Penelitian dilakukan untuk mengetahui variabel determinan ekspor Indonesia, Thailand, Singapura, Filipina selama 1990-2006, dengan tujuan peningkatan export performance ASEAN agar dapat bersaing dengan kawasan-kawasan lainnya di dunia. Penelitian dilakukan dengan menggunakan model Gravity, metode Ordinary Least Square.Dari penelitian ini diketahui bahwa variabel determinan ekspor Indonesia adalah proporsi output sektor manufaktur pada GDP, proporsi Gross Fixed Capital Formation pada GDP, Real Effective Exchange Rate, perubahan inflasi. Thailand dan Singapura memiliki determinan ekspor GDP per capita dan proporsi sektor manufaktur pada GDP. Sedangkan Filipina, determinan ekspornya adalah indeks harga ekspor, proporsi Gross Fixed Capital Formation, Real Effective Exchange Rate, perubahan inflasi.
The research's purpose is determining export variables of Indonesia, Thailand, Singapore, and The Philippines during 1990-2006, in order to increase export performance and competitiveness with other regions in the world, using Gravity model and Ordinary Least Square method.The conclusions are share of manufacturing industries in GDP, share of Gross Fixed Capital Formation in GDP, Real Effective Exchange Rate, inflation growth are Indonesia?s determinants. GDP per capita, share of manufacturing industries in GDP are determinants for Thailand and Singapore. Export price indices, share of Gross Fixed Capital Formation in GDP, Real Effective Exchange Rate, inflation growth are The Philippines determinants. |
