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"The study examines saving behavior in ASEAN 5+3 namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Japan, Cina, and Korea during 1991-2007 and its implication toward global imbalances. By using fixed effect panel data regression, this research shows that government spending, interest rate and inflation, financial development through private domestic credit and stock market capitalization along with the 1997 Asian crisis significantly affect the saving behavior. As a result, a macroeconomic stability through interest rate and inflation, the reinforcement of financial development and crisis anticipation policy are required to support global rebalancing through global saving redistribution.

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Studi ini membahas perilaku tabungan negara-negara ASEAN 5+3, yaitu Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapura, Thailand, Filipina, Jepang, Cina, dan Korea, dan implikasinya terhadap ketidakseimbangan global. Dengan menggunakan regresi data panel fixed effect, kajian ini menunjukkan bahwa indikator skal belanja pemerintah, indikator makroekonomi suku bunga dan inflasi, indikator perkembangan berupa finansial kredit domestik swasta dan kapitalisasi pasar saham serta krisis Asia 1997 secara signifikan memengaruhi perilaku tabungan. Implikasinya adalah stabilitas makroekonomi melalui inflasi dan suku bunga serta pengembangan pasar finansial dan kebijakan antisipasi krisis diperlukan untuk mendorong penyeimbangan global kembali melalui redistribusi tabungan dunia."

"Skripsi ini membahas perilaku tabungan negara-negara ASEAN 5+3 yaitu Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapura, Thailand, Filipina, Jepang, Cina dan Korea, periode 1991-2007 dan implikasinya terhadap masalah ketidakseimbangan global. Indikator determinan tabungan diantaranya adalah demografi, fiskal, makroekonomi, dan perkembangan finansial serta institusional. Penelitian ini juga ingin mengetahui apakah krisis keuangan Asia 1997-1998 mempengaruhi perilaku tabungan nasional di kawasan tersebut. Penelitian ini adalah penelitian kuantitatif yang menggunakan regresi data panel fixed effect. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa indikator yang terbukti secara statistik signifikan mempengaruhi tabungan adalah indikator fiskal belanja pemerintah, indikator makroekonomi suku bunga dan inflasi, serta indikator perkembangan finansial kredit domestik swasta dan kapitalisasi pasar saham. Sementara itu indikator yang tidak terbukti secara statistik mempengaruhi perilaku tabungan diantaranya adalah indikator demografi angka rasio ketergantungan, indikator makro pertumbuhan ekonomi dan terms of trade, indikator perkembangan finansial dan institusional berupa tingkat keterbukaan finansial dan indeks persepsi korupsi tidak terbukti secara statistik mempengaruhi perilaku tabungan. Krisis keuangan Asia 1997-1998 terbukti secara statistik mempengaruhi tingkat tabungan di negara ASEAN 5+3. Implikasinya terhadap ketidakseimbangan global adalah stabilitas makroekonomi melalui stabilitas inflasi dan suku bunga serta pengembangan institusi keuangan selain pasar saham serta penguatan fungsi institusi perbankan sebagai penyalur kredit dalam penyesuaian secara perlahan untuk mendorong proses rebalancing global melalui redistribusi tabungan dunia.

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The focus of this study is to examine national saving behaviour in ASEAN 5+3 namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Philippines, Japan, China, Korea during 1991-2007 and its implication toward global imbalances. Determinant indicators of national saving are demography, fiscal, macro economy, and financial development. This Study also would examine whether Asian financial crisis 1997-1998 affect the national saving in these countries. This study is quantitative which use regression of panel data fixed effect. The results of this study show the indicators which have statistically significant effect are fiscal government expenditure; macro economy interest rate and inflation; and financial development domestic credit to private sector and market capitalization. While indicators which have no effect are demography dependency ratio; economic growth; terms of trade; capital openness and corruption perception index. Asian financial crisis significantly affect ASEAN 5+3?s saving behaviour. The implication toward global imbalances is that macro stability with inflation and interest rates stability, then financial institution development besides stock market, and also banking institution deepening as a credit intermediary for smoother adjustment to push global rebalancing through redistribution global saving glut."

"As the result of global financial liberalization there is a tendency for increasing number of portfolio INVESTMENT which in turn dominates the domestic financial market. This study aims to elaborate the effect of shortterm portfolio investment flows to the exchange rate. Using the method of Vector Auto Regressive (VAR), this study employs quarterly data from 1997 to 2007.The result shows that both real and nominal exchange rates are affected by the short-term portfolio investment flows dominantly. In particular the short-term portfolio investment inflows strengthen the local currency. Secondly, in other direction short-term portfolio investment flows also affected by both real and nominal exchange rate. Thirdly, the impact of shortterm portfolio investment flows to change of nominal exchange rate is temporarily due to adjustment toward equilibrium, but not for real exchange rate."

"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat apakah variabel-variabel yang mempengaruhi bagi hasil tersebut yaitu pendapatan bagi hasil mudharabah dan musyarakah dan juga pendapatan margin murabahah benar mempengaruhi bagi hasil tabungan mudharabah yang dilakukan dengan studi kasus pada BMT Taman Surga Jakarta. Penelitian ini melakukan pengujian terhadap variabel-variabel tersebut, yaitu dengan metode uji regresi, dimana setiap variabel diuji baik secara bersamaan (simultan) maupun terpisah (parsial) agar terlihat pengaruh dari masing-masing setiap variabel. Dari hasil pengujian disimpulkan bahwa setiap variabel yang ada yaitu pendapatan bagi hasil mudharabah, musyarakah dan juga margin murabahah secara simultan dan parsial berpengaruh positif terhadap bagi hasil tabungan mudharabah. BMT diharapkan dapat meningkatkan pendapatan bagi hasilnya untuk lebih menarik nasabah."

"AbstractWe try to analyze the impact of Chinese Textile and Garment (T&G) imports, and the internal and external factors to the firm survival and growth of T&G industry in Indonesia, for the period study of 2002 to 2007. Probit regression model is used to analyze the impact of Chinese imports to the survival of firm, while OLS regression model is used to analyze its growth. It shows that the ability of firms' survival is influenced by the internal and external factors. The Chinese imports give positive impact to the firms' survival ability. On the other hand, firm's growth is only affected by its internal characteristics, while the impact of Chinese imports is proven not significant. The Heckman test result stated that there are no correlation between firms' ability to survive and the firm growth behavior.AbstrakStudi ini menganalisis dampak dari penetrasi impor TPT Cina, faktor internal, serta faktor eksternal terhadap kebertahanan dan pertumbuhan perusahaan dalam industri TPT Indonesia periode tahun 2002-2007. Metode probit regression digunakan untuk mengetahui dampak impor Cina terhadap kebertahanan perusahaan, sementara regresi linear sederhana (OLS) digunakan untuk menganalisis pertumbuhannya. Ditemukan bahwa kebertahanan perusahaan dipengaruhi oleh karakteristik internal dan eksternal, serta impor Cina yang memberikan dampak positif. Sementara pertumbuhan perusahaan hanya dipengaruhi oleh faktor internal, di mana impor Cina tidak memberikan dampak signikan. Hasil pengujian Heckman menyatakan tidak ada indikasi hubungan antara kebertahanan perusahaan dengan perilaku pertumbuhannya."

"Global economic crisis has substantial impacts on organizations and families; consequently, many people become confused and many organizations collapse. Organizations and families discuss the issue and brainstorm to find some solutions to survive from this crisis. This paper explains the role of family and organization in finding solution to survive from this unfavorable situation. Organizations should be optimistic, analytic, and creative. They are encouraged to increase incomes but to decrease loans. Families can overcome the problem by having good financial planning, investing with good knowledge of self-risk profit and the characteristic of investment product."

"AbstractEconomic and political systems might have a great share in determining the speed of the economic growth in an economy. Majority of the researchs in the past relied on physical input accumulation in determining economic growth, without taking into account the contribution of institutional characteristics. This research is aimed to test the hypothesis that economic freedom and political system affect the economic growth. Using panel data method (pooled least square approach) in eight ASEAN countries during the period of 1997-2007 and based on a framework of Solow economic growth model, it is showed that the more free and efficient economy leads to faster economic growth, and political democracy can otherwise hinder economic growth. Economy can grow higher if public policies are directed to the creation of: a stable monetary conditions, a more efficient in intermediation of financial markets, appropriate public budget policy, straightforward and efficient regulations, corruption eradication, as well as lower taxes. Nevertheless the index of investment freedom and property rights are far away from the behaviors of existing theories and hypothesis, so further research is needed."

"There are several factors influencing the financial system stability, namely the internal and the external factors. The occurrence of stock price volatility internationally, the contagion effects and the spillover effects are some external factors that have effect on the financial system stability. This research aims to know the dynamic relationship of regional and global stocks market in international financial system, and then do the analysis of the occurrence of contagion effects and spillover effects on stock price, and see their influence on domestic economics, monetary policy and financial system stability, by GARCH-VAR model.The results of this research indicate that there are some domination of the mature financial market to regional and domestic market. Moreover, the nearby regional stock price index also have a big contribution to the movement of other regional stock price market. The impact of stock price volatility to the IDR exchange rates volatility is relatively small, but not to the price level which is significantly large. Data analysis shows that there is contagion effects in stock market, but the spillover effect from stock price volatility to exchange rates volatility does not occur."

"AbstractThe stable fluctuation of Rp against the US$ during the free floating exchange rate regime in 2002-2007 raises the existence of fear of floating exchange rate phenomenon in Indonesia. The GARCH method is use to verify this phenomenon. Moreover, Time Varying Parameter and Error Correction Mechanism method shows the economic reason behind the Monetary Authoritys response in stabilizing rupiah. Depreciation and increasing volatility of Rupiah raises ination and bank Non-Performing Loans, while appreciation and increasing volatility of Rupiah, reduce the net export. Furthermore, Vector Autoregressive confirms the Monetary Authority respond to exchange rate shock through the interest rate policy for four months and through the foreign reserves policy for two months."

"AbstractDestructive behavior to coral reef ecosystem should not exist if community realize the importance value of the existence of coral reefs, have adequate source for livelihood and an obedience to God Almighty. The purpose of this study is to analyze the influence of religious ritual performing (religiousness), social and economic conditions of society on destructive manner of community to coral reefs. The data collected are analyzed quantitatively using structural equation model (SEM) using the method of Partial Least Square (PLS). The result findings show that the destructive behavior of the community to coral reef is not influenced by the piety of the people in performing ritual worship. The more devout people in performing ritual worship behavior does not necessarily make them more friendly to the environment, particularly coral reef ecosystems. The destructive behavior of the community to coral reef is also not influenced by their social conditions. The higher level of community's education does not necessarily make them more concerned about the environment. The destructive behavior of community to coral reef is significantly influenced by the economic conditions of society. Communities with lower income levels tend to perform acts that damage the coral reefs such as coral mining and destructive fishing techniques in an effort to satisfy their economic needs."