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I Putu Agus Indra Putera Kusuma
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Nilai instrinsik yang dimiliki oleh sebuah perusahaan dapat diukur atau dinilai dengan proses yang bernama valuasi. Hasil valuasi tersebut dapat dibandingkan dengan nilai pasar dari sebuah perusahaan yang menghasilkan rekomendasi investasi kepada investor. Valuasi dapat dilakukan dengan analisis fundamental dan analisis teknikal. Studi ini akan membahas mengenai analisis fundamental dengan menggunakan pendekatan top-down approach, dimana analisis fundamental ini memperhatikan analisis makroekonomi, analisis industri, analisis perusahaan, dan valuasi nilai perusahaan. Metode valuasi yang digunakan adalah metode discounted cash flow yang dibagi lagi menjadi dua metode, yaitu free cash flow to the firm dan free cash flow to the equity. Data yang digunakan pada studi ini adalah data makroekonomi, data industri, dan data historis laporan keuangan perusahaan yang sangat diperlukan untuk memberikan asumsi yang berkaitan dengan proyeksi pertumbuhan perusahaan di masa yang akan datang. Dengan melakukan analisis tersebut, studi ini diharapkan dapat memberikan pengetahuan mengenai prospek makroekonomi, industri, dan nilai wajar perusahaan PT. Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk


The intrinsic value of a company can be measured or valued by a process called valuation. The result of valuation can be compared with the market value of a company that produces investment recommendations to investors. Valuation can be done with fundamental analysis and technical analysis. This study will explain the fundamental analysis using a top-down approach, where this fundamental analysis consist of macroeconomic analysis, industry analysis, company analysis, and valuation of company values. The valuation method used is the discounted cash flow method which is further divided into two methods, namely free cash flow to the firm and free cash flow to the equity. The data used in this study are macroeconomic data, industry data, and historical data on company financial statements that are needed to provide assumptions related to the projected growth of the company in the future. By conducting this analysis, this study is expected to provide knowledge about the macroeconomic, industrial, and fair value prospects of PT. Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk

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Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2020
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UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Astried Minang Nathalia
"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk membandingkan estimasi nilai wajar saham untuk perusahaan telekomunikasi di Indonesia, dalam hal ini PT Indosat Ooredoo, berdasarkan metode discounted cash flow DCF dan peraturan menteri keuangan. Kami melakukan penilaian menggunakan data historis dan proyeksi laporan keuangan. PT Indosat Ooredoo adalah salah satu perusahaan besar dalam industri telekomunikasi yang telah melakukan rebranding pada tahun 2015 sebagai upaya untuk meningkatkan pertumbuhan serta pangsa pasarnya dan menjadi pemimpin dalam layanan digital di Indonesia. Metode pertama adalah model Free Cash Flow to Firm FCFF dan model Free Cash Flow to Equity FCFE berdasarkan Damodaran, 2012 , sedangkan metode kedua berdasarkan aturan Kementerian Keuangan Indonesia dalam hal ini Direktorat Jenderal Pajak yaitu SE-54/ PJ/2016. Metode discounted cash flow DCF memperkirakan bahwa nilai intrinsik Indosat adalah Rp 7.998, sedangkan penilaian berdasarkan SE-54/PJ/2016 diperkirakan bahwa nilai wajar Indosat adalah Rp 8.247 per saham. Hasil ini menunjukkan bahwa harga saham Indosat pada tanggal 31 Desember 2016 sebesar Rp 6.450 undervalued dibandingkan dengan nilai intrinsik nilai wajar berdasarkan kedua metode tersebut.

This study aims to compare stock fair value estimation for a telecommunication company in Indonesia here is PT Indosat Ooredoo based on discounted cash flow DCF model and ministry of finance regulation. We conducted valuation using historical data and financial statement s projection. PT Indosat Ooredoo is a big company in telecommunication industry has rebranded in 2015 as an effort to increase their growth and market share and become a leader in digital services in Indonesia. The first model is free cash flow to firm and free cash flow to equity based on Damodaran 2012 , while the second model based on Indonesian ministry on finance regulation SE 54 PJ 2016 . Discounted cash flow DCF model estimates that intrinsic value of Indosat is Rp 7.998, while valuation based on ministry of finance regulation SE 54 PJ 2016 estimate that fair value of Indosat is Rp 8.247 per share. This result indicates that share price of Indosat at December 31, 2016 at Rp 6.450 is undervalue compared to the intrinsic value fair value based on both model."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2018
T50490
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Ryan Winipta
"Valuasi dilakukan untuk menghitung dan mengestimasi nilai wajar dari sebuah perusahaan. Hasil valuasi dapat dibandingkan dengan nilai pasar dari sebuah perusahaan yang menghasilkan rekomendasi investasi kepada investor. Valuasi dapat dilakukan dengan analisis fundamental dan analisis teknikal. Studi ini akan membahas mengenai analisis fundamental dengan menggunakan pendekatan top-down approach, dimana analisis fundamental ini memperhatika analisis makroekonomi, analisis industri, analisis perusahaan, dan valuasi nilai perusahaan beserta analisis sensitivitas dan simulasi.
Metode valuasi yang digunakan adalah metode discounted cash flow yang dibagi lagi menjadi tiga metode, yaitu free cash flow to the firm, free cash flow to the equity, dan dividend discount model. Data yang digunakan pada studi ini adalah data makroekonomi, data industri, dan data historis laporan keuangan perusahaan yang sangat diperlukan untuk memberikan asumsi yang berkaitan dengan proyeksi pertumbuhan perusahaan di masa yang akan datang. Dengan melakukan analisis tersebut, studi ini diharapkan dapat memberikan pengetahuan mengenai prospek makroekonomi, industri, dan nilai wajar perusahaan PT. Kalbe Farma Tbk.

Valuation is performed to calculate and estimate intrinsic value of a company. The result of valuation could be compared with the market price of a company to provide an investment recommendation to investors. This study aims to examine fundamental analysis with top down approach, these fundamental analysis consist of macroeconomic analysis, industry analysis, company analysis, company valuation, sensitivity analysis, and simulation.
There are three discounted cash flow methods that are used in this study, as such free cash flow to the firm, free cash flow to equity, and dividend discount model. Macroeconomic data, industry data, historical financial statements of company are used in this study to provide and strengthen the assumptions related to company rsquo s growth projection in the future. By doing this analysis, this study is expected to provide insights about macroeconomic and industry prospect, and intrinsic value of PT. Kalbe Farma Tbk.
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Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2018
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UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Bimbim Satya Saputra Goenawan
"Pertumbuhan pengguna telepon genggam memberikan dampak positif terhadap tumbuhnya sektor telekomunikasi hingga mencapai 13,61% CAGR selama 2000 – 2017. Pertumbuhan yang masif tersebut sayangnya tidak mampu mengimbangi biaya yang terjadi di sektor tersebut sehingga mengakibatkan kerugian pada level net income. Hal tersebut memberikan kemungkinan atas penilaian yang ambigu terhadap nilai perusahaan sacara wajar. Oleh karena itu, penilitian ini bertujuan untuk mengungkapkan nilai wajar perusahaan pada sektor telekomunikasi dengan objek penelitian PT XL Axiata Tbk. Penelitian melibatkan metode discounted cash flow to firm dengan proyeksi laporan keuangan hingga 10 tahun dengan bantuan 5 tahun historis sebagai tahun dasar. Ada pun data yang digunakan untuk basis proyeksi laporan tersebut bersumber dari informasi publik yang melingkupi makroekonomi, industri, dan perusahaan. Penulis menemukan bahwa harga saham PT XL Axiata Tbk. tidak merepresentasikan nilai wajar perusahaan, dimana harga saham berada pada nilai undervalued.

The growth of mobile phone users has a positive impact on telecommunications sector’s growth reaching 13.61% CAGR during 2000 - 2017. Unfortunately, that massive growth inadquately offset the costs incurred resulting losses on net income for years. It leads to the possibility of an ambiguous assessment regarading the value of the company in this sector. Therefore, this research aims to reveal the fair value of companies in the telecommunications sector with PT XL Axiata Tbk. as an object. The study involves a discounted cash flow to firm method with 10-years financial statement projections that is helped by 5 historical years as base-year. The data used for the projection derived from public information covering macroeconomics, industry, and companies. The research finds that the share price of PT XL Axiata Tbk. does not represent the fair value of the company which the share price is currently standing at undervalued.
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Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan BIsnis Universitas Indonesia, 2019
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UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Ayu Permatasari
"Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalis nilai wajar saham PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk. dengan menggunakan metode discounted free cash flow to firm dan free cash flow to equity. Analisis nilai wajar saham ini menggunakan analisis fundamental dengan pendekatan top-down-approach, yang meliputi analisis makroekonomi, analisis industri, analisis perusahaan dan valuasi, dan dilengkapi dengan simulasi Monte Carlo, Price to Earning ratio, dan Price to Book Value ratio.
Berdasarkan analisis-analisis yang dilakukan dalam studi ini, diharapkan studi ini dapat memberikan hasil berupa nilai wajar saham, prospek industri dimana perusahaan beroperasi, dan rekomendasi kepada investor terhadap saham PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk.

This research aims to analyze the fair value of PT Erajaya Swasembadas stock with discounted free cash flow to firm and free cash flow to equity method.. This study uses fundamental analysis with top-down approach which includes macroeconomics analysis, industry analysis, company analysis, and valuation, also Monte Carlo Simulation, Price to Earning Ratio and Price to Book Value Ratio.
Based on this analysis, this study is expected to provide results of the fair value of the stock, industry prospect, and recommendation for investor about PT Erajaya Swasembadas Stock.
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Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2019
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UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Reyhan Syah Putra
"[ABSTRAK
Laporan magang ini membahas mengenai cara melakukan valuasi menggunakan metode relative valuation yang penulis pelajari pada PT Bahana Securities dan discounted cash flow valuation yang penulis pelajari pada saat penulis berkuliah pada Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia terhadap PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation mempunyai tingkat sensitifitas yang lebih rendah terhadap asumsi pada akun-akun kunci yang digunakan untuk melakukan proyeksi dan valuasi apabila dibandingkan dengan discounted cash flow valuation. Tantangan yang dihadapi oleh para analis di PT Bahana Securities ketika melakukan valuasi menggunakan discounted cash flow valuation yaitu data yang diperlukan lebih banyak apabila dibandingkan dengan data yang dibutuhkan ketika melakukan relative valuation, Sempitnya waktu yang dimiliki oleh para analis pada PT Bahana Securities sehingga lebih sulit bagi mereka untuk melakukan valuasi menggunakan metode discounted cash flow valuation, kurangnya pengetahuan yang dimiliki oleh analis mengenai metode dan tempat mencari data yang diperlukan ketika melakukan valuasi menggunakan metode discounted cash flow valuation.ABSTRACT
This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities.;This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities.;This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities.;This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities.;This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities., This internship report discusses about how to do a valuation using relative valuation methods that the author learned in PT Bahana Securities and discounted cash flow valuation, the author learned during the author enrolled in the Faculty of Economics, University of Indonesia to PT Ace Hardware Indonesia Tbk. Relative valuation has a lower level of sensitivity to the assumptions on key accounts that are used to make projections and valuations when compared to the discounted cash flow valuation. The challenge faced by analysts at Bahana Securities when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow valuation, is that it required more data when compared with the data required when making relative valuation, limited time that analyst at PT Bahana Securities have is making it more difficult for them to do a valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation, the lack of knowledge held by the analysts regarding the method and find the necessary data when doing valuation using the discounted cash flow method of valuation is also one of the challenge faced by analyst at PT Bahana Securities.]"
Fakultas Eknonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2014
S57651
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Affandy Imam Sasongko
"PT. XYZ merupakan perusahaan dalam industri otomotif di Indonesia yang memiliki rencana penawaran saham perdananya ke publik atau IPO pada tahun 2020. Dalam aktivitas IPO perlu dilakukan analisis mengenai harga saham perdana yang akan ditawarkan. Tulisan ini bersifat studi kasus dan bertujuan mencari nilai saham perdananya yang didapatkan melalui valuasi perusahaan PT XYZ. Valuasi dilakukan dengan metode Discounted Free Cash Flow to Equity dan Discounted Free Cash Flow to the Firm masing-masing dengan dua pendekatan proyeksi yaitu reinvestment rate dan proyeksi penjualan, serta dengan metode Relative Valuation. Hasil perhitungan valuasi harga saham perdana PT. XYZ untuk metode discounted free cash flow berada di rentang Rp706,76 hingga Rp2.002,49 per lembar saham, sementara hasil perhitungan relative valuation berada di angka Rp2.334,32 per lembar saham

PT. XYZ is a company in the automotive industry in Indonesia that has a plan to offer its initial public offering or IPO in 2020. In the IPO activity it is necessary to analyze the price of the initial shares to be offered. This paper is a case study and aims to find the value of the first shares obtained through the valuation of the company PT. XYZ. Valuations are carried out using the Discounted Free Cash Flow to Equity and Discounted Free Cash Flow to the Firm each method with two projection approaches, namely reinvestment rate and sales projections, and with the Relative Valuation method. The results of the valuation of PT. XYZ's initial share price for the discounted free cash flow method are in the range of Rp706.76 to Rp2,002.49 per share, while the results of the calculation of relative valuation are at Rp2,334.32 per share."
Jakarta: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2020
T-Pdf
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Galuh Ika Shakuntala
"Tesis ini membahas tentang valuasi terhadap nilai perusahaan PLN Batam dengan menggunakan metode discounted free cash flow. Langkah-langkah dalam valuasi dimulai dengan melakukan pemahaman sisi historis perusahaan, analisis laporan keuangan, proyeksi laporan keuangan, sampai kepada perhitungan nilai saham perusahaan. Proyeksi arus kas di buat selama sepuluh tahun dengan mempertimbangkan laporan keuangan historis, strategi perusahaan, serta pengaruh faktor-faktor eksternal melalui kondisi ekonomi makro maupun kondisi industri. Berdasarkan hasil valuasi PLN Batam, didapat nilai wajar per lembar saham sebesar Rp. 2.392 dengan metode free cash flow to equity (FCFE) dan Rp. 6.647 dengan metode free cash flow to the firm (FCFF).

This thesis examines a valuation of PLN Batam using the Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) method. The DCF valuation steps include understanding the historical aspects of the company, analysing past financial statements, generating financial projections, and calculating the firm value. The cash flow projection is based on historical financial statements compiled over 10 years, corporate strategies, and external factors such as the economy and power service industry conditions. Using the Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) valuation method we obtained a price per share Rp 2.392 whilst with the Free Cash Flow to Firm method we obtained a price per share Rp 6.647. These price per share could be used as references to assess the value of PLN Batam?s shares on the initial pubic offering."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia, 2012
T34729
UI - Tesis Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Tuahunse, Shanaa Tabita Zahra
"Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk menganalisis nilai wajar dari saham PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur, Tbk. dengan menggunakan metode valuasi discounted free cash flow to firm dan free cash flow to equity. Hasil valuasi tersebut dapat dibandingkan dengan nilai pasar perusahaan tersebut dan menghasilkan rekomendasi untuk investor. Analisis saham ini menggunakan analisis fundamental dengan pendekatan top-down approach, meliputi analisis makroekonomi, analisis industri, analisis perusahaan, dan valuasi. Studi ini diharapkan dapat memberikan hasil prospek makroekonomi, industri, dan nilai wajar saham PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk.

This research is performed to analyze fair value of PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur’s stock using discounted free cash flow to firm and free cash flow to equity valuation method. The result then compared to market value of the firm to provide recommendation for investor. This Analysis uses fundamental analysis with top-down approach which consider factors from macroeconomics analysis, industry and company analysis, also valuation. This study is expected to provide insight of macroeconomic prospect, industry prospect, and fair value of PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk."
Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia , 2020
S-pdf
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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Dharmadi Gusanto
"Studi ini mempelajari nilai akuisisi PT Pertamina Gas oleh Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk. Nilai akuisisi diperoleh dari valuasi setelah memperhitungkan ekspetasi nilai sinergi dari perusahaan gabungan. Valuasi adalah prosess menentukan nilai wajar dari suatu asset atau perusahaan. Valuasi dapat dilakukan dengan analisis fundamental yang terdiri dari pendekatan top-down dan bottom-up. Studi ini menggunakan pendekatan top-down dengan melakukan analisis makroeokonomi, analisis industri, dan analisis perusahaan kepada perusahaan pengakuisisi dan perusahaan target. Nilai sinergi diperoleh dari kenaikan arus kas setelah penggabungan perusahaan. Sinergi dapat diklasifikasikan menjadi sinergi operasional dan sinergi keuanganl. Metodologi valuasi menggunakan discounted cash flow dengan free cash flow to firm. Studi ini menggunakan data sekunder yang bersifat publik. Hasil studi menunjukkan bahwa akusisi yang dilakukan menghasilkan sinergi untuk perusahaan gabungan, dan Perusahaan Gas Negara membayar akuisisi secara wajar. Oleh karena itu, manajemen perusahaan diharapkan untuk secara cermat memperhatikan proses penggabungan perusahaan supaya dapat mewujudkan ekspetasi nilai sinergi secara penuh untuk kesejahteraan masyarakat.

This research examines the acquisition value of PT Pertamina Gas by Perusahaan Gas Negara Tbk. Acquisition value is derived from valuation after considering expected synergy value from the combined company. Valuation is the process of determining the fair value of an asset or a company. Valuation can be conducted with fundamental analysis which can be divided into top-down approach and bottom-up approach. This research uses top-down approach by performing macroeconomic, industry, and company analysis for both acquiring and target companies. Synergy value is derived from the incremental cash flow after combining two entities. Synergy can be classified into operating and financial synergies. Valuation methodology uses discounted cash flow with free cash flow to firm. This research relies on secondary resources which are publicly available. The results indicate that the acquisition creates synergy value for the combined company, and Perusahaan Gas Negara did not overpay the acquisition. Therefore, the company management is expected to closely monitor the integration process in order to fully realize the expected synergy value for benefitting the society.

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Depok: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Indonesia , 2019
S-Pdf
UI - Skripsi Membership  Universitas Indonesia Library
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