[ABSTRAK Indonesia merupakan salah satu produsen terbesar komoditas kakao biji di dunia.Hal ini menandakan bahwa kakao biji merupakan salah satu komoditas terpentingbagi Indonesia. Karenanya, pemerintah perlu menjaga stabilitas produksi darikomoditas terserbut. Selanjutnya, peran penting dari komoditas kakao biji ditandaidengan besarnya share ekspor dari komoditas tersebut terhadap total ekspor sektorpertanian Indonesia dan juga peran penting dari komoditas kakao biji terhadapmata pencaharian utama petani kecil di pedesaan.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji determinan dari produksi komoditas kakaobiji Indonesia. Secara lebih khusus, penelitian ini mendiskusikan bagaimanafaktor-faktor agronomis, karakteristik petani, dan proses rantai nilai dapatmempengaruhi produksi kakao biji di Indonesia yang dijelaskan melalui metodekualitatif. Selain itu, penilitian ini juga menguji bagaimana pengaruh dari hargaprodusen dan perubahannya, harga dunia, curah hujan, dan inflasi terhadapproduksi komoditas kakao biji Indonesia dengan menggunakan model randomeffect.Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa faktor-faktor agronomis dapatmempengaruhi produksi kakao biji melalui tingkat curah hujan dan tingkatkelembaban yang memngaruhi pohon kakao. Selanjutnya, karakteristik petani,seperti motif untuk memenuhi kebutuhan sehar-hari, dapat memengaruhikeputusan petani dalam membudidayakan komoditas kakao biji. Proses rantai nilaimenjelaskan bahwa harga produsen secara langsung mempengaruhi kapasitasproduksi domestic, sedangkan harga internasional secara tidak langsungmempengaruhi kapasitas produksi. Sementara itu, model random effectmenunjukkan bahwa harga produsen, perubahan harga produsen, harga dunia, daninflasi secara signifikan memberikan pengaruh terhadap produksi kakao bijidomestik. ABSTRACT Currently, Indonesia has become one of the major producers of cocoa bean in theworld. Then, it makes cocoa bean as one of the important commodities forIndonesia. Since the crop has become one of the important commodities forIndonesian economy, the government needs to maintain the stability of cocoabean production. The important role of cocoa bean can be shown by the share ofcocoa bean export on Indonesian agricultural export and the livelihood ofsmallholder farmers.This research aims to examine the determinants of Indonesian cocoa beanproduction. Particularly, this research discusses how the agronomics factors,farmers? characteristics, and value chain process can affect the cocoa beanproduction in Indonesia. Qualitative analysis is used to discuss these factors.Furthermore, this research also examines the affect of producer price, change inproducer price, world price, rainfall, and inflation on the cocoa bean production.Random effect model is used to examine the affect of those variables.The result reveals that agronomics factors can affect the production through theimpact of rainfall and humidity on cocoa tree. The farmers? characteristics, i.e. themotive to survive can affect the decision of farmers in cultivating cocoa bean. Thevalue chain process can explain that producer price of cocoa bean can directlyaffect the domestic production, whereas the world price indirectly affects thedomestic production. Meanwhile, the random effect model reveals that change inprice of cocoa bean, producer price of cocoa bean, the world price, and inflationsignificantly affect the domestic production.;Currently, Indonesia has become one of the major producers of cocoa bean in theworld. Then, it makes cocoa bean as one of the important commodities forIndonesia. Since the crop has become one of the important commodities forIndonesian economy, the government needs to maintain the stability of cocoabean production. The important role of cocoa bean can be shown by the share ofcocoa bean export on Indonesian agricultural export and the livelihood ofsmallholder farmers.This research aims to examine the determinants of Indonesian cocoa beanproduction. Particularly, this research discusses how the agronomics factors,farmers’ characteristics, and value chain process can affect the cocoa beanproduction in Indonesia. Qualitative analysis is used to discuss these factors.Furthermore, this research also examines the affect of producer price, change inproducer price, world price, rainfall, and inflation on the cocoa bean production.Random effect model is used to examine the affect of those variables.The result reveals that agronomics factors can affect the production through theimpact of rainfall and humidity on cocoa tree. The farmers’ characteristics, i.e. themotive to survive can affect the decision of farmers in cultivating cocoa bean. Thevalue chain process can explain that producer price of cocoa bean can directlyaffect the domestic production, whereas the world price indirectly affects thedomestic production. Meanwhile, the random effect model reveals that change inprice of cocoa bean, producer price of cocoa bean, the world price, and inflationsignificantly affect the domestic production., Currently, Indonesia has become one of the major producers of cocoa bean in theworld. Then, it makes cocoa bean as one of the important commodities forIndonesia. Since the crop has become one of the important commodities forIndonesian economy, the government needs to maintain the stability of cocoabean production. The important role of cocoa bean can be shown by the share ofcocoa bean export on Indonesian agricultural export and the livelihood ofsmallholder farmers.This research aims to examine the determinants of Indonesian cocoa beanproduction. Particularly, this research discusses how the agronomics factors,farmers’ characteristics, and value chain process can affect the cocoa beanproduction in Indonesia. Qualitative analysis is used to discuss these factors.Furthermore, this research also examines the affect of producer price, change inproducer price, world price, rainfall, and inflation on the cocoa bean production.Random effect model is used to examine the affect of those variables.The result reveals that agronomics factors can affect the production through theimpact of rainfall and humidity on cocoa tree. The farmers’ characteristics, i.e. themotive to survive can affect the decision of farmers in cultivating cocoa bean. Thevalue chain process can explain that producer price of cocoa bean can directlyaffect the domestic production, whereas the world price indirectly affects thedomestic production. Meanwhile, the random effect model reveals that change inprice of cocoa bean, producer price of cocoa bean, the world price, and inflationsignificantly affect the domestic production.] |