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Hasil Pencarian

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Ningtyas Harum Sari
Abstrak :
[Penelitian ini berfokus pada analisis faktor-faktor penentu ekspor CPO Indonesia. Faktor ? faktor yang menentukan tersebut diklasifikasikan menjadi indikator ekonomi mikro dan ekonomi makro. Indikator ekonomi mikro diwakili oleh tanah Indonesia dan Malaysia, produksi Indonesia dan Malaysia, tiga perusahaan CPO terbesar Indonesia dan Malaysia sementara indikator ekonomi makro diwakili oleh ekspor Malaysia, nilai tukar valuta asing, harga CPO, tingkat inflasi, BI rate, pertumbuhan konsumsi, pertumbuhan PDB, dan pertumbuhan manufaktur Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan metodologi OLS dan pendekatan Kausalitas Granger untuk menganalisis dampak dari faktor-faktor penentu ekspor CPO dari Indonesia. Hasil regresi OLS menunjukkan bahwa ekspor CPO dari Indonesia sangat dipengaruhi oleh ekspor Malaysia, nilai tukar valuta asing, harga CPO dunia, tiga perusahaan CPO terbesar di Malaysia, dan pertumbuhan industri. Selanjutnya, output Kausalitas Granger menggunakan VAR pendekatan / VECM menunjukkan bahwa CPO Ekspor Indonesia memiliki hubungan dua arah dengan ekspor Malaysia, produksi Malaysia, tanah Malaysia, dan tanah Indonesia. ;The research focuses on analyzing the determinants of export of Indonesia?s CPO. Those determinants are classified into microeconomic and macroeconomic indicators. Microeconomic ones are represented by land of Indonesia and Malaysia, production of Indonesia and Malaysia, the three largest CPO companies of Indonesia and Malaysia while macroeconomic indicators are represented by export Malaysia, exchange rate, price of CPO, inflation rate, BI rate, consumption growth, GDP growth, and manufacture growth. The research uses OLS and Granger Causality approach to analyze the impact of those determinants on CPO export of Indonesia. The result of OLS regression shows that CPO export of Indonesia is significantly influenced by export of Malaysia, exchange Rate, global price of CPO, the three largest of CPO companies in Malaysia, and Manufacture Growth. Furthermore, the Granger Causality output using VAR/VECM approach shows that CPO Export of Indonesia has two-way relationship with export of Malaysia, production of Malaysia, land of Malaysia, and land of Indonesia. , The research focuses on analyzing the determinants of export of Indonesia’s CPO. Those determinants are classified into microeconomic and macroeconomic indicators. Microeconomic ones are represented by land of Indonesia and Malaysia, production of Indonesia and Malaysia, the three largest CPO companies of Indonesia and Malaysia while macroeconomic indicators are represented by export Malaysia, exchange rate, price of CPO, inflation rate, BI rate, consumption growth, GDP growth, and manufacture growth. The research uses OLS and Granger Causality approach to analyze the impact of those determinants on CPO export of Indonesia. The result of OLS regression shows that CPO export of Indonesia is significantly influenced by export of Malaysia, exchange Rate, global price of CPO, the three largest of CPO companies in Malaysia, and Manufacture Growth. Furthermore, the Granger Causality output using VAR/VECM approach shows that CPO Export of Indonesia has two-way relationship with export of Malaysia, production of Malaysia, land of Malaysia, and land of Indonesia. ]
Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2015
S60840
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Chairina Vania Wardhani
Abstrak :
ABSTRAK
This study contributes to estimating and analyzing the sectoral impact of exchange rate uncertainty in East Asia towards Indonesia?s trade and FDI Inflow after the collapse of Bretton Woods system. Having samples of annual bilateral trade between the year 1996-2010. The gravity model is used as a measure of bilateral trade and FDI inflow. Also, using panel data, the research reveals that exchange rate uncertainty in East Asia has positive impact on five sectors of trade and four sectors of FDI Inflow. In parallel, it also discourages five sectors of trade and four sectors of FDI Inflow depends on the elasticity of the sector which is affected by risk, reliant on natural resources, trade in every sector and government exposure.
ABSTRACT
Penelitian ini memberikan kontribusi untuk memperkirakan dan menganalisa dampak sektoral ketidakpastian nilai tukar di Asia Timur terhadap perdagangan dan arus masuk investasi asing langsung di Indonesia setelah runtuhnya sistem Bretton Woods. Dengan sampel terdiri dari perdagangan bilateral tahunan antara tahun 1996- 2010. Model gravitasi digunakan sebagai ukuran perdagangan bilateral dan arus masuk FDI. Kemudian dengan menggunakan data panel, penelitian mendapatkan hasil bahwa ketidakpastian nilai tukar di Asia Timur memiliki dampak positif pada lima sektor perdagangan dan empat sektor investasi asing langsung. Di sisi lain, ia juga berpengaruh negatif terhadap lima sektor perdagangan dan empat sektor investasi asing langsung tergantung kepada elastisitas sektor yang dipengaruhi oleh risiko pada sektor, ketergantungan pada sumber daya alam, perdagangan di setiap sektor dan paparan pemerintah.
2016
S65174
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library