[ABSTRAK
Risiko dan ketidakpastian pasti ada dalam setiap pengambilan keputusan. Olehkarena itu, perlu dilakukan analisis keputusan untuk mengatasi hal tersebut.Banyak sekali metode analisis keputusan, seperti Metode Expected MonetaryValue (EMV), Teori Pilihan, Teori Portfolio, dan lain-lain. Namun, tidak semuadapat diaplikasikan dalam kondisi kehidupan nyata. Dalam hal risiko, industriminyak dan gas bumi (migas) adalah industri yang memiliki tingkat risiko yangtinggi, terutama dalam hal investasi. Oleh karena itu, perusahaan migasmemerlukan suatu metode analisis keputusan untuk menghadapi risiko tersebut.Hanya saja, teknik analisis keputusan yang digunakan tiap perusahaan belumtentu sama. Penelitian ini akan mencari teknik analisis keputusan yang cocokuntuk digunakan di perusahaan migas yang beroperasi di Indonesia. Teknikanalisis keputusan tersebut akan dikaji performanya dengan cara menganalisisnilai ekonomis sebuah proyek dan nanti hasilnya akan dibandingkan dengan nilaiekonomis proyek yang menggunakan teknik analisis keputusan konvensional.Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa teknik analisis keputusan XYZ-PDEPyang digunakan oleh K3S XYZ terbukti menghasilkan nilai keekonomian proyekyang lebih baik daripada teknik analisis keputusan konvensional. Nilaikeekonomian tinggi yang dicapai dengan penggunaan teknik analisis keputusanXYZ-PDEP dibandingkan dengan menggunakan teknik analisis keputusankonvensional menyimpulkan bahwa terdapat hubungan antara penggunaan teknikpengambilan keputusan yang berbeda dengan performa yang dihasilkan.
ABSTRACT
Risk and uncertainty will always exist in every decision making. Therefore,decision analysis is needed in order to overcome those problems. There arenumerous decision analysis methods, such as Expected Monetary Value (EMV),Option Theory, Portfolio Theory, etc. Unfortunately, not all of them areapplicable in real life conditions. Concerning risks, the oil and gas industry is theone industry that has high risks, especially in investment. Therefore, oil and gascompanies need a decision analysis method to face those risks. Nonetheless,decision analysis techniques differ from one company to others. This research willfind which decision analysis technique is the most suitable one for oil and gascompanies in Indonesia. The decision analysis technique?s performance will beevaluated through one of its project?s economic value and the results are thencompared with the same project being evaluated by conventional decisionanalysis technique. The results of this research shows that XYZ-PDEP decisionanalysis technique that is used by K3S XYZ proved to produce a better projecteconomic value rather than conventional decision analysis technique. The higheconomic value that was produced by XYZ-PDEP decision analysis techniquecompared to conventional decision analysis technique concludes that there is arelation between the utilization of different decision analysis technique with eachof its performance outcome.;Risk and uncertainty will always exist in every decision making. Therefore,decision analysis is needed in order to overcome those problems. There arenumerous decision analysis methods, such as Expected Monetary Value (EMV),Option Theory, Portfolio Theory, etc. Unfortunately, not all of them areapplicable in real life conditions. Concerning risks, the oil and gas industry is theone industry that has high risks, especially in investment. Therefore, oil and gascompanies need a decision analysis method to face those risks. Nonetheless,decision analysis techniques differ from one company to others. This research willfind which decision analysis technique is the most suitable one for oil and gascompanies in Indonesia. The decision analysis technique?s performance will beevaluated through one of its project?s economic value and the results are thencompared with the same project being evaluated by conventional decisionanalysis technique. The results of this research shows that XYZ-PDEP decisionanalysis technique that is used by K3S XYZ proved to produce a better projecteconomic value rather than conventional decision analysis technique. The higheconomic value that was produced by XYZ-PDEP decision analysis techniquecompared to conventional decision analysis technique concludes that there is arelation between the utilization of different decision analysis technique with eachof its performance outcome.;Risk and uncertainty will always exist in every decision making. Therefore,decision analysis is needed in order to overcome those problems. There arenumerous decision analysis methods, such as Expected Monetary Value (EMV),Option Theory, Portfolio Theory, etc. Unfortunately, not all of them areapplicable in real life conditions. Concerning risks, the oil and gas industry is theone industry that has high risks, especially in investment. Therefore, oil and gascompanies need a decision analysis method to face those risks. Nonetheless,decision analysis techniques differ from one company to others. This research willfind which decision analysis technique is the most suitable one for oil and gascompanies in Indonesia. The decision analysis technique?s performance will beevaluated through one of its project?s economic value and the results are thencompared with the same project being evaluated by conventional decisionanalysis technique. The results of this research shows that XYZ-PDEP decisionanalysis technique that is used by K3S XYZ proved to produce a better projecteconomic value rather than conventional decision analysis technique. The higheconomic value that was produced by XYZ-PDEP decision analysis techniquecompared to conventional decision analysis technique concludes that there is arelation between the utilization of different decision analysis technique with eachof its performance outcome.;Risk and uncertainty will always exist in every decision making. Therefore,decision analysis is needed in order to overcome those problems. There arenumerous decision analysis methods, such as Expected Monetary Value (EMV),Option Theory, Portfolio Theory, etc. Unfortunately, not all of them areapplicable in real life conditions. Concerning risks, the oil and gas industry is theone industry that has high risks, especially in investment. Therefore, oil and gascompanies need a decision analysis method to face those risks. Nonetheless,decision analysis techniques differ from one company to others. This research willfind which decision analysis technique is the most suitable one for oil and gascompanies in Indonesia. The decision analysis technique?s performance will beevaluated through one of its project?s economic value and the results are thencompared with the same project being evaluated by conventional decisionanalysis technique. The results of this research shows that XYZ-PDEP decisionanalysis technique that is used by K3S XYZ proved to produce a better projecteconomic value rather than conventional decision analysis technique. The higheconomic value that was produced by XYZ-PDEP decision analysis techniquecompared to conventional decision analysis technique concludes that there is arelation between the utilization of different decision analysis technique with eachof its performance outcome., Risk and uncertainty will always exist in every decision making. Therefore,decision analysis is needed in order to overcome those problems. There arenumerous decision analysis methods, such as Expected Monetary Value (EMV),Option Theory, Portfolio Theory, etc. Unfortunately, not all of them areapplicable in real life conditions. Concerning risks, the oil and gas industry is theone industry that has high risks, especially in investment. Therefore, oil and gascompanies need a decision analysis method to face those risks. Nonetheless,decision analysis techniques differ from one company to others. This research willfind which decision analysis technique is the most suitable one for oil and gascompanies in Indonesia. The decision analysis technique’s performance will beevaluated through one of its project’s economic value and the results are thencompared with the same project being evaluated by conventional decisionanalysis technique. The results of this research shows that XYZ-PDEP decisionanalysis technique that is used by K3S XYZ proved to produce a better projecteconomic value rather than conventional decision analysis technique. The higheconomic value that was produced by XYZ-PDEP decision analysis techniquecompared to conventional decision analysis technique concludes that there is arelation between the utilization of different decision analysis technique with eachof its performance outcome.] |
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