companies that issued the stocks must be of main concern forinvestors in order to carry out correct calculations and predictions. PT Bank CentralAsia Tbk was chosen because other than having a rapid increase in assets, theirfundamentals are also strong. In this thesis 2 scenarios and 2 methods are used todetermine the intrinsic value of PT Bank Central Asia Tbk, which are Free Cash Flow toEquity and Abnormal Earning. The calculation results are then compared to BCA?scurrent stock price to determine whether it is overvalued/undervalued."

"Sebelum mengambil keputusan investasi diperlukan serangkaian analisis yang tepat agar dapat memberikan keuntungan yang optimal dan mengurangi risiko yang ada. Salah satu analisis yang dapat digunakan adalah analisis fundamental untuk mencari nilai wajar dari suatu saham yang dapat digunakan sebagai dasar dalam membuat keputusan investasi baik membeli, menjual ataupun menahan saham.Berdasarkan hasil perhitungan valuasi saham menggunakan metode FCFE, didapatkan harga BUMI overvalued. Dengan nilai wajar BUMI Rp. 2.146,48 dan harga BUMI Rp.2.425 per tanggal 30 Desember 2009. Sedangkan menggunakan metode P/ER, P/ER BUMI undervalued terhadap rata-rata industri dengan nilai PER BUMI 25,55 dan rata-rata P/ER industri 83,07.

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Before taking an investment decision required a series of precise analysis in order to provide optimal benefits and reduce risks. One analysis that can be used is fundamental analysis to find the fair value of stocks that can be used as the basis in making investment decisions whether to buy, sell or hold share.Based on calculations of valuation of shares using FCFE method, the BUMI's market price is overvalued. With fair value of BUMI is Rp. 2,146.48 and the market price is Rp. 2,425 as of 30 December 2009. While the P/ER approach, P/ER undervalued relative to industry averages, with 25.55 for BUMI's P/ER and 183.07 for average industry P/ER."

"Laporan magang ini menjelaskan mengenai praktik valuasi nilai wajar akun biological assets menggunakan Discounted Cash Flow pada PT U, yaitu sebuah perusahaan yang bergerak di bidang perkebunan kelapa sawit, dan prosedur audit yang dilakukan oleh KAP ABC untuk memberikan keyakinan memadai bahwa hasil estimasi nilai wajar akun biological assets tersebut telah disajikan dengan wajar. Hasilnya, KAP ABC menyimpulkan bahwa estimasi nilai wajar akun biological assets pada PT U yang telah dikalkulasikan oleh penilai independen telah disajikan secara wajar.

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This internship report explains the practice of fair value of biological assets valuation using discounted cash flow at PT U, a palm oil plantation company, and audit procedure done by KAP ABC to give reasonable assurance that fair value estimation on PT U?s biological assets account has been fairly stated. The result is KAP ABC concludes that the overall fair value estimation of the biological assets account of PT U as calculated by appraiser has been fairly stated."

"Pertumbuhan pengguna telepon genggam memberikan dampak positif terhadap tumbuhnya sektor telekomunikasi hingga mencapai 13,61% CAGR selama 2000 – 2017. Pertumbuhan yang masif tersebut sayangnya tidak mampu mengimbangi biaya yang terjadi di sektor tersebut sehingga mengakibatkan kerugian pada level net income. Hal tersebut memberikan kemungkinan atas penilaian yang ambigu terhadap nilai perusahaan sacara wajar. Oleh karena itu, penilitian ini bertujuan untuk mengungkapkan nilai wajar perusahaan pada sektor telekomunikasi dengan objek penelitian PT XL Axiata Tbk. Penelitian melibatkan metode discounted cash flow to firm dengan proyeksi laporan keuangan hingga 10 tahun dengan bantuan 5 tahun historis sebagai tahun dasar. Ada pun data yang digunakan untuk basis proyeksi laporan tersebut bersumber dari informasi publik yang melingkupi makroekonomi, industri, dan perusahaan. Penulis menemukan bahwa harga saham PT XL Axiata Tbk. tidak merepresentasikan nilai wajar perusahaan, dimana harga saham berada pada nilai undervalued.

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The growth of mobile phone users has a positive impact on telecommunications sector’s growth reaching 13.61% CAGR during 2000 - 2017. Unfortunately, that massive growth inadquately offset the costs incurred resulting losses on net income for years. It leads to the possibility of an ambiguous assessment regarading the value of the company in this sector. Therefore, this research aims to reveal the fair value of companies in the telecommunications sector with PT XL Axiata Tbk. as an object. The study involves a discounted cash flow to firm method with 10-years financial statement projections that is helped by 5 historical years as base-year. The data used for the projection derived from public information covering macroeconomics, industry, and companies. The research finds that the share price of PT XL Axiata Tbk. does not represent the fair value of the company which the share price is currently standing at undervalued.

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"Krisis global memberikan penurunan pada pasar modal dan harga saham pada tahun 2008. Namun pada tahun 2009 harga saham kembali naik sampai melebihi sebelumnya. Oleh karena itu, valuasi merupakan suatu alat yang penting untuk dapat mengetahui nilai intrinsik suatu saham sehingga investor dapat mengambil keputusan dalam berinvestasi. PT. Bank Negara Indonesia, Tbk (Persero) dipilih karena merupakan perusahaan milik negara yang mempunyai fundamental kuat dalam industri perbankan.Tesis ini menggunakan 2 metode yang berbeda yaitu metode Free Cash Flow to Equity dan metode Relative Valuation. Hasil dari perhitungan valuasi tersebut kemudian dibandingkan dengan harga saham BNI saat ini untuk mengetahui posisi saham BNI apakah overvalued atau undervalued.

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Global crisis had caused a decrease in capital markets and stock prices in 2008. However, in 2009 the stock price rebound significantly. Therefore, valuation is an important tool to valuing the intrinsic value of a stock so that investors can make right investment decisions. PT. Bank Negara Indonesia, Tbk (Persero) was chosen because it is a state-owned company that has strong fundamentals in the banking industry.This thesis uses two different methods defined as Free Cash Flow to Equity and Relative Valuation method. The results of the valuation are compared with the current market price of BNI to identify the stock position is overvalued or undervalued."

"Dengan kondisi perekonomian dunia yang semakin tidak menentu dengan terjadinya krisis ekonomi di kawasan Eropa, tentunya sebagai seorang investor harus selalu berhati-hati dalam melakukan investasi terutama di pasar modal. Secara keseluruhan penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui nilai intrinsik saham perusahaan PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa,Tbk. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini menggunakan free cash flow to equity dan dividend discount model dengan masing-masing dihitung bedasarkan dua kondisi. Hasil yang diperoleh dari perhitungan tersebut kemudian dibandingkan dengan kondisi harga pasar saham perusahaan saat ini apakah dalam kondisi overvalued atau undervalued.

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With increasing uncertainty ofthe world economy because the economic crisis in Europe, an investor should always be careful in investing primarily in equity markets. Overall, the study aims to determine the intrinsic value ofthe shares of PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa, Tbk. Valuation method used in this study are free cash flow to equity and dividend discount model and each using two conditions. The results of calculations are then compared with current market price whether it is overvalued or undervalued."

"[ABSTRAKIndonesia akan segera menghadapi MEA dan sektor keuangan merupakan salah satu sektor yang terpengaruh dan harus dapat bersaing di MEA. Sektor keuangan yang paling dominan di Indonesia adalah Industri Perbankan. Oleh karena itu, Pemerintah memiliki rencana untuk melakukan megamerjer dua bank BUMN besar Indonesia, Bank Mandiri sebagai perusahaan bidder dan BNI sebagai perusahaan target. Penelitian ini akan difokuskan kepada analisis deal payment, struktur kepemilikan bank yang baru, dan hal-hal apa yang perlu diperhatikan demi kesuksesan megamerjer. Hasil penilaian megamerjer yang terjadi antara Bank Mandiri dan BNI pada seluruh skenario memiliki nilai sinergi yang positif yaitu sebesar Rp 1.103,482 Triliun untuk skenario pertama, Rp 7,543 Triliun untuk skenario kedua dan Rp 823,892 Triliun untuk skenario ketiga. Dari ketiga skenario tersebut, diperoleh kesimpulan mengenai Alternatif pembiayaan merjer yang terdiri atas cash dan stock, yang apabila hendak membeli 50% kepemilikan dari BBNI memiliki nilai transaksi sebesar Rp 65,270 Triliun. Dengan jumlah pembayaran tersebut, shareholder BBNI akan menerima 2,78% dari perusahaan setelah merjer pada skenario I, menerima 5,26% pada skenario II, dan 3,16% pada skenario III. Analisis terhadap bobot kepemilikan bank pada scenario I dan III menunjukkan bahwa sesudah merjer bobot kepemilikan majority shareholder dan minority shareholder tidak mengalami perubahan, sedangkan pada skenario II kepemilikan majority shareholder mengalami penurunan dari 60% menjadi 57% dan minority shareholder mengalami peningkatan dari 40% menjadi 43%. Hasil ini menunjukkan bahwa tidak terjadi ekspropriasi terhadap minority shareholder.

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ABSTRACTIndonesia will face AEC soon and The Financial sector is one sector that‟s affectedand should be able to compete in the AEC. The most dominant financial sector inIndonesia is The Banking Industry. Therefore, the Government has plan to mergetwo major state-owned bank in Indonesia, Bank Mandiri as the bidding firm and BNIas the target firm. This study will be focused on analysis of deal payment, bankownership structure, and what things to consider for the success of megamerger twoIndonesian state-owned banks. Megamerjer assessment results that occur betweenBank Mandiri and BNI on the whole scenario has a positive synergy value that isequal to Rp 1.103,482 trillion for the first scenario , Rp 7,543 trillion for the secondscenario and Rp 823,892 trillion for the third scenario. Of the three scenarios, theconclusion regarding the financing alternative merger consisting of cash and stock,which, if they wanted to buy 50 % ownership of BBNI having a transaction value ofRp 65,270 trillion . With the amount of such payment , BBNI shareholders willreceive 2,78% of the company after the merger in the first scenario , receiving 5,26%in scenario II, and 3,16% in the third scenario. Analysis of the weight bankownership in scenario I and III shows that after the merger the weight of majorityshareholders and minority ownership shareholder is unchanged, while in the scenarioII majority shareholder ownership decreased from 60% to 57% and minority shareholders increased from 40% to 43%. These results indicate that there is no expropriation of the minority shareholder.;Indonesia will face AEC soon and The Financial sector is one sector that‟s affectedand should be able to compete in the AEC. The most dominant financial sector inIndonesia is The Banking Industry. Therefore, the Government has plan to mergetwo major state-owned bank in Indonesia, Bank Mandiri as the bidding firm and BNIas the target firm. This study will be focused on analysis of deal payment, bankownership structure, and what things to consider for the success of megamerger twoIndonesian state-owned banks. Megamerjer assessment results that occur betweenBank Mandiri and BNI on the whole scenario has a positive synergy value that isequal to Rp 1.103,482 trillion for the first scenario , Rp 7,543 trillion for the secondscenario and Rp 823,892 trillion for the third scenario. Of the three scenarios, theconclusion regarding the financing alternative merger consisting of cash and stock,which, if they wanted to buy 50 % ownership of BBNI having a transaction value ofRp 65,270 trillion . With the amount of such payment , BBNI shareholders willreceive 2,78% of the company after the merger in the first scenario , receiving 5,26%in scenario II, and 3,16% in the third scenario. Analysis of the weight bankownership in scenario I and III shows that after the merger the weight of majorityshareholders and minority ownership shareholder is unchanged, while in the scenarioII majority shareholder ownership decreased from 60% to 57% and minority shareholders increased from 40% to 43%. These results indicate that there is no expropriation of the minority shareholder., Indonesia will face AEC soon and The Financial sector is one sector that‟s affectedand should be able to compete in the AEC. The most dominant financial sector inIndonesia is The Banking Industry. Therefore, the Government has plan to mergetwo major state-owned bank in Indonesia, Bank Mandiri as the bidding firm and BNIas the target firm. This study will be focused on analysis of deal payment, bankownership structure, and what things to consider for the success of megamerger twoIndonesian state-owned banks. Megamerjer assessment results that occur betweenBank Mandiri and BNI on the whole scenario has a positive synergy value that isequal to Rp 1.103,482 trillion for the first scenario , Rp 7,543 trillion for the secondscenario and Rp 823,892 trillion for the third scenario. Of the three scenarios, theconclusion regarding the financing alternative merger consisting of cash and stock,which, if they wanted to buy 50 % ownership of BBNI having a transaction value ofRp 65,270 trillion . With the amount of such payment , BBNI shareholders willreceive 2,78% of the company after the merger in the first scenario , receiving 5,26%in scenario II, and 3,16% in the third scenario. Analysis of the weight bankownership in scenario I and III shows that after the merger the weight of majorityshareholders and minority ownership shareholder is unchanged, while in the scenarioII majority shareholder ownership decreased from 60% to 57% and minority shareholders increased from 40% to 43%. These results indicate that there is no expropriation of the minority shareholder.]"

"Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menganalisis nilai wajar dari saham PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur, Tbk. dengan menggunakan metode valuasi discounted free cash flow to firm dan free cash flow to equity. Hasil valuasi tersebut dapat dibandingkan dengan nilai pasar perusahaan tersebut dan menghasilkan rekomendasi untuk investor. Analisis saham ini menggunakan analisis fundamental dengan pendekatan top-down approach, meliputi analisis makroekonomi, analisis industri, analisis perusahaan, dan valuasi. Studi ini diharapkan dapat memberikan hasil prospek makroekonomi, industri, dan nilai wajar saham PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk.

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This research is performed to analyze fair value of PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur’s stock using discounted free cash flow to firm and free cash flow to equity valuation method. The result then compared to market value of the firm to provide recommendation for investor. This Analysis uses fundamental analysis with top-down approach which consider factors from macroeconomics analysis, industry and company analysis, also valuation. This study is expected to provide insight of macroeconomic prospect, industry prospect, and fair value of PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk."

"Sebelum mengambil keputusan investasi diperlukan analisis yang tepat agar dapat memberikan keuntungan yang optimal dan mengurangi risiko yang ada. Salah satu analisis yang bisa dilakukan adalah analisis fundamental untuk mencari nilai wajar dari suatu saham yang dapat digunakan sebagai dasar dalam membuat keputusan investasi baik membeli, menahan atau menjual saham. Berdasarkan hasil perhitungan valuasi saham menggunakan metode Free Cash to Equity, harga saham ADRO undervalued dengan nilai wajar menurut skenario optimis Rp 2.146 dan skenario pesimis Rp 1.930 sementara harga saham ADRO per tanggal 30 September 2011 adalah Rp 1.720. Perhitungan nilai wajar dengan PE ratio sebesar Rp 2,911 dibandingkan dengan harga pasar per 31 Desember 2011 sebesar Rp 1,770 juga memberikan hasil harga saham ADRO undervalued.

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Before taking an investment decision it is required to make accurate analysis in order to maximize gains and minimize losses. Fundamental analysis can be used to find the fair value of stock as a basis for investment decision whether to buy, hold or sell. Based on calculation on valuation of share using Free Cash to Equity method, the market price of Adaro share is undervalued. The fair value of Adaro share are Rp 2.146 (optimistic scenario) and Rp 1.930 (pessimistic scenario) while the market price as on September 30, 2011 is Rp 1.720. Calculation of intrinsic value using PE ratio resulting amount of Rp 2,911 compared with the market price of December 31, 2011 amounts Rp 1,770 also shows the ADRO is still undervalued."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalis nilai wajar saham PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk. dengan menggunakan metode discounted free cash flow to firm dan free cash flow to equity. Analisis nilai wajar saham ini menggunakan analisis fundamental dengan pendekatan top-down-approach, yang meliputi analisis makroekonomi, analisis industri, analisis perusahaan dan valuasi, dan dilengkapi dengan simulasi Monte Carlo, Price to Earning ratio, dan Price to Book Value ratio. Berdasarkan analisis-analisis yang dilakukan dalam studi ini, diharapkan studi ini dapat memberikan hasil berupa nilai wajar saham, prospek industri dimana perusahaan beroperasi, dan rekomendasi kepada investor terhadap saham PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk.

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This research aims to analyze the fair value of PT Erajaya Swasembadas stock with discounted free cash flow to firm and free cash flow to equity method.. This study uses fundamental analysis with top-down approach which includes macroeconomics analysis, industry analysis, company analysis, and valuation, also Monte Carlo Simulation, Price to Earning Ratio and Price to Book Value Ratio.

Based on this analysis, this study is expected to provide results of the fair value of the stock, industry prospect, and recommendation for investor about PT Erajaya Swasembadas Stock."