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"ABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis kelayakan ASEAN-5 membentuk integrasi moneter berdasarkan dua pendekatan dalam teori Optimum Currency Area OCA : indeks OCA dan endogenitas kriteria OCA. Hasil indeks OCA menunjukkan ASEAN secara keseluruhan baru memenuhi dua dari empat kriteria OCA yang digunakan. Singapura, Malaysia, dan Thailand dinilai layak membentuk integrasi moneter, sedangkan Indonesia menjadi yang paling tidak layak. Untuk hasil endogenitas kriteria OCA didapati bahwa peningkatan intensitas perdagangan, integrasi keuangan, dan kesamaan sektor produksi akan meningkatkan kesimetrisan guncangan moneter di ASEAN-5, tetapi tidak untuk guncangan penawaran dan guncangan permintaan. Dengan demikian, ASEAN-5 dinilai masih belum layak membentuk integrasi moneter.

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ABSTRACTThis study aims to analyze the feasibility of ASEAN 5 in forming monetary integration based on two Optimum Currency Area OCA theory applications OCA index and endogeneity of OCA criteria. OCA index result shows that ASEAN 5 as a whole only complies two of four OCA criteria being used. Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand are proper in forming monetary integration, whereas Indonesia has become the most improper one. From endogeneity of OCA criteria, it is found that the increasing of trade intensity, financial integration, and similarity of production sector will promote the symmetry of monetary shocks in ASEAN 5, but not for supply shocks and demand shocks. Thereby, ASEAN 5 is assessed not feasible enough in forming monetary integration."

"This is an important and timely volume: important because ASEAN is an increasingly significant and influential regional and global actor; and timely because, as the 2015 ASEAN Economic Community target approaches, what is needed is a sympathetic yet arms-length survey of the issues and challenges. ASEAN will miss some of the targets laid out in its AEC Blueprint, but the reader is left in no doubt that the ASEAN spirit is alive and well. The editors include a distinguished former Secretary General of ASEAN and the leading academic analyst of ASEAN economic cooperation. They and their co-editors are to be congratulated for soliciting contributions from an outstanding and diverse group of authors, and then adding their highly authoritative commentary and analysis. A must read for anybody seriously interested in ASEAN."

"Twenty-one years ago ,the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies inaugrated a topical, forward-lookingannual publication intended to benefit businesspeople, diplomats, security specialists, professionals, journalists ,and others with a stake in understanding regional developments.That publication has long since earned the admiration and trust of readers both in the region and outside Southeast Asia. They have come to rely on its well-informedand timely analysis of the near-termdevelopments and trends likely to have the greatest impact on their work. The latest edition of Regional Outlook: Southeast Asia builds on this strong tradition. Its contents underscore ISEAS ’commitment to offering stakeholders in regional affairs access to the ..."