ABSTRAK
Tesis ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis integrasi pasar komoditas Cabemerah antar 23 pasar di lokasi produksi sayuran di Indonesia dan integrasi pasarantara Pasar Induk di Jakarta dengan 23 pasar produsen Cabe merah di Indonesia.Data yang digunakan adalah data tahunan mulai dari Januari 2000 hinggaDesember 2011 untuk data harga Cabe merah di tingkat produsen dan datatahunan mulai Januari 2005 hingga Desember 2011 untuk harga Cabe merah ditingkat Pasar Induk Kramat Jati di Jakarta. Selain harga Cabe merah, variabel lainjuga digunakan untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang berpengaruh padahubungan antar pasar komoditas Cabe merah antara lain data produksi, populasi,jarak antar pasar, infrastruktur dan jumlah pasar. Engle dan Granger kointegrasites dan ECM digunakan untuk menganalisa transmisi harga, integrasi pasar dandinamika hubungan jangka panjang dan pendek pada pasar komoditas Cabe merahdi Indonesia. Selanjutnya dilakukan analisa deskripsi untuk mengetahui faktorfaktoryang berpengaruh pada integrasi pasar tersebut. Hasil analisis pada model1 menyimpulkan bahwa pada umumnya pasar produsen tidak terintegrasi denganPasar Induk Kramat Jati di Jakarta. Hubungan antar pasar ini cenderung mengarahpada hubungan jangka pendek saja. Sedangkan, hasil pada Model 2mengindikasikan bahwa pasar komoditas Cabe merah antar 23 pasar produsen diIndonesia memiliki hubungan jangka panjang. Selain itu, perubahan harga jangkapendek yang terjadi di pasar komoditas Cabe merah cenderung langsungberdampak pada harga komoditas Cabe merah di pasar produsen yang lain. Studiini juga membuktikan bahwa integrasi pasar komoditas Cabe merah di Indonesiadipengaruhi oleh kualitas infrastruktur yang baik, lokasi dan jarak antar pasar,serta peluang pasar yang diindikasikan melalui besarnya jumlah pasar dan jumlahkonsumen atau populasi di wilayah tersebut.
ABSTRACT
Many researchers have been examined price transmission and marketintegration of staple food in Indonesia, while relatively few studies are there onmarket integration of vegetable commodities markets. Mostly previous studyassessed the information to what extents and to which markets prices aretransmitted across spatially different markets. However, there is scarce literaturethat determines the factors influence market integration or lack of integration inIndonesia. Thus, the analysis of market integration remains weak without furtheranalysis on factors that explain such of market integration or segmentation.Hence, it becomes a gap to be occupied by this research. The author believes thatthe study on commodity markets integration might be more useful if it iscomplemented with further discussion on factor that could explain the process ofmarket integration or lack of integration in Indonesia. Therefore, by using pricesdataset from 23 producer markets and wholesale market in Jakarta that coveringthe years from January 2000 to December 2011 and from January 2005 toDecember 2011 this paper aims to investigate two types of spatial marketintegration with focus on red chilli commodity markets.A series of techniques, such as the Engle-Granger cointegration test andECM were used to test red chilli market integration. With this approaches, then itis possible to analyze price transmission, identify market integration orsegmentation that occurs in red chilli commodity markets in Indonesia, andspecify the long-run and short-run dynamic. Moreover, some variables such asthe number of production, population, distance between markets, the quality ofinfrastructure, and the numbers of markets have been obtained to discuss on factorthat might drives interconnectedness between red chilli markets.The result of model 1 indicates that generally producer markets are notcointegrate with PIKJ as central market. However, these markets tend to haveshort-run relationship. On the other hand, the results of spatial market integrationmodel 2, which test cointegration across 23 producer markets, imply that red chillimarkets across producer provinces tend to integrate in thelong-run. In addition, inthe short-run changes in the red chilli’s price in one producer market also seem tohave immediate impact on red chilli’s price in other producer markets.Finally, the research has shown evidences that red chilli commodity marketsintegration in Indonesia are influenced by the good quality of infrastructure,location or distance between market, and trade opportunity that can be indicatedby the large consumer area such as the number of populations and the number ofmarkets. |
T39378-Novida Siti Jubaedah.pdf :: Unduh