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Abstrak :
Sistem manajemen transportasi dan tata ruang perkotaan sangat mempengaruhi pola pergerakan manusia dan kendaraan yang dapat menimbulkan kemacetan. Kemacetan menghasilkan tingginya akumulasi emisi gas buang kendaraan bermotor yang berakibat pada menurunnya kualitas udara. Penggunaan model dinamik untuk keperluan analisis dan prediksi dengan berbagai variabel dan sub variabel yang saling terkait sudah banyak dipergunakan untuk mengkaji secara ilmiah berbagai fenomena yang ada. Dalam tugas akhir ini penggunaan model dinamik digunakan untuk pendekatan dan menganalisis program Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) berbasis busway dalam memprediksi kebutuhan bahan bakar gas (BBG) dan pengurangan tingkat laju emisi gas buang kendaraan bermotor dalam pencapaian target penurunan polusi udara, ajakan/himbauan para pengguna mobil kendaraan untuk beralih menggunakan bus Transjakarta Busway serta mengatasi kemacetan lalu lintas di DKI Jakarta sampai dengan tahun 2010. Dari penelitian sebelumnya [Bambang Sugiarto, Suryana, 2005] diketahui bahwa polusi udara akan berkurang secara signifikan jika jumlah koridor dan armada yang diberoperasi harus mencukupi sehingga penumpang Bus Transjakarta Busway adalah yang sebelumnya para pengguna mobil pribadi. Maka untuk mendukung program pengurangan polusi udara di DKI Jakarta, penulisan ini disusun sesuai kondisi terakhir yaitu awal tahun 2007, dengan telah diresmikannya busway koridor IV - VII. Pencapaian pengurangan polusi udara dengan program BRT berbasis busway akan bersifat komprehensif dengan pendekatan model dinamik mulai dari pertumbuhan penduduk, pertumbuhan kendaraan bermotor, pertambahan armada, koridor, dan jumlah penumpang Bus Transjakarta Busway, perluasan jaringan bus pengumpan (feeder). Hasil yang diharapkan dari studi ini adalah prediksi kebutuhan BBG dan pengurangan laju emisi gas buang kendaraan bermotor dengan beroperasinya bus Transjakarta Busway dalam menurunkan polusi udara dan mengatasi kemacetan di Jakarta sampai dengan tahun 2010. ......The transportation management system and the city planning influence the mobility of large numbers of people to easily move from various locations. Without an organized transportation system, there are mass traffic jams, delays, accidents, etc. Traffic jams cause large pollutans emissions resulting in large quantities of pollution. The dynamic model has been used to analyze and predict these phenomena by using variables and sub variables that are interconnected. In this thesis, the dynamic model is used to analyze the Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) program based on the busway system to predict the need of compresses natural gas (CNG) and to reduce the rapid emission in achieving the goal of reducing air pollution in Jakarta. One of the ways to accomplish this goal is to encourage people to use the Transjakarta bus way instead of their personal vehicles. This would also reduce traffic jams until the year 2010. From previous research conducted by Bambang Sugiarto and Suryana, it was shown that the air pollution would be significantly reduced if the amount of buses and corridors were increased to handle the large number of passengers. For this reason, this thesis is written in accordance with the current condition when the new corridors IV ? VII were officially opened at the beginning of the year 2007. The achievement of reducing air pollution based on BRT program will contribute a comprehensive benefit if the dynamic model is used. For example, the population growth will directly increase the need for greater transportation; thus adding larger numbers of buses, expanding corridors and increasing the number of passengers using Transjakarta busway. The transportation web will automatically be expanded to include smaller feeder areas to facilitate greater flow of traffic. The purpose of this study is to predict the need for CNG and the reduction of pollutan emissions, this is possible if the Transjakarta busway system is implemented. In addition, reducing air pollution and solving the traffic jam problems until the year 2010.

Abstrak :
Recharges simulation on groundwater in Depok : Paved areas extension were analysed by pricipal component analysis and canonical correlation analysis.The result indicated that urbanization, especially in the commercial region, are increasing in Depok. According to the simulation on dynamic model. It is known that the carrying capacity of shallow groundwater will besustain five up to 10 years letter, if urban land use could be controllied become 73.79 percent of the Depok's spatial palnning 2010

Abstrak :
This paper describes the case study of Semanggi intersection in Jakarta, a dynamic model of emission reduction in the land transportation sector. The urban transportation system is a complex system with multiple variables, feedback loops, and is influenced by social, economic and environmental factors. The proposed model consists of two submodels: Vehicle Fleet and Emission Calculation. The model runs in Powersim Studio software using data from the Indonesia Japan Economic Partnership Agreement, and the Traffic Management Centre of the Indonesian National Police. The test was conducted by developing two scenarios: Business As Usual and Intention. The estimated results to be obtained using the first scenario in 2021 should be 1,113,398 units, while the second scenario is estimated to produce 850,733 units. We hypothesize that the Intentional Approach will have a more significant impact than the Technical Approach, which requires more investment. The Intentional Approach is designed to improve the intention of private car users to switch to public transportation. The Technical Approach to the emission measurement of every vehicle in a certain area is the data of vehicle emission which are usually taken to determine the current condition. This research will no doubt have a positive impact on emission reduction in Jakarta.

Abstrak :
This paper describes the case study of Semanggi intersection in Jakarta, a dynamic model of emission reduction in the land transportation sector. The urban transportation system is a complex system with multiple variables, feedback loops, and is influenced by social, economic and environmental factors. The proposed model consists of two submodels: Vehicle Fleet and Emission Calculation. The model runs in Powersim Studio software using data from the Indonesia Japan Economic Partnership Agreement, and the Traffic Management Centre of the Indonesian National Police. The test was conducted by developing two scenarios: Business As Usual and Intention. The estimated results to be obtained using the first scenario in 2021 should be 1,113,398 units, while the second scenario is estimated to produce 850,733 units. We hypothesize that the Intentional Approach will have a more significant impact than the Technical Approach, which requires more investment. The Intentional Approach is designed to improve the intention of private car users to switch to public transportation. The Technical Approach to the emission measurement of every vehicle in a certain area is the data of vehicle emission which are usually taken to determine the current condition. This research will no doubt have a positive impact on emission reduction in Jakarta.

Abstrak :
ABSTRAK
Penelitian ini mencoba memformulasikan Pengaturan Ojek Berbasis Aplikasi (Gojek) Sebagai Bagian Dari Upaya Perbaikan Kebijakan Transportasi Publik DKI Jakarta. Model dinamis digunakan untuk menggambarkan kebijakan transportasi darat dengan GO-JEK menjadi salah satu sub sistem dengan tujuan, untuk menganalisis formulasi pengaturan ojek berbasis aplikasi (GO-JEK) dengan Model Dinamis. Hasil penelitian ini menemukan bahwa kebijakan yang memungkinkan pengoptimalan penggunaan ojek berbasis aplikasi (GO-JEK) antara lain Kebijakan Optimalisasi dan revitalisasi Sarana dan Prasarana Transportasi publik Darat, Kebijakan pembatasan jumlah dan jalur ojek berbasis aplikasi (GO-JEK) sebagai upaya penurunan terhadap bangkitan perjalanan (trip generation), dan Kebijakan Perbaikan tarif dan trayek layanan angkutan umum.

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ABSTRACT
This research is conducted to formulate the management of application based ojek (Go- Jek) as an effort to improve public transportation policy in Jakarta. Dynamic model is used to draw land vehicle system using GO-JEK as a subsystem in order to analyze a policy which might be optimal in using application based ojek (GO-JEK) Using Dynamic Model. This result study finds some policy which may optimize the usage of application based ojek (GO-JEK) such as: Optimalization and Revitalization of Facilities and Pre-Facilities of Public Land Transportation; Limitation of number and route of application based ojek (GO-JEK) as an innitiative to "trip generation"; and Revision Policy of Rate and Route of public vehicle services.

Abstrak :
ABSTRAK Ketimpangan di Indonesia mencapai level tertinggi selama era-desentralisasi danditenggarai sebagai penyebab menurunnya pertumbuhan ekonomi dalam lima tahunterakhir ke 2015. Tulisan ini meneliti apakah peningkatan ketimpangan memilikidampak positif atau negatif terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia. Denganmenggunakan model dinamis dan GMM estimator, hasil yang didapat menunjukanbahwa ada hubungan yang positif signifikan antara ketimpangan pendapatan danpertumbuhan ekonomi. Namun, tulisan ini tidak dapat menyimpulkan hubungannyapada kelas yang berbeda kelas bawah, menengah dan atas karena hasil signifikanhanya diperoleh ketika menggunakan one-step system GMM. Hasil penelitian dapatmenjadi pertimbangan pemerintah agar lebih berhati-hati dalam menyusun kebijakanterkait ketimpangan.

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ABSTRACT The income inequality in Indonesia reached the highest level during thedecentralization era and suspected to be caused of the slowdown of the economicgrowth in the last five years to 2015. This paper investigates whether increasinginequality had a positive or negative impact on economic growth in Indonesia. Usingdynamic panel and applying GMM estimator, the result concluded that there is asignificant positive relationship between income inequality and economic growth.However, this study cannot draw a clear conclusion about the relationship for thedifferent classes bottom, middle, and top class since only one step system GMM issignificant. Considering the result, the government should be more careful inregulating the inequality policy.

Abstrak :
Air polution from vehicle emission becomes a major problem in urban areas,including Jakarta,Indonesia.This vehicle emission worsening ambient air concentration because of incresingle use of diesel engine for urban transportation.....

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Akhir-akhir ini luas lahan pertanian terus berkurang karena telah dialih fungsikan untuk keperluan lain. kajian ini menganalisis alih-fungsi lahan di Jogjakarta menggunakan model dinamis....

Abstrak :
ABSTRACT
We propose a dynamic skewed copula to model multivariate dependence in asset returns in a flexible yet parsimonious way. We then apply the model to 50 exchange traded funds. The new copula is shown to have better in sample and out of sample performance than existing copulas. In particular, the dynamic model is able to capture increasing dependence patterns during financial crisis periods. It is crucial for investors to take dynamic dependence structure into account when modeling high dimensional returns.