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Ignatius Denny Wicaksono
"Valuasi dilakukan untuk menghitung nilai perusahaan. Hasil dari valuasi dapat digunakan dalam pengambilan keputusan investasi. Karya akhir ini membahas empat metode dalam melakukan valuasi PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG), yaitu Discounted Free Cash Flow, Dividend Discount, Price Earning Multiplier dan EV Reserve Multiplier dengan pendekatan topdown. Masing - masing pendekatan mempunyai dasar dan asumsi yang berbeda - beda, sehingga hasil yang didapat dapat berbeda, karenanya diperlukan analisa lebih lanjut dan justifikasi dalam mengambil keputusan investasi.

Valuation is conducted to calculate the company's intrinsic value. Results of valuation can be used in making investment decisions. This thesis discusses four methods of valuation PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk (ITMG), namely, Discounted Free Cash Flow, Dividend Discount, Price Earning Multiplier and Reserve Multiplier EV with top-down approach. Every model has a different basis and assumptions, so the results obtained can be different, hence require further analysis and justification before taking investment decisions."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2013
T-Pdf
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Galuh Ika Shakuntala
"Tesis ini membahas tentang valuasi terhadap nilai perusahaan PLN Batam dengan menggunakan metode discounted free cash flow. Langkah-langkah dalam valuasi dimulai dengan melakukan pemahaman sisi historis perusahaan, analisis laporan keuangan, proyeksi laporan keuangan, sampai kepada perhitungan nilai saham perusahaan. Proyeksi arus kas di buat selama sepuluh tahun dengan mempertimbangkan laporan keuangan historis, strategi perusahaan, serta pengaruh faktor-faktor eksternal melalui kondisi ekonomi makro maupun kondisi industri. Berdasarkan hasil valuasi PLN Batam, didapat nilai wajar per lembar saham sebesar Rp. 2.392 dengan metode free cash flow to equity (FCFE) dan Rp. 6.647 dengan metode free cash flow to the firm (FCFF).

This thesis examines a valuation of PLN Batam using the Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) method. The DCF valuation steps include understanding the historical aspects of the company, analysing past financial statements, generating financial projections, and calculating the firm value. The cash flow projection is based on historical financial statements compiled over 10 years, corporate strategies, and external factors such as the economy and power service industry conditions. Using the Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) valuation method we obtained a price per share Rp 2.392 whilst with the Free Cash Flow to Firm method we obtained a price per share Rp 6.647. These price per share could be used as references to assess the value of PLN Batam?s shares on the initial pubic offering."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2012
T34729
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Benny Kurniawan
"Tesis ini membahas tentang valuasi nilai wajar saham PT Semen Baturaja Persero Tbk yang pada tahun 2016 memberikan return mencapai 859 . Valuasi dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode Discounted Cash Flow khususnya Free Cash Flow to Equity, Free Cash Flow to Firm dan Relative Valuation. Model yang digunakan adalah Model Two Stage dengan tiga kemungkinan alternatif. Selain itu juga dilihat akumulasi yang dilakukan oleh investor di tahun 2016 pada saham Semen Baturaja dan melihat harga rata-rata pembelian dan kaitannya dengan pergerakan harga.

This thesis discusses the valuation of the fair value of shares of PT Semen Baturaja Persero Tbk which in 2016 gives return reach 859 . Valuation is using Discounted Cash Flow method, especially Free Cash Flow to Equity and Free Cash Flow to Firm and also Relative Valuation. The model used is the Two Stage Model with three alternative possibilities. In addition, also seen accumulated by investors in 2016 on shares of Semen Baturaja and see the average price of purchase and its relation to price movements."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2017
T-Pdf
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Durio Agonanton
"Tesis ini membahas tentang valuasi harga saham PT. Mayora Indah Tbk (MYOR) dan PT. Ultrajaya Tbk (ULTJ) dengan menggunakan metode Discounted Earning Approach, Price To Book Value Ratio, dan Enterprise Value to EBITDA. Analisa dan pembahasan dilakukan dengan menggunakan top down approach dimulai dari analisa secara makro, analisa industri dan analisa terhadap kinerja perusahaan melalui posisi keuangan perusahaan secara historikal untuk kemudian dilakukan proyeksi terhadap posisi keuangan di masa yang akan datang dan nilai intrinsik saham di masa sekarang dan akan datang. Nilai intrinsik saham tersebut kemudian dibandingkan dengan harga saham di Bursa Efek Indonesia agar dapat diketahui apakah nilai intrinsik saham overvalued atau undervalued terhadap harga saham tersebut di Bursa Efek Jakarta sehingga dapat dijadikan pertimbangan untuk pengambilan keputusan bagi investor yang berkeinginan untuk berinvestasi pada saham MYOR dan saham ULTJ.

This thesis discusses about the stock price valuation of PT. Mayora Indah Tbk (MYOR) and PT. Ultrajaya Tbk (ULTJ) by using Discount Earning Approach Method, Price To Book Value Ratio, and Enterprise Value To EBITDA. This analysis and evaluation is performed by using a top-down approach starting from the macro analysis, industry analysis, and analysis of the performance of the company through the historical financial position and then made projections on its financial position in the future and the intrinsic value of the stock at the present and future. Intrinsic value of the share is then compared to the share price on the stock market in order to know whether the intrinsic value of the stock is overvalued or undervalued so that it can be taken into consideration for the decision-making for investors who wish to invest in MYOR dan ULTJ stocks."
Depok: Universitas Indonesia, 2013
T-Pdf
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Ade Gary Yuniker
"ABSTRAK
Tujuan penulisan karya akhir ini adalah untuk melakukan perhitungan untuk mengestimasi nilai wajar saham PT Arwana Citra Mulia Tbk (ARNA) dengan metode analisis Discounted Cash Flow melalui pendekatan Free Cash Flow to The equity dan metode Relative Valuation melalui pendekatan Price to Earning Ratio. Kemudian membandingkan hasil estimasi nilai wajar dengan harga pasar untuk menentukan apakah harga saham over, fair atau undervalued. Dan tujuan terakhir adalah untuk melakukan analisis kualitatif dan kuantitatif untuk mendapatkan informasi yang memadai mengenai kinerja masalalu dan prospek perusahaan.

ABSTRACT
The purpose of writing this thesis is to perform calculations to estimate the fair value of the shares of PT Arwana Citra Mulia Tbk (ARNA) with the method of Free Cash Flow to the equity and Relative Valuation Price to Earning Ratio. Then compare the results of the estimated fair value at market prices to determine whether the stock price over, fair or undervalued. And the final goal is to perform qualitative and quantitative analysis to obtain adequate information about the past performance and prospects of the company."
Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2014
S54160
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Reyhan Syah Putra
"[ABSTRAK
Laporan magang ini membahas mengenai cara melakukan valuasi menggunakan metode relative valuation yang penulis pelajari pada PT Bahana Securities dan discounted cash flow valuation yang penulis pelajari pada saat penulis berkuliah pada Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia terhadap PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation mempunyai tingkat sensitifitas yang lebih rendah terhadap asumsi pada akun-akun kunci yang digunakan untuk melakukan proyeksi dan valuasi apabila dibandingkan dengan discounted cash flow valuation. Tantangan yang dihadapi oleh para analis di PT Bahana Securities ketika melakukan valuasi menggunakan discounted cash flow valuation yaitu data yang diperlukan lebih banyak apabila dibandingkan dengan data yang dibutuhkan ketika melakukan relative valuation, Sempitnya waktu yang dimiliki oleh para analis pada PT Bahana Securities sehingga lebih sulit bagi mereka untuk melakukan valuasi menggunakan metode discounted cash flow valuation, kurangnya pengetahuan yang dimiliki oleh analis mengenai metode dan tempat mencari data yang diperlukan ketika melakukan valuasi menggunakan metode discounted cash flow valuation.ABSTRACT
This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities.;This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities.;This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities.;This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities.;This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities., This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities.]"
Fakultas Eknonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2014
S57651
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Tuahunse, Shanaa Tabita Zahra
"Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menganalisis nilai wajar dari saham PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur, Tbk. dengan menggunakan metode valuasi discounted free cash flow to firm dan free cash flow to equity. Hasil valuasi tersebut dapat dibandingkan dengan nilai pasar perusahaan tersebut dan menghasilkan rekomendasi untuk investor. Analisis saham ini menggunakan analisis fundamental dengan pendekatan top-down approach, meliputi analisis makroekonomi, analisis industri, analisis perusahaan, dan valuasi. Studi ini diharapkan dapat memberikan hasil prospek makroekonomi, industri, dan nilai wajar saham PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk.

This research is performed to analyze fair value of PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur’s stock using discounted free cash flow to firm and free cash flow to equity valuation method. The result then compared to market value of the firm to provide recommendation for investor. This Analysis uses fundamental analysis with top-down approach which consider factors from macroeconomics analysis, industry and company analysis, also valuation. This study is expected to provide insight of macroeconomic prospect, industry prospect, and fair value of PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia , 2020
S-pdf
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Charlie Tjandra
"Dengan kondisi perekonomian dunia yang semakin tidak menentu dengan terjadinya krisis ekonomi di kawasan Eropa, tentunya sebagai seorang investor harus selalu berhati-hati dalam melakukan investasi terutama di pasar modal. Secara keseluruhan penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui nilai intrinsik saham perusahaan PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa,Tbk. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini menggunakan free cash flow to equity dan dividend discount model dengan masing-masing dihitung bedasarkan dua kondisi. Hasil yang diperoleh dari perhitungan tersebut kemudian dibandingkan dengan kondisi harga pasar saham perusahaan saat ini apakah dalam kondisi overvalued atau undervalued.

With increasing uncertainty ofthe world economy because the economic crisis in Europe, an investor should always be careful in investing primarily in equity markets. Overall, the study aims to determine the intrinsic value ofthe shares of PT Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa, Tbk. Valuation method used in this study are free cash flow to equity and dividend discount model and each using two conditions. The results of calculations are then compared with current market price whether it is overvalued or undervalued."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2012
T32205
UI - Tesis Open  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Astried Minang Nathalia
"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk membandingkan estimasi nilai wajar saham untuk perusahaan telekomunikasi di Indonesia, dalam hal ini PT Indosat Ooredoo, berdasarkan metode discounted cash flow DCF dan peraturan menteri keuangan. Kami melakukan penilaian menggunakan data historis dan proyeksi laporan keuangan. PT Indosat Ooredoo adalah salah satu perusahaan besar dalam industri telekomunikasi yang telah melakukan rebranding pada tahun 2015 sebagai upaya untuk meningkatkan pertumbuhan serta pangsa pasarnya dan menjadi pemimpin dalam layanan digital di Indonesia. Metode pertama adalah model Free Cash Flow to Firm FCFF dan model Free Cash Flow to Equity FCFE berdasarkan Damodaran, 2012 , sedangkan metode kedua berdasarkan aturan Kementerian Keuangan Indonesia dalam hal ini Direktorat Jenderal Pajak yaitu SE-54/ PJ/2016. Metode discounted cash flow DCF memperkirakan bahwa nilai intrinsik Indosat adalah Rp 7.998, sedangkan penilaian berdasarkan SE-54/PJ/2016 diperkirakan bahwa nilai wajar Indosat adalah Rp 8.247 per saham. Hasil ini menunjukkan bahwa harga saham Indosat pada tanggal 31 Desember 2016 sebesar Rp 6.450 undervalued dibandingkan dengan nilai intrinsik nilai wajar berdasarkan kedua metode tersebut.

This study aims to compare stock fair value estimation for a telecommunication company in Indonesia here is PT Indosat Ooredoo based on discounted cash flow DCF model and ministry of finance regulation. We conducted valuation using historical data and financial statement s projection. PT Indosat Ooredoo is a big company in telecommunication industry has rebranded in 2015 as an effort to increase their growth and market share and become a leader in digital services in Indonesia. The first model is free cash flow to firm and free cash flow to equity based on Damodaran 2012 , while the second model based on Indonesian ministry on finance regulation SE 54 PJ 2016 . Discounted cash flow DCF model estimates that intrinsic value of Indosat is Rp 7.998, while valuation based on ministry of finance regulation SE 54 PJ 2016 estimate that fair value of Indosat is Rp 8.247 per share. This result indicates that share price of Indosat at December 31, 2016 at Rp 6.450 is undervalue compared to the intrinsic value fair value based on both model."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2018
T50490
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Ferly Aninditya
"Industri telekomunikasi adalah industri yang dinamis dikarenakan perkembangan teknologi telekomunikasi yang begitu cepat. Pelayanan selular bergerak di Indonesia, pada saat ini sedang beralih dari fokus pada layanan suara dan pesan singkat menuju layanan data. Dengan semakin banyaknya perusahaan yang bergerak di bidang telekomunikasi, persaingan menjadi semakin ketat. Namun demikian, hanya ada tiga pemain utama yaitu PT. Telkomsel Tbk., PT. Indosat Tbk., dan PT. XL Axiata Tbk (XL). XL merupakan perusahaan telekomunikasi di Indonesia dengan pertumbuhan yang paling cepat. Kinerja perusahaan sejak diakuisisi oleh grup Axiata pada tahun 2009 selalu meningkat. XL optimis akan menjadi perusahaan telekomunikasi terdepan dalam kurun lima tahun ke depan. Untuk itu manajemen berusaha menarik minat investor untuk melakukan investasi di XL. Yang menjadi pertanyaan adalah apakah nilai investasi yang ditawarkan sesuai dengan nilai perusahaan. Pada penelitian ini, dilakukan valuasi saham PT. XL Axiata Tbk. menggunakan Free Cash Flow to Equity Model, Abnormal Earnings Model dan Relative Valuation Model.Pada setiap model yang digunakan, masing-masing dibagi dalam tiga skenario, yaitu skenario normal, skenario pesimis dan skenario optimis.

Telecomunication industry is dinamic because it fastest growth in technology. In Indonesia, the mobile sellular services is on the step to change from focus on voice and short messege services to data services. With so many competitor in telecommunication industry, the competition become very high. Indeed, only three main company that dominate market. The three company are PT Telkomsel Tbk, PT Indosat Tbk, and PT XL Axiata Tbk (XL). XL is the fastest growth company in Indonesia telecommunication industry. The company performance raised every year since it acquisition by Axiata group in 2009. Management optimistic that the company will become the first telecommunication company in Indonesia by five years. To achieve this goal, the management try to atract the investor interest to investing their funds in XL. The question is, wether the value of the investment offered was in line with the return. This study shows the valuation of PT XL Axiata Tbk shares value by using Free Cash Flow to Equity Model, Abnormal Earnings Model and Relative Valuation Model. In each valuation model consists of three scenarios, normal scenario, pessimistic scenario, and optimistic scenario."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2013
T34734
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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