Analisis risiko operasional migas di PT Pertamina EP periode 2010-2013 menggunakan metode extreme value theory = Analysis of oil and gas operational risk at PT Pertamina EP period 2010-2013 applying extreme value theory
Arya Irwan;
Dewi Hanggraeni, supervisor; Rofikoh Rokhim, examiner; Sugeng Purwanto, examiner
(Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2014)
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[ABSTRAK Tesis ini meneliti validitas pengukuran risiko operasional migas di PT PertaminaEP dalam periode 2010-2013 menggunakan metode extreme value theory.Analisis ini dilakukan karena pemodelan VaR umumnya hanya fokus pada badan(body) distribusi statistik namun tidak memperhatikan daerah ekor (tail) yangfrekuensi risikonya rendah dan severitas tinggi. Nilai VaR dihitung menggunakandata periode 2010 sampai dengan 2012 dan uji validitas terhadap data tahun2013. Hasil uji validitas menunjukkan bahwa dengan confidential level 95% dan99%, metode extreme value theory valid untuk mengukur potensi risikooperasional PT Pertamina EP. ABSTRAK The goal of this thesis is to research the validity of the measurement of oil andgas operational risk at PT Pertamina EP in the period 2010-2013 using themethod of extreme value theory. It is carried out to respond the fact that VaRmodeling is generally focus on the body of statistical distribution but do not coverto the tail of statistical distribution area which is low frequency and high severityrisk. VaR is calculated using data from 2010 to 2012 and test the validity of thedata in 2013. Validity test results show that extreme value theory valid method tomeasure the potential operational risk of PT Pertamina EP at confidential level of95% and 99%.;The goal of this thesis is to research the validity of the measurement of oil andgas operational risk at PT Pertamina EP in the period 2010-2013 using themethod of extreme value theory. It is carried out to respond the fact that VaRmodeling is generally focus on the body of statistical distribution but do not coverto the tail of statistical distribution area which is low frequency and high severityrisk. VaR is calculated using data from 2010 to 2012 and test the validity of thedata in 2013. Validity test results show that extreme value theory valid method tomeasure the potential operational risk of PT Pertamina EP at confidential level of95% and 99%., The goal of this thesis is to research the validity of the measurement of oil andgas operational risk at PT Pertamina EP in the period 2010-2013 using themethod of extreme value theory. It is carried out to respond the fact that VaRmodeling is generally focus on the body of statistical distribution but do not coverto the tail of statistical distribution area which is low frequency and high severityrisk. VaR is calculated using data from 2010 to 2012 and test the validity of thedata in 2013. Validity test results show that extreme value theory valid method tomeasure the potential operational risk of PT Pertamina EP at confidential level of95% and 99%.] |
T-Arya Irwan.pdf :: Unduh
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No. Panggil : | T-Pdf |
Entri utama-Nama orang : | |
Entri tambahan-Nama orang : | |
Entri tambahan-Nama badan : | |
Penerbitan : | Jakarta: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2014 |
Program Studi : |
Bahasa : | ind |
Sumber Pengatalogan : | LibUI ind rda |
Tipe Konten : | text |
Tipe Media : | computer |
Tipe Carrier : | online resource |
Deskripsi Fisik : | xiii, 92 pages : illustration ; 28 cm + appendix |
Naskah Ringkas : | |
Lembaga Pemilik : | Universitas Indonesia |
Lokasi : | Perpustakaan UI |
No. Panggil | No. Barkod | Ketersediaan |
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T-Pdf | 15-18-886070846 | TERSEDIA |
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