Abstract
Laporan magang ini merupakan studi yang membahas estimasi dampak dari pemilihan umum terhadap indikator makroekonomi berupa konsumsi, investasi, dan jumlah uang beredar, serta IHSG. Analisis dilakukan menggunakan metode regresi linear time-series pada data bulanan, kuartal, dan tahunan. Hasilnya, indikator konsumsi, investasi, dan jumlah uang beredar signifikan hanya pada analisis data kuartal, bukan tahunan. Temuan lainnya adalah pemilu menurunkan indeks harga saham gabungan pada periode satu bulan sebelum dan saat pemilu, namun meningkat pada periode satu bulan pasca pemilu.
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The focus of this internship report is measuring the estimated impact of the elections on macroeconomic indicators such as consumption, investment, money supply, and JCI. The analysis was performed using the method of time-series linear regression on monthly data, quarterly, and yearly. As a result, general election shows significant impact on consumption, investments, and money supply with quarterly data set analysis, but not on the yearly. Other findings are elections lowering the stock price index in the period of one month before and during elections, but quickly increased in the next month.
