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Abstrak :
ABSTRAK
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh faktor kepribadian conscientiousness, faktor kepribadian extraversion dan faktor lingkungan yaitu kompetisi terhadap kualitas keputusan kelompok. Dengan menggunakan tes kepribadian Big Five, 240 mahasiswa S1 yang terdiri atas 175 perempuan dan 65 laki-laki dibagi dalam 80 kelompok dengan masing-masing kelompok terdiri dari 3 orang. 80 kelompok tersebut dibagi dua kedalam 40 kelompok kompetisi dan non kompetisi. Pada masing-masing dari 40 kelompok tersebut terdapat 10 kelompok yang anggotanya mempunyai partisipan dengan karakteristik kepribadian conscientiousness tinggi, conscientiousness rendah, extrovert dan introvert. Pendekatan penelitian ini adalah eksperimental between subject design. Kepada kedua kelompok ini diberi tugas untuk membuat keputusan kelompok dalam dua variasi pengaturan, dengan dan tanpa kompetisi. Kelompok menerima informasi dengan mekanisme distribusi hidden profile, dimana hanya satu dari tiga anggota kelompok mendapatkan informasi kunci. Hasil exact logistic regression menunjukkan bahwa karakteristik kepribadian conscientiousness tinggi meningkatkan kemungkinan kelompok menghasilkan keputusan yang lebih buruk. Sementara karakteristik kepribadian extraversion dan kompetisi tidak memengaruhi kualitas keputusan kelompok. Uji statistik juga menemukan terdapat interaction effect dari conscientiousness tinggi dan kompetisi terhadap kualitas keputusan kelompok. Kemungkinan kelompok dengan conscientiousness tinggi menghasilkan keputusan yang buruk menjadi semakin meningkat ketika mereka berada dalam situasi kompetisi. Implikasi dari penelitian ini adalah bahwa dalam rangka menempatkan the right person on the right place maka organisasi harus mempertimbangkan faktor kepribadian conscientiousness dalam rekrutmen, penempatan, penyusunan tim kerja ataupun pelatihan. Selain itu organisasi juga perlu mengatur lingkungan yang kondusif untuk meningkatkan kualitas rapat-rapat didalam lingkungan organisasi.

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ABSTRACT
This study aims to study the effect of personality factor of conscientiousness, personality factor of extraversion, and environmental factor of competition to group decision quality. Based on Big Five personality test, 240 undergraduate students consists of 175 girls and 65 boys were divided into 80 groups with each group consists of 3 people. 80 groups then divided into two groups of competition and non competition. In each of the 40 groups there are 10 group of high conscientiousness, low conscientiousness, extrovert, and introvert participants. The approach of this study is experimental with randomized between group design. Given to these groups is a task to make group decision in two setting variations, with and without competition. The groups receive the information through hidden profile distribution mechanism, where only one of the three group member gets the key information. Exact logistic regression results show that high conscientiousness personality characteristic increase the likelihood of a group to produce bad decisions. But extraversion personality characteristic and competition do not affect group decision quality. Statistical testing also found an interaction effect of conscientiousness and competition on the quality of group decisions. The probability of producing poor group decision will increase when high conscientiousness group are under competition situation. The implication of this research is that in order to put rdquo;the right person in the right place rdquo;, the organization must consider the personality factor conscientiousness in recruitment, placement, formulating team and training. In addition, organizations must create conducive environment to improve the quality of meetings within the organization.

Abstrak :
Dalam Tesis ini penulis menilai harga wajar saham PT Aqua Golden Mississippi Tbk pada saat melakukan go private dengan menggunakan data proyeksi tahun 2005-2010 dan data keuangan Actual tahun 2005-2007, yang ternyata hanya dapat direalisasi berkisar antara 38% - 50 % saja. Penilaian harga wajar saham dilakukan dengan menggunakan 3 metode pendekatan yakni pendekatan income yang dalam hal ini menggunakan Dis- counted Cash Flow (DCF) dan Dividend Discount Model (DDM), dan sebagai pembanding, juga menggunakan pendekatan asset yakni Net Asset Value (NAV) dan pendekatan pasar dengan menggunakan Price Earnings Ratio (PER) untuk industri makanan dan minuman. Dengan menggunakan ketiga metode pendekat- an tersebut diharapkan lebih mendekati harga wajar saham PT Aqua Golden Mississippi Tbk yang pada saat proses go private menawarkan harga pembelian kembali (buyback) sebesar Rp 100.000 per lembar. Berdasarkan ketiga pendekatan tersebut diperoleh penilaian harga wajar saham: (1) dengan Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) sebesar Rp 139.350 per lembar. Namun karena proyeksi dinilai terlalu agresif, yang hanya dapat dicapai berkisar antara 38% - 50% untuk tahun 2005 – 2007, maka harga wajar saham di prorata menjadi Rp 69.675 per lembar. (2) dengan Dividend Discount Model (DDM) menghasilkan harga wajar sebesar Rp 18.859 per lembar. Penilaian dengan metode ini sangat tergantung pada kebijakan dalam membayar dividen, bukan berdasarkan profitabilitas. (3) dengan Net Asset Value (NAV), yang menghasil- kan harga wajar sebesar Rp 32.969 per lembar, dan (4) dengan Price Earnings Ratio (PER) untuk industri makanan dan minuman menghasilkan harga wajar sebesar Rp 70.739 per lembar. Dengan menggunakan keempat metode tersebut, metode Discounted Cash Flow dan Price Earnings Ratio dianggap paling mendekati harga wajar saham. Untuk itu dapat disimpulkan bahwa harga penawaran pembelian kembali (buyback) oleh Perseroan sebesar Rp 100.000 per lembar sudah diatas harga wajar. ......In this thesis I make a valuation of PT Aqua Golden Mississippi Tbk ‘s share fair value exactly as at the company took corporate action for going private, using the company’s projection data for 2005-2010 and the actual financial data for 2005-2007 which can only be realized about 38% to 50% during the period. The valuation of the share fair value uses three approaches: income approach which uses Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Dividend Discount Model (DDM), while other approaches are used for a comparation purpose: assets approch, uses Net Asset Value (NAV) and market approach, uses Price Earnings Ratio (PER) of food and beverages industry. The three appoaches are expected can give an appropriate result of PT Aqua Golden Mississippi Tbk’s share market fair value, in which the company offered buyback share price for IDR 100.000,- as at the going private action was taken. Based on the three approaches, result of the share fair value can be described as follow: (1) Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) for IDR 139.350 per share, but, since the projection is consider as too agresive, on which the realization figure during 2005-2007 were only 38% to 50% , therefor the fair value should be about IDR 69.675 per share. (2) Dividend Discount Model (DDM) for IDR 18.859 per share. This valuation method depands on the company’s policy to determine the dividend amount per share, and not depands on the profitabilities. (3) Net Asset Value (NAV), for IDR 32.969 per share, and (4) Price Earnings Ratio (PER) for foods and beverages industry, for IDR 70.739 per share. Among the four method, the Discounted Cash Flow and the Price Earnings Ratio are treated as better methods then others and therefor the rusult can reflect the market fair value. Finally I can make a conclusion that the buyback price offered by the company for IDR Rp 100.000,- was above the fair value.

Abstrak :
Penelitian ini membahas mengenai faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi akses ke jasa keuangan usaha mikro, kecil, dan menengah (UMKM) di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dari World Bank Enterprise Survey dan melibatkan 881 UMKM dari sembilan provinsi di Indonesia sebagai sampel penelitian. Pengujian hipotesis dilakukan dalam menentukan determinan kesuksesan perolehan pinjaman menggunakan metode regresi logistik biner data cross-section. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa penyertaan laporan keuangan, pemberian jaminan, usia usaha, penjualan usaha, dan jenis kepemilikan usaha secara signifikan mampu memengaruhi akses ke jasa keuangan UMKM di Indonesia. Penelitian ini juga mendiskusikan implikasi dari hasi penelitian baik bagi pembuat kebijakan, pelaku industri, dan akademisi......This study discusses several factors that affect the access to finance among micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) in Indonesia. The study utilizes secondary data from World Bank Enterprise Survey and involved 881 MSMEs from nine provinces in Indonesia as the research sample. The hypothesis testing regarding the determinants of obtaining access to external finance is carried out using the binary logistic regression and cross section data. The results of this study indicate that the financial statements lending, the provision of collateral, firm age, firm revenues, and firm ownership significantly influence access to external finance of Indonesian MSMEs. This study also discusses the implications of the results both for policy makers, industry players, and academics.

Abstrak :
Kepopuleran social commerce menyebabkan ketergantungan konsumen terhadap pengalaman berbelanja konsumen lain. Hal ini mendorong terjadinya interaksi yang frekuen karena adanya dukungan informasi dan emosional yang diberikan oleh pengguna (penjual dan pembeli) sehingga trust memainkan peran yang penting pada social commerce. Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengetahui pengaruh dari social support yaitu emotional dan informational support terhadap trust dan dampaknya terhadap intention to purchase hingga actual purchase. Penelitian ini meneliti trust pada social commerce dari perspektif trust-transfer di mana terjadi transfer kepercayaan dari members ke platform dan dari platform ke seller. Target responden dari penelitian ini adalah konsumen yang pernah melakukan transaksi melalui social commerce. Data dikumpulkan dengan menggunakan metode survei online yang disebar melalui media sosial. Sebanyak 1.366 data valid yang terkumpul diolah dengan metode CB-SEM menggunakan program AMOS 24.0. Hasil pengolahan data menunjukkan bahwa informational support memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap trust towards members dan trust towards sellers serta emotional support terhadap trust towards members. Akan tetapi, tidak terdapat pengaruh signifikan dari emotional support terhadap trust towards seller. Penelitian ini juga menemukan bahwa terjadi trust-transfer dari members ke platform dan dari platform ke seller. Selain itu, trust memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap intention to purchase yang juga berpengaruh signifikan terhadap actual purchase. ......The popularity of social commerce lead to consumer's dependence on the shopping experience of other consumers. The exchange of informational and emotional support encourages the interaction among users hence trust plays an important role on social commerce. This study was conducted to determine the effect of social support (emotional and informational support) on trust and its impact on intention to purchase to actual purchases made by users. This study examines trust in social commerce from a trust-transfer perspective where trust-transfer occurs from members to platform and from platform to seller. The respondents of this study are consumers who have done transactions through social commerce. Data was collected using an online survey which was distributed via social media. A total of 1,366 valid data were collected and processed with CB-SEM method using AMOS 24.0 program. The result shows that informational support has significant effect on trust towards members and trust towards sellers and emotional support on trust towards members. However, emotional support has no significant effect on trust towards seller. This research also found that trust-transfer was occurred from members to the platform and from the platform to the seller. In addition, trust has a significant effect on intention to purchase which also has a significant effect on actual purchases.

Abstrak :
The rise of globalization and the growth of technology resulted in alteration in people's lifestyles. Many practices would be impacted by this situation, including conventional marketing being replaced by digital marketing. Digital marketing can be defined as marketing campaigns using various marketing strategies such as social media. Using social media as part of digital marketing is a very commonly used strategy because of its accessibility. With those reasons above, it can be concluded that social media marketing can help promote businesses. Instagram is considered as one of the most effective social media as a marketing platform. This advantage causes many businesses including online food businesses to use Instagram as their marketing strategy. This study uses a qualitative approach with the aim of finding out how the marketing strategies on Instagram are carried out by online food businesses by conducting interviews with online food business @KouignPastry using the Marketing Mix (7P) analysis method. .....akan terpengaruh oleh situasi ini, termasuk pemasaran konvensional yang digantikan oleh pemasaran digital. Pemasaran digital dapat didefinisikan sebagai kampanye pemasaran yang menggunakan berbagai strategi pemasaran seperti media sosial. Menggunakan media sosial sebagai bagian dari pemasaran digital adalah strategi yang sangat umum digunakan karena aksesibilitasnya. Dengan alasan diatas maka dapat disimpulkan bahwa pemasaran media sosial dapat membantu mempromosikan bisnis. Instagram dianggap sebagai salah satu media sosial paling efektif sebagai platform pemasaran. Keunggulan ini menyebabkan banyak pebisnis termasuk pebisnis makanan online menggunakan Instagram sebagai strategi pemasarannya. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif dengan tujuan untuk mengetahui bagaimana strategi pemasaran di Instagram dilakukan oleh pelaku usaha makanan online dengan melakukan wawancara kepada dua pelaku usaha makanan online; @KouignPastry dengan menggunakan metode analisis Bauran Pemasaran (7P).

Abstrak :
The theory of belief functions, also known as evidence theory or Dempster-Shafer theory, was first introduced by Arthur P. Dempster in the context of statistical inference, and was later developed by Glenn Shafer as a general framework for modeling epistemic uncertainty. These early contributions have been the starting points of many important developments, including the Transferable Belief Model and the Theory of Hints. The theory of belief functions is now well established as a general framework for reasoning with uncertainty, and has well understood connections to other frameworks such as probability, possibility and imprecise probability theories.

This volume contains the proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Belief Functions that was held in Compiègne, France on 9-11 May 2012. It gathers 51 contributions describing recent developments both on theoretical issues (including approximation methods, combination rules, continuous belief functions, graphical models and independence concepts) and applications in various areas including classification, image processing, statistics and intelligent vehicles.