The process of economic development and industrialization hashistorically involved fundamental changes in the social and economicorganization of populations. These changes are taking place today inIndonesia, and tire effects are dramatic-infectiuts disease rates are declining,population size is increasing. and the population is growing older. Additionally,the many lifestyle changes we associate with development will also mean therates of chronic disease will likely increase. Changing consumption patterns arethe primary culprits for this transition. increased tobacco see will causesignificant increases in heart disease rates, lung cancer and many Othercancers. The dietary transition towards a high fat, low fiber, high animal-foodbased diet that typically accompanies development will also matte a significantcontribution to the increased of chronic disease. The costs of tire epidemologictransition ore many. The epidemologic transition will mean a great loss of lifeand many of the deaths will be premature (i.e during the otherwise productiveyears of life). Tire direct cost of treatment for the sick will be very large.Additionally. it is not clear that tire agriculture sector 's response to increaseddemand for livestock based foods will be an environmentally or economicallysustainable proposition for indonesia. |