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"Indikator keberhasilan industrialisasi di suatu daerah ditentukan antara lain oleh kinerja dari industri tersebut. Meskipun bukan menjadi tujuan akhir dari pembangunan ekonomi, namun industrialisasi merupakan upaya mencapai tingkat pertumbuhan yang tinggi dan berkelanjutan, yang selanjutnya akan menciptakan pendapatan per kapita yang tinggi. Makalah ini mencoba membahas industrialisasi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi di Sumatera Selatan selama tahun 1993--2002. Untuk mendalami proses industrialisasi digunakan indikator pertumbuhan nilai tambah sektor industri terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto, pertumbuhan penyerapan tenaga kerja di sektor industri dan tingkat efisiensi sektor industri. Pertumbuhan ekonomi dianalisis dengan menggunakan pertumbuhan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto. Hasil regresi liner berganda menunjukkan bahwa hanya pertumbuhan nilai tambah sektor industri yang secara statistik signifikan dalam menjelaskan pertumbuhan ekonomi dengan tanda koefisien positif. Sementara variabel pertumbuhan penyerapan tenaga kerja dan efisiensi tidak signifikan, dalam menjelaskan pertumbuhan ekonomi Sumsel. "

"In the Indonesia democracy, the multiparty system is used as one of the canal to aggregate the public aspirations. This mechanism is supported by Law No. 25/1999 about fiscal decentralization and a series of related regulations. It is also supported by direct election for regional head (Pilkada). As such, the winning political parties may influence the local government budget allocation which finally transform into the economic growth.This study estimates the influence of party politic concentration on the local economic growth. The data used is the local government election of 2004 and 2009 from 55 regions (cities). The concentration of political power in regional legislatives is measured by using Herfindahl Hirschman Index (HHI). The results of analysis confirm that the more concentrated political power in the regional legislative results lower economic growth.

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Dalam dinamika demokrasi Indonesia, mekanisme multipartai merupakan salah satu cara untuk mengatur aspirasi. Mekanisme ini didukung Undang-Undang No. 25 Tahun 1999 mengenai desentralisasi fiskal dan dinamika perubahannya. Pemilihan Kepala Daerah (Pilkada) langsung pun turut mendukung mekanisme demokrasi di daerah. Partai politik pemenang pilkada akan memengaruhi pola alokasi anggaran daerah yang akhirnya bisa berdampak pada efektivitas pengeluaran pemerintah.Studi ini mengestimasi seberapa besar pengaruh konsentrasi partai di daerah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di daerah. Analisis menggunakan data 55 kabupaten/kota tahun 2004 dan 2009. Konsentrasi partai politik di dalam parlemen di daerah diukur dari proporsi anggota dewan dari masing-masing partai politik menggunakan Herfindahl Hirschman Index (HHI). Data tahun 2004 dan 2009 mengonfirmasi bahwa semakin terkonsentrasinya anggota dewan pada satu partai politik tertentu, maka semakin rendah pertumbuhan ekonomi daerah tersebut."

"AbstractEconomic and political systems might have a great share in determining the speed of the economic growth in an economy. Majority of the researchs in the past relied on physical input accumulation in determining economic growth, without taking into account the contribution of institutional characteristics. This research is aimed to test the hypothesis that economic freedom and political system affect the economic growth. Using panel data method (pooled least square approach) in eight ASEAN countries during the period of 1997-2007 and based on a framework of Solow economic growth model, it is showed that the more free and efficient economy leads to faster economic growth, and political democracy can otherwise hinder economic growth. Economy can grow higher if public policies are directed to the creation of: a stable monetary conditions, a more efficient in intermediation of financial markets, appropriate public budget policy, straightforward and efficient regulations, corruption eradication, as well as lower taxes. Nevertheless the index of investment freedom and property rights are far away from the behaviors of existing theories and hypothesis, so further research is needed."

"AbstractThis research is conducted to investigate the correlation of fiscal deficit to economic growth in Indonesia during 1990-2012. Contribution of this study is the use of cointegration and Error Correction Model, we confirmed mainstream macroeconomic theory where fiscal deficit has positive and signicant impact to economic growth. Government is recommended to undertake fiscal deficit within the 3% boundary allowed by State Budget Law.AbstrakStudi ini dilakukan untuk mengetahui pengaruh defisit fiskal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia tahun 1990-2012. Kontribusi studi ini adalah pengunaan metode kointegrasi dengan Error Correction Model. Kami mengonfirmasi hipotesa teori dan menemukan defisit fiskal berdampak positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Pemerintah disarankan untuk mengambil kebijakan fiskal yang ekspansif dengan memperhatikan undang-undang Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara yang menetapkan maksimal defisit sebesar 3%."

"AbstractThis paper presents an analysis of the effect of fiscal policy in Indonesia based on a VAR approach. Fiscal policy shocks are identified as a structural residuals related to unexpected government expenditures and tax revenues. Impulse responses are then used to simulate the dynamic response of key macroeconomics variables of shocks. The analysis shows that GDP responses negatively to tax shocks, and positively to expenditure shock. Moreover, disposable income and private consumptionreact negatively to taxation and positively to government expenditures. Altogether the results are consistent with that of Keynesian models."

"Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis hubungan keseimbangan antar variable pembangunan ekonomi dan sosial daerah dengan menggunakan metode vector dan error correction model dan menganalisi kointegrasi serta kausalitas antar variabel dengan menggunakan metode cointegration dan causality. Metode yang digunakan ialah Error Correction Model (ECM) dan Vektor Error Correction Model (VECM). Variabel penelitian ini terdiri dari inflasi, Indeks Harga Konsumen (IHK), dan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) yang mewakili variabel pembangunan ekonomi serta, variabel pembangunan sosial diwakili oleh Indeks Pembangunan manusia (IPM), Kemiskinan dan Pengangguran. Penelitian ini akan menggunakan uji root dengan menggunakan metode Augmented Dickey Fuller test (ADF-test). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa terdapat pengaruh yang signifikan antara variabel inflasi dan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) di Provinsi Sumatera Selatan dalam jangka panjang dan jangka pendek. Sementara itu, variabel independen lainnya (IHK, IPM, Kemiskinan dan Pengangguran) dalam jangka pendek maupun jangka panjang secara simultan berpengaruh pada PDRB. Terdapat hubungan keseimbangan Antar variable pembangunan ekonomi (PDRB, Inflasi, IHK) dan variabel sosial (IPM, Kemiskinan dan Pengangguran) di Provinsi Sumatera Selatan dengan menggunakan metode vector dan error correction model dan antar variable pembangunan ekonomi dan sosial berkointegrasi dan berkausalitas dengan menggunakan metode cointegration dan causality."

"The economic growth of the country is inseparable from the development of its financial sector. Therefore, this research attempted to prove the existence of causality between financial sector and economic growth in Indonesia using data between Q1 of 1996 to Q4 of 2006. The variables used as proxy for financial sector are monetization, private credit, total deposits, stock market capitalism, and stock market value traded?while the real GDP is used as a proxy for economic growth. This research aims to determine which variable is the most dominant influence in the shock given in causality result.This research methodology used Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Granger causality. VECM is used to find out the dominant variable that gave shock, while Granger causality is used to detect the causality between variables. Granger causality test shows the existence of one way causality between real GDP and private credit, total deposit, and stock market value traded. These causalities come from three sources. First, from real GDP to private credit; second, from real GDP to stock market value traded; and the last, from total deposit to real GDP. Meanwhile, VECM test shows the result that the economic growth can be a boosting factor for Indonesian financial sector growth. Moreover, the dominant variable in creating shock on economic growth is stock market value traded.The Granger causality estimation shows that there are one-way causalities between real GDP and private credit, total deposit, and stock market value traded."

"Combining regional growth model and integration of financial institution model, this paper evaluates whether intermediary development influences growth in Indonesia. Recent research has proved that not only banks development influence economic growth positively but also its exogenous components.However, there are several different assumptions during adopt this model in Indonesia. Especially regional approach is differing than national approach in growth model. The point is the existence of intermediary integration across region whit causes the economic agent move freely within a nation.The data show that integration of financial intermediation was not always associated with economic growth. Only four of twenty six provinces which proved strong influence of financial intermediation on economic growth. Labor condition and average annual wages are not exogenous variables which explain growth due to financial intermediation in Indonesia. At least during 1987-1998."

"Pertumbuhan ekonomi provinsi pasca desentralisasi masih berada di bawah periode sebelum krisis. Selain itu, tidak adanya teori formal yang menunjukkan pengaruh desentralisasi fiskal terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi dan masih minimnya penelitian yang menggunakan unit analisis provinsi menjadikan latar belakang dilakukannya penelitian ini. Dengan menggunakan data panel dari 26 propinsi tahun 1999 sampai dengan 2008 yang diolah dengan metode efek random maka hasil studi ini menunjukkan bahwa porsi Dana Perimbangan terhadap total pendapatan, Investasi Swasta dan Tenaga Kerja seluruhnya berdampak positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi provinsi. Hal tersebut juga menunjukkan bahwa peranan pemerintah pusat masih dibutuhkan untuk meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi provinsi.

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Province economic growth during fiscal decentralization still below before crisis happened. The lack of formal theory that shows decentralization fiscal impacts on economic growth and research using provincial as unit analysis become the background of this research. Using pool data from 26 province from 1999 until 2008 estimated with random effect method, this research confirms that ratio intergovernmental funds (Dana Perimbangan) to total revenue, private investment and labor have positif and significant impact on province economic growth. It also indicate that central government is still needed to increase province economic growth."